Alchemy Rising Tide — Gold-only, adaptive long-focused EA equipped with short options
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Real Performance
※Displays results including swaps and fees
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
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Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
GOLD(XAUUSD) Exclusive Adaptable Long-biased × Short Options EA
Alchemy Rising Tide
— 12 years of gold market history, with two Profit Factors,
Surviving with a balance drawdown in single-digit %
Ride the rising tide and only recognize rare downturns to ally with.
Long-biased, cautious options that are linked to accumulated selling.
We will show all 12 years of validation data, both good and bad, as is.
⚗️ How Rising Tide Works — Ride the rising tide and only spot the downturn
Based on the long-term rise characteristics of gold, buys aggressively average down when RSI on higher timeframes shows oversold, and sells only when the higher timeframe RSI signals a rebound after accumulation reaches a certain level, then links it cautiously. Four operation modes can be chosen from input parameters.
Buy-biased + Sell-linked Options
Only when accumulation reaches a certain level (i.e., market moving downward) do we confirm signs of rebound on higher timeframe RSI and permit selling. The accumulation itself acts as an adaptive brake.
Other Operating Modes
Conventional symmetric hedging (Long & Short), Long Only (buy-only), Short Only (sell-only) can also be selected. Can be switched according to market view.
Switching operation modes is done by selecting from input parameters (TradeMode). The lot increases stepwise using a martingale method (1.1x per step), and settlements are basically realized profit based on a weighted average of the entire basket with a fixed range.
🚀 Further Profit Opportunities — Operating Risk Mode (V1.30〜)
You can choose the RSI setting for buy entries from three levels. In addition to the default “Stable,” two more active modes are provided.
Stable
Judges oversold on a somewhat longer-term perspective. All results on this page are from this mode.
Positive
From a mid-term view, more actively picks up pullbacks.
Aggressive
From a short-term view, most actively captures oversold conditions.
Performance when combined with Symmetric Long & Short mode
If you set operation mode to symmetric Long & Short (TradeMode=Long&Short), all three risk modes complete the 12-year run, including the sharp market swings of March 2026.
| Item | Stable | Positive | Aggressive |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total P/L (Margin 1,000,000) | +23,294,332 JPY | +26,923,867 JPY | +28,488,056 JPY |
| Profit Factor | 1.82 | 1.76 | 1.76 |
| Max Balance Drawdown | 12% | 25% | 23% |
| Margin Maintenance Rate (Minimum) | 245.23% | 285.90% | 52.40% |
2014.07.01〜2026.08.15・Over 12 years・All ticks・Leverage 1:1000・Margin 1,000,000・Completed all modes (859,200 bars).
Sincere Disclosure:The active and aggressive modes cannot endure the March 2026 sudden volatility under the default operation mode (Buy-biased + Sell-linked Options); the account would effectively fail. The excellent results above areonly in combination with Symmetric Long & Short modeAdditionally, even in symmetric Long & Short mode, active and aggressive modes reached the maximum total number of positions (47) in March 2026, and there were moments with little margin maintenance margin left.
🛡️ Built-in Safety Mechanisms
To improve durability, multiple safety devices are built in as standard.
When the basket accumulates to a certain level, we aim for partial profit-taking only on tail levels while maintaining full basket profit-taking as a whole—a two-layer design.
When ATR expands sharply beyond recent average, new entries are skipped regardless of direction to avoid the early phase of sudden moves.
Refer to MT5 real calendar; before/after announcements with significance above a threshold, new entries are stopped (default: 60 minutes before/after announcement). Only works on forward/live trading.
If the basket's unrealized loss reaches a predetermined absolute amount, forced close is triggered. Default is OFF (real results reflect this OFF state); you can specify a value to enable it.
The maximum total hedged positions is limited to 47. This prevents unlimited accumulation in one direction.
Margin checks before order placement and retry handling on failure are also built in by default.
📊 Backtest Results (2014.07.01〜2026.07.31, 12 years)
| Item | Leverage 1:20 (Margin 1,000,000, Default) | Leverage 1:20 (Margin 2,000,000) | Leverage 1:1000 (Margin 1,000,000) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total P/L | +9,241,533 JPY (+924.2%) | +9,491,894 JPY (+474.6%) | +9,528,270 JPY (+952.8%) |
| Profit Factor | 2.18 | 2.13 | 2.12 |
| Max Balance Drawdown | 6% (407,390 JPY) | 6% (514,391 JPY) | 7% (514,391 JPY) |
| Margin Maintenance Rate (Minimum) | 50.76% | 83.01% | 581.48% |
| Recovery Factor | 5.11 | 5.16 | 5.18 |
| Number of Trades (Buy/Sell) | 10,167 (9,653/514) | 10,249 (9,735/514) | 10,254 (9,740/514) |
| Win Rate (Buy/Sell) | Buy 74.9–75.0%・Sell 70.43% (All conditions) | ||
Fixed lot 0.01 (Simple interest) / Stop-loss brake OFF / Ticker GOLD#・M5 candles / History quality 99% / All conditions fully run for 12 years (856,164 bars)
※ The lower the leverage and margin, the lower the margin maintenance rate. If you are using a low-leverage account, we recommend keeping extra margin.
🔍 Reproducibility that holds up even when split into first half and second half
We validated by splitting 12 years into first half and second half, confirming results are not dependent on specific periods (Margin 2,000,000 JPY, Leverage 1:20).
| Period | PF | Total P/L | Max Balance DD |
|---|---|---|---|
| First half (2014.07〜2020.06) | 2.13 | +2,449,025 JPY | 12% |
| Second half (2020.07〜2026.07) | 2.12 | +6,573,459 JPY | 5% |
Even in the earlier period when gold trends were not as strong, the overall 12-year performance is comparable.
Martingale (Nampin) style EAs always carry risk of growing unrealized losses during unexpected volatility. In this 12-year validation, the margin maintenance rate dropped most during the late-2016 downturn (Margin 2,000,000 JPY, Leverage 1:20) to 83.01%. The Safe-Rescue defense was found to be only partially effective in such unidirectional declines during validation.
Trading costs (spread and swaps) also affect performance. Please verify your account environment in advance, and test with demo or small lots before use.
🔗 Comparison with the same brand's Alchemy Duo
Alchemy Duo is a buy-only, single-structure long system. Rising Tide, in the same 12-year validation, surpasses it in both profit factor and total profit.
| Comparison Item | Alchemy Duo (M5) | Alchemy Duo (M15) | Rising Tide (Default) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Validation Period | 12 years | 12 years | 12 years |
| Profit Factor | 1.60 | 1.99 | 2.18 |
| Total P/L | +476.9% | +329.3% | +924.2% |
| Operating Direction | Long-only fixed | Long-only fixed | 4 modes selectable |
🏆 Why Rising Tide is Chosen
Make the trend your ally
Based on the long-term rise of gold, designed to aggressively pick up pullbacks with buys.
Cautious Short-linked
Sellings are a modest option conditioned on accumulation of buys. Shown to increase profits without adding risk.
Validated Reproducibility
Even when split into first half and second half, performance remains strong. Not tailored to any specific period.
Honest Disclosure
We disclose not only the good numbers but also the unresolved risks as they are.
【Unique Features and Notes of This EA】
💡 Recommended Settings
Copyright 2026, Kenji & Yoko. All rights reserved.
The coupon will expire in 4 days.
Price: $193.14 (taxed)
￥29,800(taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : 09/02/2026 20:18
Price: $193.14 (taxed)
￥29,800(taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working