【MT4】実直ゴールドEA - 8年でドローダウン4.84%しか出なかったEA
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
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Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
Product Overview
“Honest Gold EA” is a trend-following EA for XAUUSD (gold) designed for directional bias trading.
A multi-filter design that combines classic technical analysis to target only moments with strong directional momentum.
It does not use averaging down or martingale.
From January 2018 to May 2026, about 8 years of high-precision backtest (history quality 98%) shows a maximum drawdown of4.84%. Yet it increased an initial 100,000 yen to about 2.89 million yen.
It is designed not as an “all-at-once big gain” EA, but as an EA that is as robust as possible and operates for a long time.
MT4 / MT5 both supported. Starting operating with a recommended margin of 100,000 yen is possible.
Conclusion First / Specification Table
Please look at the numbers first.
| Supported Platforms | MT4 / MT5 both supported |
| Instrument | XAUUSD (Gold) |
| Timeframe | M15 |
| Backtest Period | January 2018 – May 2026 (about 8 years) |
| History Quality | 98% (high precision) |
| Model | All ticks |
| Profit Factor | 3.69 |
| Max Drawdown | 4.84% (54,621 yen) |
| Win Rate | 52.81% |
| Trades | 5,520 |
| Net Profit | +2,791,602 yen |
| Equity Multiplier | Approximately 29x (100,000 yen → 2,890,000 yen) |
| Recommended Margin | 100,000 yen and up |
| Averaging Down | Not used |
| Martingale | Not used |
Why 4.84% Drawdown is Good
In the world of Gold EAs, typical maximum drawdowns are 20–45%. Because gold itself is highly volatile, being evaluated as “excellent” is common even with higher drawdowns.
Looking at major gold EAs sold on GoGoJungle, the average maximum drawdown is roughly25%–30%, and recommended margins range from500,000–4,000,000+ yen.
Honest Gold EA achieves a maximum drawdown of4.84% and can be operated with a recommended margin offrom 100,000 yen.
Compared to industry averages, roughly estimated:
- Maximum drawdown is about1/5 to 1/6
- Recommended margin is about1/5 to 1/40
Specifically, What Makes It Different
For an EA with a 25% drawdown, unrealized losses may temporarily reach 25,000 yen.
With a 4.84% drawdown, the unrealized loss is at most about 5,500 yen.
Continuing to monitor a chart with a 25,000 yen unrealized loss vs. a 5,500 yen unrealized loss fundamentally changes the ease of ongoing operation.
Many have experienced this.
Honest Gold EA prioritizes “robustness” over big wins.
The resulting figures are,8 years with a maximum drawdown of 4.84%. Moreover, PF 3.69, about 29x, and 5,520 trades demonstrate sufficient trading volume and profit performance.
Strategy Concept
Honest Gold EA does not use complex AI or mysterious proprietary indicators. It uses a traditional combination of time-tested technical analysis.
However, the exact indicator names, parameter values, and filter conditions are kept confidential to protect competitive advantage.
It is reasonable to say, “I can’t buy something I don’t understand.” Therefore, instead of the logic, we share the design philosophy and operational characteristics.
Design Philosophy: “Only ride strong trends calmly”
The basic policy is simple.
- Enter only when the market shows a clear direction
- Do not participate in range or sideways markets
- Once entered, ride the trend
- When the drift ends, calmly take profits
To win in gold, what matters is not flashy methods, but the patience to identify and participate in strong trend periods.
Multi-Filter Design
Entries require meeting all conditions. If even one condition is not met, we pass on the opportunity, no matter how tempting it looks.
This “courage to pass” leads to the 4.84% maximum drawdown.
In eight years, 5,520 trades. About 1.9 trades per day on average. Not too frequent, not too sparse. It does not trade flashy. It enters only when all conditions align.
Directional Trend Following
It is not a contrarian strategy. It does not rely on hoping for a rebound when unrealized losses grow.
It rides with the market flow and exits when the flow changes. Hence, it profits more in trending markets and reduces trades in range markets.
No Averaging Down or Martingale at All
It operates with a single position. It does not try to recover losses by doubling down. See the next section for details.
No Trades When Strong Trends Do Not Occur
This EA only enters when a significant trend in gold occurs.
There can be periods of weeks to months with no trades.
“Not moving = not broken.”
