MonteCarloMaster_USDJPY
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
※This EA's price increases in tiers according to the number of sales.
Early purchasers can buy at a more favorable price.
■ Introduction
MonteCarloMaster_USDJPY adopts logic verified through about 19 years and 6,091 trades,an automated trading EA aimed at stable operation.■ Reliability by Long-Term Testing and Trade Count
This EA is designed based ona long-term backtest period of about 19 years and6091 trades in total.■ Low Drawdown DesignIn long-term backtests, themaximum drawdown is 3.63%. Instead of chasing short-term profits,this is designed to prioritize protecting capital while continuing operation..■ Win Rate and Loss Streaks・Win rate: 61.85% ・Maximum consecutive losses: 7
It avoids forced entries and excessive position increases,and maintains a structure that minimizes capital and psychological burden even during losing streaks..
■ About Profit Factor・Profit factor (PF): 1.35
Not flashy numbers, but designed with a focus on reproducibility for long-term operation, low drawdown, and many trades.
■Backtest Results
・Initial capital: 1,000,000 yen,Trading mode = Monte Carlo, other parameters verified with default settings. Measurement period is about 19 years.
■ Cautions and RisksThis EA does not guarantee future profits. Results vary with market conditions.This is not an EA designed for rapid capital growth in a short period.Please use with an understanding of the risks.■ Recommended Trading Environment・Base currency pair: USDJPY ・Recommended timeframe: 5 minutes ・Recommended lot: For 800,000 yen margin, 1 point lot size = 0.01 Lot ・Recommend running on a VPS
■ Parameter Descriptions
| Order Settings | Initial Values | Descriptions |
| Magic Number | 57293604 | Set a number that does not overlap with other EAs. |
| Slippage | 20 | Maximum slippage limit. |
| Acceptable Spread (Pips) | 10.0 | Maximum spread acceptable at entry. |
| Retry Count on Order Failure | 3 | Number of retries on order failure. |
| Interval (ms) | 3000 | Interval until retry after order failure. |
| Mode Settings | Initial | Descriptions |
| Trading Mode | Monte Carlo | Method of lot management when trading.Available modes: ① Monte Carlo Recommended Only automatic management of lot size using Monte Carlo method. If you want to operate capital management clearly in parallel with other EAs, or prefer to manually manage the lot size per point, choose this. ② Monte Carlo + Compounding Monte Carlo-based automatic management of lot sizes, and automatic addition of the per-point lot size according to excess funds (or account balance). Note: When running parallel with other EAs, be careful with capital management. ③ Simple Interest Does not use Monte Carlo; trades with a fixed lot size.. |
| Monte Carlo Compounding, Monte Carlo Common Settings | Initial | Descriptions |
| Per-Point Lot Size | 0.01 | Sets the lot size per point. Points are the sum of the endpoints of the Monte Carlo sequence. Example) If set to 0.01 The initial cycle has sequence [1, 2, 3], so points = 4, and the first trade is 4 × 0.01 lot = 0.04 lot. |
| Maximum Points | 100 | If points grow large, set a maximum allowable points. If logic produces a point exceeding the limit (sum of endpoints of the sequence), the cycle ends (effective stop-loss), |
| Initial | Descriptions | |
| Balance Used for Calculations | Excess Margin | Balance used to calculate lot sizes under compounding mode.Choose from below. ①Excess Margin ② Account Balance ※When running with other EAs, selecting account balance makes capital management difficult, please be careful. |
| Base Balance (Amount excluded from lot size addition) | 800000 | Set the amount excluded from lot size addition. This determines up to what amount of money per point the lot size is operated at. |
| Unit Amount for Lot Size Addition | 800000 | Set the unit amount for which the lot size is added. *For example, with all defaults, excess margin up to 800,000 yen uses 0.01 lot per point, and when excess margin exceeds 1,600,000 yen, the per-point lot size increases to 0.02 lot, and if it exceeds 2,400,000 yen, the lot size increases further (e.g., 0.03 lot). |
| Addition Lot Size per Unit Amount | 0.01 | Set the lot size added per unit amount. |
| Simple Interest Mode Settings | Initial | Descriptions |
| Fixed Lot Size | 0.10 | Fixed lot size when trading with simple interest. |
| Buy Trade Settings | Initial | Descriptions |
| SL (Pips) * TP (Pips) are the same | 30.0 | Set the stop loss in pips for a single buy trade. Default recommended. |
| Sell Trade Settings | Initial | Descriptions |
| SL (Pips) * TP (Pips) are the same設定. | 30.0 | Set the stop loss in pips for a single sell trade. Default recommended. |
■What Monte Carlo Method Is
Monte Carlo method (sequence method) is a betting management strategy applying probability and mathematical thinking.
