Alchemy Rising Tide — Gold-only, adaptive long-focused EA equipped with short options
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
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Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
Fact report on the loss cut as of September 28
On September 28, a large loss occurred on the official forward. We report the background and what is known at present on Investment Navi+ in this article. Please read before making a purchase.
▶ 【Report】Alchemy Rising Tide, Official Forward【Notice of revision】Fully disclose the risk due to start timing
Until now, this page has presented a backtest result based on an initial margin of 1,000,000 yen and stated “12 years without failure.” We have公開バックテスト results and shown that the margin can withstand large drawdowns as the margin grows, but this disclosure method was insufficient.
Start timing varies by customer. If you encounter a large drawdown soon after starting, the necessary margin will increase significantly. We have revised the product page to fully disclose this risk and to alert users.
Before purchasing: Required funds by operating environment / verification results
Required funds vary greatly depending on leverage, account type, and start time (Investment Navi+).
▶ For those considering operating with a high-leverage account▶ For those considering a 20x leverage account▶ For those considering a micro account▶ About operating modes and SET files▶ Verification results by start time / overall guidanceGOLD (XAUUSD) dedicated adaptive long-biased × short option EA
Alchemy Rising Tide
― Survive 12 years of gold market with a profit factor of 2 and a balance drawdown in the single digits
Continue to ride the rising tide and selectively align with rare dips to gain allies.
Primarily long positions; selling is a cautious option that accumulates in correlation.
We will show the 12-year verification data, both good and bad.
⚗️ How Rising Tide works — Ride the rising tide and identify only the dips
Based on the long-term upward characteristics of gold, buys aggressively catch dips when the short-term RSI is oversold, and sells only when “buys have accumulated a certain level,” confirming signals on higher timeframes, then interlocks cautiously. The operating mode can be selected from four options via input parameters.
Buying bias + selling-linked options
Only when buys have accumulated to a certain level (i.e., market is moving downward) do we confirm signs of RSI reversal on higher timeframes and permit selling. It is designed to use accumulation itself as an adaptive brake.
Other operating modes
Conventional symmetric long/short (Long & Short), Long Only (long-only), Short Only (short-only) can also be selected. Can switch according to market view.
The performance shown on this page is a combination verified with mode-specific SET files (all parameters including multipliers and brakes). If you only change the mode, it remains unverified, sowe recommend using SET files.Lot sizes increase gradually using a pyramiding method (default 1.07x per step), and settlements are primarily based on a weighted average of the basket with a fixed margin, aiming for a single profit.
🚀 Further profit opportunities — Risk mode for operation (V1.30〜)
You can choose the RSI setting for buy entries from three options. In addition to the default “Stable,” two more aggressive modes are provided.
Stable
Judges oversold from a slightly longer-term perspective. All results on this page are for this mode.
Positive
From a mid-term view, more aggressively captures dips.
Aggressive
From a short-term view, most aggressively captures oversold conditions.
Track record for combinations with symmetric long/short mode
If you set operating mode to symmetric long/short (TradeMode=Long&Short), lot multiplier 1.10 (SET file), and disable stop-loss brakes, all three risk modes complete 12 years including abrupt changes in March and September 2026.
| Item | Stable | Positive | Aggressive |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total P/L (margin 1,000,000 yen) | +24,419,159 yen | +28,112,785 yen | +29,794,812 yen |
| Profit Factor | 1.81 | 1.77 | 1.77 |
| Max balance drawdown | 12% | 25% | 23% |
| Drawdown on open positions (max) | 43% | 94% | 99% |
| Margin maintenance rate (minimum) | 245.23% | 285.90% | 52.41% |
2014.07.01〜2026.09.30・Over 12 years・All ticks・Leverage 1:◎000・Started with 1,000,000 yen in 2014・Completed all modes.
Sincere disclosure:① The positive and aggressive modes cannot endure the abrupt change in March 2026 under the default operating mode (buying bias + selling linkage). The above isonly in combination with symmetric long/short mode② Open-position drawdown (DD) is 94% for aggressive and 99% for aggressive, with the minimum maintenance rate at 52% and little remaining strength.③ The above results began in 2014 after funds had grown.If started with 1,000,000 yen from September 1, 2026, both symmetric and stable stopped out on September 3, while positive and aggressive stopped out on September 28.④ For symmetric and aggressive modes, stop-loss brakes are OFF. Please refer to Investment Navi+ for details.
🛡️ Built-in safety devices
To improve durability, multiple safety devices are standardly installed.
When the basket accumulates to a certain level, the system executes partial take-profits on the tail while maintaining overall profit-taking, implementing a two-tiered approach to broaden intervals.
When ATR expands sharply compared to the recent average, new entries are skipped regardless of direction. Aimed at avoiding the initial movement of sudden changes.
Refer to MT5’s real calendar; before announcements of indicators with importance above the specified level, new entries are paused (default: 60 minutes before/after announcement). Works only in forward testing and live trading.
If the total unrealized loss reaches 18,000 USD per 0.01 lot (default), forced liquidation occurs. In 12-year verification, the default (1.07x) never triggered. Since this is a full close-type system, OFF is recommended for symmetric/aggressive modes. Amount changes or disabling is possible.