Times of no activity are when capital protection is happening.
This is not for those who expect flashy daily trades.
This is for those who want to calmly ride the strongest trends.
Backtest Details
Test Conditions
| Test Period | January 2018 – May 2026 (about 8 years) |
| History Quality | 98% |
| Model | All ticks |
| Currency Pair | XAUUSD |
| Timeframe | M15 |
| Initial Margin | 100,000 yen |
Backtest Key Figures
| Final Balance | About 2,890,000 yen |
| Total Profit | +2,791,602 yen |
| Profit Factor | 3.69 |
| Max Drawdown | 4.84% (54,621 yen) |
| Win Rate | 52.81% |
| Trades | 5,520 |
| Expectancy | 505.73 yen |
| Sharpe Ratio | 38.73 |
| Recovery Factor | 51.11 |
| Average Winning Trade | 1,313 yen |
| Average Losing Trade | -398 yen |
| Maximum Winning Streak | 16 |
| Maximum Losing Streak | 12 |
What Happened in These 8 Years
The backtest period includes many historical events that shook the gold market.
- 2020: Market turmoil due to the coronavirus shock
- 2022: Increased geopolitical risk due to Ukraine situation
- 2023–2024: Inflation rising in many countries and gold reaching all-time highs
- 2026: Iran attack by the US and Israel, Strait of Hormuz closure, Middle East geopolitical shifts due to rising oil prices
The result of prioritizing robustness above all is reflected in this number.
These figures are not drawn from calm market conditions alone.
This Is Not Averaging Down or Martingale
Honest Gold EA is a single-position system. No averaging down. No martingale.
A averaging down or martingale EA tends to increase lots while carrying unrealized losses to create “99% win rate” figures. It may show impressive short-term gains but structurally carries the risk of wiping out the account on a sudden market move.
Many have seen the scenario of “100 straight wins followed by a sudden collapse.”
Honest Gold EA’s win rate is 52.81%. Quite modest. But the average winning trade is 1,313 yen vs. average losing trade -398 yen.One win can cover three losses.
This is the honest composition of risk-reward about 3.30x.
Especially those who previously wore themselves out waiting for losses to revert will feel the difference.
Note: No Pyramid, Either
As long as the trend continues, there may be re-entries after exiting a position. However, this is“open one position, close it, then open another from zero”an independent sequence of trades.
- A averaging down method (doubling up)
- A martingale method (doubling up on losses)
- Pyramiding on top of profits
We adopt none of these.
When the trend ends, we wait quietly without holding a position.
Recommended Trading Environment
| Recommended Margin | 100,000 yen and up |
| Recommended Broker | A broker with tight gold spreads |
| Recommended VPS | A VPS that keeps MT4/MT5 running 24/7 |
Industry averages typically place recommended margins for gold EAs at 500,000–4,000,000+ yen. Honest Gold EA can start from 100,000 yen.
Based on the maximum drawdown of 4.84%, 100,000 yen is set to provide ample headroom.
User Settings Are 4 Items Only
In Honest Gold EA, you essentially touch only four items.
- Base Lot Size(Default: 0.1)
- Compounding Mode ON / OFF
- Compounding Target Balance(Default: 100,000 yen)
- Max Lot Cap(Default: 10.0)
All other critical parameters are internally fixed.
Entry decision thresholds, filter conditions, trailing stop distances, and other strategy core numbers are fixed values confirmed after an 8-year backtest.
Honest Gold EA prioritizes a design that minimizes user mistakes.
Risk Disclosure
Backtests are validated based on past data and do not guarantee future profits.
Market conditions change. Gold, in particular, is influenced by
- Interest rate policy
- Geopolitical risk
- World economy
- Liquidity
Thus, future performance may differ.
Also, the recommended margin of 100,000 yen is a guideline based on backtest conditions. There is a possibility that future drawdown could exceed this. For higher safety, proceed with more conservative money management.
If run in compounding mode, lot sizes increase automatically. While profits grow, losses during drawdowns also rise proportionally.
With that assumption, we aimed for as robust a design as possible.
“If flashy performance is less important than staying alive, this EA may be a good fit for you.”If you are convinced, please handle with care.
Price: $248.4 (taxed)
￥39,800(taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : -
Price: $248.4 (taxed)
￥39,800(taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working