実直ゴールドEA - 8年でドローダウン4.84%しか出なかったEA
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
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Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
Product Overview
“Honest Gold EA” is a gold-only trend-following EA that trades in the long direction.
A multi-filter design that combines classical technical analyses to target only moments with a strong directional move.
Does not use grid trading, martingale, or averaging up.
From January 2018 to May 2026, in a high-precision backtest (history quality 98%), the maximum drawdown was4.84%. Yet initial 100,000 yen grew to about 2,890,000 yen.
It is designed not as an “instant big gain” EA, but as one that is as robust as possible and usable for a long time.
Compatible with MT4 / MT5. Can start with a recommended margin of 100,000 yen.
Conclusion First・Specification Table
First, look at the numbers.
| Platform compatibility | MT4 / MT5 compatible |
| Instrument | XAUUSD (Gold) |
| Timeframe | M15 |
| Backtest period | January 2018–May 2026 (about 8 years) |
| History quality | 98% (high precision) |
| Model | All ticks |
| Profit factor | 3.69 |
| Maximum drawdown | 4.84% (54,621 yen) |
| Win rate | 52.81% |
| Number of trades | 5,520 |
| Total net profit | +2,791,602 yen |
| Equity multiple | Approximately 29x (100k → 2.89M) |
| Recommended margin | 100k yen and up |
| Averaging down | Not used |
| Martingale | Not used |
Why 4.84% Drawdown is Good
In the gold EA world, 20–45% maximum drawdown is standard. Gold’s high volatility sometimes makes it look “excellent.”
Looking at major gold EAs sold on Gogojan, the average max drawdown is roughly25%–30%, and recommended margin ranges500k–4M yen or more.
Honest Gold EA, with a max drawdown of4.84% and a recommended margin offrom 100,000 yen can be operated.
Compared to industry average, rough estimates show:
- Max drawdown is about1/5–1/6 of the industry average
- Recommended margin is about1/5–1/40 of the industry average
Specifically, what’s different
With a 25% drawdown EA, unrealized losses can temporarily reach 25,000 yen.
With 4.84% drawdown, unrealized losses max at about 5,500 yen.
Continuing to view a chart with 25,000 yen unrealized loss vs only 5,500 yen unrealized loss changes the ease of continuing operations from the ground up.
Many people have experienced this.
Honest Gold EA prioritized “robustness” before aiming for big wins.
The resulting figures are8 years, max drawdown 4.84%. Moreover, PF 3.69, about 29x, and 5,520 trades, achieving both sufficient trading volume and profit performance.
Strategy Concept
Honest Gold EA does not use complex AI or mysterious proprietary indicators. It combines classical technical analyses that have long been used.
However, detailed logic like specific indicator names, parameter values, and filter conditions are kept private to protect competitive advantage.
The opinion that “I can’t buy something I don’t understand” is reasonable. So, instead of revealing the exact logic, we will share the design philosophy and operational features.
Design Philosophy: “Only ride strong trends, steadily”
The basic policy is simple.
- Enter only when the market has a clear direction
- Do not participate in range or sideways markets
- Once in, ride the trend
- When the flow ends, quietly lock in profits
To win in gold, what’s needed is not flashy methods but the patience to identify and participate only when strong trends appear.
Multi-filter design
Entries require meeting multiple conditions. If even one condition fails, we skip it even if it looks like a great opportunity.
That “courage to skip” leads to the drawdown of 4.84%.
Over 8 years and 5,520 trades. About 1.9 trades per day on average. Not too many, not too few. We don’t trade flamboyantly. Enter only when all conditions align.
Trend-following, not mean reversion
Not contrarian. Not designed to pray that losses will recover.
Ride with the market flow and exit when the flow changes. This simple trend-following model increases profits in trending markets and reduces trades in range markets.
No Averaging Down or Martingale
It operates with one position. It does not try to recover losses by doubling. See next section for details.
When a strong trend doesn’t appear, there are no trades
This EA only enters when a large trend in gold occurs.
There can be weeks to months without trades.
“Staying still does not mean broken.”