Unlike traditional Martingale methods that involve doubling bets and higher risk, this approach uses a "sequence" to adjust bet amounts and optimize drawdown balance.
A key feature is that bet sizes change logically with wins and losses, avoiding excessive bet growth.
In Martingale, consecutive losses cause bets to double and capital to rapidly deplete, but in the sequence method growth is restrained, enabling more stable capital management.
Also, while a series of wins quickly resets the sequence, even with losses the design seeks to recover losses at the timing of wins, enabling calmer trading psychologically.
The sequence method proceeds by numerical discipline rather than emotion, and is regarded as a capital management algorithm in investing, forming the basis for strategic trading.
In conclusion, Monte Carlo method (sequence method) is an intelligent and rational capital management approach, highly valuable in strategies that aim to limit risk while accumulating profits.
This EA uses a 2x payout rule, ensuring profit to loss per trade is 1:1.
A simple outline of Monte Carlo-based lot management is as follows.
① For the first cycle, set three numbers (e.g., 1, 2, 3)
② Add the endpoints of the sequence (e.g., 1 + 3 = 4 points)
③ Use the points × 0.01 lot as the initial lot size (e.g., 4 × 0.01 lot = 0.04 lot)
④ If you lose, add the points wagered to the right of the sequence (e.g., 1, 2, 3, 4)
⑤ Add the endpoints of the sequence again (e.g., 1 + 4 = 5 points)
⑥ Again, use the points × 0.01 lot as the initial lot size and trade (e.g., 5 × 0.01 lot = 0.05 lot)
⑦ If you win, remove one at each end (e.g., 1, 2, 3,4)
⑧ When the sequence ends (no numbers left or only one left), one cycle ends
※The per-point lot size (initially 0.01 lot) can be changed via parameters
Also, the 2x payout rule requires a win rate of at least 50%.
This EA usesa logic that operates with a win rate of 60% or higher (backtest: about 19 years, 6,091 trades), making it less prone to losses.
■ Monte Carlo Method: Cautions
We have explained the Monte Carlo method and its advantages, but it is not a universal solution for all situations.
A drawback is that after each loss, the bet amount is appended to the sequence end, so a losing streak lengthens the sequence and increases the next bet size gradually.
Therefore,it is dangerous to operate without any stop-loss..
■Safety Features
When the drawdown becomes a certain amount of unrealized profit, a stop-loss is set in the positive region,
and even if a rapid trend reversal causes a move into negative territory, a safety function preserves profits.
This prevents situations like “unrealized gains but then a rapid trend reversal results in a negative settlement.”
■ About Pricing (Tiered Price Revision)
This reflects
as price design principles.
■ Early-Bird Advantage
This EAis more favorable for early purchasers.
Even if the price rises after purchase,
“The earlier you buy, the cheaper you get the same EA.” This is the price policy of this product.
■ Why this price design
This EA prioritizes sustained operation through lot management over short-term flashy results
and
Therefore,
Real-world operation data
Feedback from users
Adaptation to market conditions
These are reflected, and we consider the product to accumulate value over time.The price reflects the growth of that value.
■For those considering
If you are interested in this EA,
the best conditions are “the current price range”.
Prices will rise later, but the available features and logic remain the same.
If you are evaluating, we recommend deciding before the price goes up.
Price: $112.4 (taxed)
¥18,000(taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : 02/09/2026 22:01
Price: $112.4 (taxed)
¥18,000(taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