Maximum number of combined long positions is capped at 47 to prevent unchecked one-sided accumulation.
Order confirmation of required margin and retry processing in case of failure are also standard features.
📊 Backtest results (2014.07.01〜2026.09.30・12 years)
| Item | Leverage 1:20 (margin 1,000,000) | Leverage 1:◎000 (margin 1,000,000) |
|---|---|---|
| Total P/L | +8,152,029 yen (+815.2%) | +8,154,823 yen (+815.5%) |
| Profit Factor | 2.15 | 2.15 |
| Max balance drawdown | 3% (311,155 yen) | 3% (311,155 yen) |
| Max margin drawdown | 13% (1,188,679 yen) | 13% (1,188,679 yen) |
| Margin relative drawdown | 53% (995,050 yen) | 55% (1,019,259 yen) |
| Margin maintenance rate (minimum) | 80.64% | 3,154.11% |
| Recovery factor | 6.86 | 6.86 |
| Number of trades (buy/sell) | 10,475 (9,931/544) | 10,479 (9,935/544) |
| Win rate (buy/sell) | Buy 75.6%・Sell 70.0% (both conditions common) | |
Fixed lot 0.01 (simple interest) / Lot multiplier 1.07 (default) / Stop-loss brake default (18,000 USD, not triggered) / GOLD#, M5 bars / History quality 99% / 12-year full run for both conditions
※Includes the fall on September 28, 2026 (recovered on September 29 via TP). This is the result starting with 1,000,000 yen in July 2014; required funds vary significantly by start time. Please check the “Estimate of required funds” below.
🔗 Comparison with the same brand “Alchemy Duo”
Alchemy Duo is a buy-only, single-structure long-term seller. Rising Tide, in the same 12-year verification, surpasses it in both profit factor and total return.
| Comparison item | Alchemy Duo (M5) | Alchemy Duo (M15) | Rising Tide (default) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Factor | 1.60 | 1.99 | 2.15 |
| Total return | +476.9% | +329.3% | +815.2% |
| Operating direction | Long-only fixed | Long-only fixed | 4 modes selectable |
【Unique specifications and notes for this EA】
🛡️ Effect of lowering lot multiplier from 1.10 to 1.07
We tested the September 28, 2026 drop under the same conditions as the official forward (capital 1.26 million yen, 1:◎000, start Sept 1, 0.01 lot), changing only the multiplier. 1.10 resulted in stop-out; 1.07 withstood it.
| Lot multiplier | 1.05 | 1.07 (default) | 1.10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sept 28 | Withstood | Withstood | Stop-out |
| Maximum unrealized loss | 864,813 yen | 1,188,679 yen | Over 1,478,420 yen |
| Minimum maintenance rate | 821% | 212% | 11.6% |
| Profit/loss in September | +191,736 yen | +234,006 yen | −1,326,105 yen |
Lowering the multiplier reduces deep-drawdown unrealized losses. However, even at 1.07, a 1.26 million yen account reached unrealized losses of about 86% of funds. Please refer to the table below for estimates of required funds.
💡 Recommended settings / Estimated required funds (per 0.01 lot)
Eligible instrumentGOLD/XAUUSD ／ Recommended modeBuy bias + Sell linkage (default) ／ Recommended leverage1:◎000 ／ TimeframeM5 ／ MTMT5 ／ Symmetric long/shortYes
| Leverage | Estimated funds | Minimum maintenance rate in verification |
|---|---|---|
| 1:◎000 | 2.6 million yen or more (minimum around 1.3 million yen) | Start Sept 1: 1,000,000 yen stops out / 1,500,000 yen yields 456% / 2,000,000 yen yields 965% / 2,600,000 yen yields 1,576% |
| 1:100 | Approximately 2,110,000 yen | 2,110,000 yen yields 107.7% / 1,500,000 yen yields 58.7% |
| 1:20 | Approximately 6,000,000 yen | 6,000,000 yen yields 100.7% / 4,500,000 yen yields 95.7% / 3,000,000 yen yields 80.2% / 1,000,000 yen yields 62.6% |
※This is the verification value just before the September 28, 2026 drop when starting from zero. In worst-case scenarios, unrealized losses could be about $7,600 (about 1,190,000 yen at 157 yen/USD); in yen depreciation and gold price rises, more funds may be required. With 1:20 leverage, deeper losses may cause pyramiding to stop. For details by leverage and start time, please see Investment Navi+.
💡 For those who want to see entry and exit timings before purchase
We also provide a tool that visualizes Rising Tide’s entry and exit logic on the chart with arrows and check marks: “Alchemy Rising Tide Signal Viewer.” It is display-only, requires no account verification, and can be used by anyone.
▶ View Alchemy Rising Tide Signal Viewer📖 For those who want to know more about operation methods
In Investment Navi+’s series “Yoko and Kenji’s GOLD EA Mastery Notes,” we discuss in detail how to choose modes, design philosophy, and operating concepts.
▶ Read the series “GOLD EA Mastery Notes”Copyright 2026, Kenji & Yoko. All rights reserved.
The coupon expires today.
Price: $221.03 (taxed)
￥34,800(taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : 09/02/2026 20:18
Price: $221.03 (taxed)
￥34,800(taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working