If you expect flashy daily trades, this is not for you.
This EA is for those who want to target only strong trends, steadily.
Backtest Details
Test Conditions
| Test period | January 2018–May 2026 (about 8 years) |
| History quality | 98% |
| Model | All ticks |
| Currency pair | XAUUSD |
| Timeframe | M15 |
| Initial capital | 100,000 yen |
Backtest Key Figures
| Ending balance | Approximately 2,890,000 yen |
| Total net profit | +2,791,602 yen |
| Profit factor | 3.69 |
| Maximum drawdown | 4.84% (54,621 yen) |
| Win rate | 52.81% |
| Number of trades | 5,520 |
| Expectancy | 505.73 yen |
| Sharpe ratio | 38.73 |
| Recovery factor | 51.11 |
| Average winning trade | 1,313 yen |
| Average losing trade | -398 yen |
| Max consecutive wins | 16 |
| Max consecutive losses | 12 |
What happened in these 8 years
The backtest period includes numerous historical events that shook the gold market.
- 2020: market shock due to COVID-19
- 2022: geopolitical risk increased due to Ukraine
- 2023–2024: inflation in many countries and gold hitting all-time highs
- 2026: Iran attack by US/Israel, closure of Hormuz, oil prices surged, Middle East situation changed rapidly
The focus on robustness is reflected in this number.
These numbers are not cherry-picked from calm markets.
This is not Averaging Down or Martingale
Honest Gold EA is a single-position system. No averaging down. No martingale.
A mean-reversion or martingale EA tends to increase lot sizes as losses accumulate to create a superficially high win rate, but structurally carries risk of wiping out on a market shock.
Many have witnessed the demise after a long winning streak followed by a sudden loss.
Honest Gold EA’s win rate is 52.81%. Quite ordinary. Yet with average winning trade of 1,313 yen and average losing trade of -398 yen,one win covers three losses.
This is the honest number behind a risk-reward of about 3.30x.
If you have previously grown tired of EAs that pray for reversals of unrealized losses, you will appreciate this difference.
Note: No Pyramidting Either
While trends continue, it may re-enter after closing a position. However, this is“open one position, close it, then open one more anew”—an independent sequence of trades.
- A averaging up technique (averaging down)
- A doubling technique on losses (martingale)
- Adding lots to a position with profits (pyramiding)
These are not used at all.
When the trend ends, we wait quietly without holding a position.
Recommended Operating Environment
| Recommended margin | 100k yen and up |
| Recommended broker | A broker with narrow gold spreads |
| Recommended VPS | A VPS where MT4/MT5 runs 24/7 stably |
In the industry, recommended margins for gold EAs typically range from 500k to over 4M yen. Honest Gold EA can start from 100k.
Based on a maximum drawdown of 4.84%, 100k is set as a comfortable starting balance.
Only 4 User Settings
There are basically four items to touch in Honest Gold EA.
- Base lot size(Default: 0.1)
- Compound mode ON / OFF
- Compound balance threshold(Default: 100,000 yen)
- Maximum lot cap(Default: 10.0)
All other important parameters are internally fixed.
Thresholds for entry decisions, filter conditions, trailing stop distance, and other strategy core values are fixed as determined by eight years of backtesting.
Honest Gold EA prioritizes “design to prevent user errors.”
Risk Disclosure
Backtests are validations based on past data. They do not guarantee future profits.
Market conditions change. In particular, the gold market is heavily influenced by
- Interest rate policy
- Geopolitical risk
- Global economy
- Liquidity
Thus, future performance may vary.
Also, the recommended margin of 100k yen is a guideline based on backtest conditions. Future drawdowns may exceed this. If safety is a priority, we recommend more generous capital management.
In compound mode, lots increase automatically. While profits grow, drawdown losses also increase proportionally.
With that understanding, we designed to be as robust as possible.
“More about surviving than flashy gains” If that’s what you want, this EA is suitable.Only those who are convinced should try it.
Price: $248.4 (taxed)
¥39,800(taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : -
Price: $248.4 (taxed)
¥39,800(taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
