Breaking BUD SP M15 on MT5 for GJ
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
この「Breaking BUD SP M15 on MT5 for GJ」は、直近数日間の最高値・安値ブレイク/反発、BBブレイクを使ったトレンドフォローをベースでトレードを行うGBPJPY専用のEAです。
こちらのEA「Breaking BUD SP M15 for GJ」のMT5版になります。
ただし、MT5向けに内部パラメータの再調整等を行っているため、幾分、結果が異なる可能性があることをご了承下さい。
「Breaking BUD」のロジックも利用しつつ、15分足版で短期トレード化し収益性を追求したEAになります。
バックテストした結果では、毎年黒字の安定した結果を出しています。
#固定運用(複利運用なし)
1万通貨のトレード(1ポジション)で、2009/11/01~2022/10/31で実施したテスト結果は以下です。
プロフィットファクタ1.82、利益320万円程度の結果です。
(Tick Data Suite(TDS)でDukascopyのTick Dataを使ってバックテストしています。)
<2009/11/01~2022/10/31>
QUANT ANALYZER REPORT :
以下、QUANT ANALYZER REPORTです。
(ドル表示($)されていますが、単位は円です。)
#複利運用あり
複利運用モード(複利運用基準値=120000)を使うと、証拠金10万円で2009/11に運用開始すると、約3年半後の2013.03には1000万円、約5年半後の2015.01には1億円を超える シミュレーション結果になります。
(ただし、1ポジションの最大Lot数の上限の関係で、複利運用は3000万くらいまで)
<2009/11/01~2022/10/31>
2009.11月、10万円で開始
2012.02月、100万円越え
2013.03月、1000万円越え
2015.01月、1億円越え
!!!!! 注意 !!!!!
複利運用すると、連敗に出くわすと、一気に資金を失ってしますので、
基準値を上げ過ぎないよう要注意です!
■EAの設定等について
本EAは、1時間足ベースで動作します。
1時間足で確定済みのデータのみを使用し、エントリー、クローズ判定を行います。
確定済みの条件で判定し成り行きエントリーするため、バックテストと実運用時の差異を出にくくしています。
以下パラメータのみ必要により変更下さい。
パラメータ | 内容 |
---|---|
MagicNumberB | 買いポジション用のマジックナンバーです。基本、変更は不要と思いますが、本EAを同じ通貨で複数実行するようなことがあればそれぞれ変更下さい。 |
MagicNumberS | 売りポジション用のマジックナンバーです。基本、変更は不要と思いますが、本EAを同じ通貨で複数実行するようなことがあればそれぞれ変更下さい。 |
Lots | 注文ロット数です。 初期状態では1万通貨(0.1)としているため、ご予算に応じて調整下さい。 |
複利運用基準値 | 複利運用する場合は基準額を入力します。 複利運用を無効(ロット数をLotsの設定に固定)にする場合は0を設定してください。 初期値では20万円(=200000)としています。 |
許容スプレッド | スプレッドが広がった際に、どこまで許容するかの指定です。 この値以上にスプレッドが広がった場合はエントリーを控えます。 |
トレードモード | 「自動」「買いのみ」「売りのみ」のいずれかを設定してください。 「買いのみ」は買いのみのトレード、「売りのみ」は売りのみのトレードをします。 「自動」は、買い、売り両方のトレードを行います。 |
最大テイクプロフィット | 最大テイクプロフィット値(pips値で指定)を設定する。10以上かつ1000以下の値を設定した場合のみ有効となり、エントリー時の注文値からの決済指値の値幅が指定の値以内となる。 (ただし、エントリー時のOpen値を基準に決済指値を決定するため、エントリーが遅れた場合など超えてしまう可能性あり。) |
最大ストップロス | 最大ストップロス値(pips値で指定)を設定する。10以上かつ1000以下の値を設定した場合のみ有効となり、エントリー時の注文値からStop値の値幅が指定の値以内となる。 (ただし、エントリー時のOpen値を基準にStop値を決定するため、エントリーが遅れた場合など超えてしまう可能性あり。) |
Price:¥22,000 (taxed)
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Sales from : 12/12/2022 02:41
Price:¥22,000 (taxed)
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Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working