Alice Shinya (MT4Ver.)

Alice Shinya is an EA system that trades based on a certain anomaly related to the London fixing (London mid-rate) around 1 AM and the Tokyo mid-rate at 9:55 AM, as well as the swap allocation during rollover (carrying over to the next business day) using a unique logic.

This FX EA system trades during the late-night hours from 1 AM to 9:53 AM, hence it is named 【Alice Shinya】.

Alice Shinya is,a single position EA with only one trade per position!

Therefore, it is an EA that makes it easy to manage funds such as margin and loss management.

Description of Alice Shinya's Specifications

ThisFX EA【Alice Shinya】 conducts trades based on anomalies during the London fixing and Tokyo mid-rate, as well as during rollover.

Specifically, it trades FX between AM 01:01 and AM 09:53 based on the anomaly. This EA also performs rollover (carrying over to the next business day),so it is expected to earn swap points. Therefore, it is believed to be an effective EA until the Bank of Japan raises interest rates or the Euro lowers interest rates, reducing the interest rate differential.

The currency pairs traded are Euro/Yen or Pound/Yen.

The number of positions isa single position, andit does not hold multiple positions.

This EA can be operated with either simple interest or compound interest, but the backtest for compound interest shows that an investment of 150,000 yen can grow to 595 million yen over 10 years, making it a very interesting EA.

About Compound Interest Operation

　Compound interest operation involves calculating how much risk to take based on the amount of capital each time. (Simple interest operation fixes the lot size for trading.)

For example, if you take a 3% risk with a capital of 150,000 yen, that would be 4,500 yen, and if the capital increases to 1 million yen, it would be 30,000 yen, and you would adjust the lot size to ensure that amount is the stop-loss.

ThisEA has this compound interest feature, automatically calculating the lot size based on the capital amount, stop-loss width (pips), and risk ratio.In other words, as profits are realized and capital increases, the lot size will also increase.

In this EA, the default setting for compound interest operation is"false (off)", but if you set it to "true (on)", adjust the stop-loss width to a pips width dedicated to compound interest, and determine the risk ratio percentage, it will operate automatically with compound interest.

Backtest Information (Euro/Yen (Compound Interest Operation))

The image below shows the backtest results of this EA Alice Shinya with EUR/JPY, setting the compound interest setting to " On (true)" and the stop-loss width to " 45 pips", with a risk ratio of "5" %, conducted over the past 10 years (from 2014/06/01 to 2024/06/30).Backtest results. (Detailed methods for compound interest settings are explained in the manual.)

Data Notes:MT5 has better accuracy for backtesting, so this data is from the MT5 version. The historical raw data is from FXTF.

Looking at it,the capital of 150,000 yen grows to 595 million yen over 10 years, resulting in significant profits!

The profit factor is 1.50, and the recovery factor is 16.64, resulting in very good outcomes.

This EA can start operations with just 150,000 yen sinceit only holds one position (the calculation formula is noted in the backtest).

(However, this is based on past data, and future results may not be the same. It is recommended to operate with money that can be lost without affecting your finances.)

This isthe effect of compound interest, where the more profits accumulate, the higher the lot size can increase, potentially leading to such large profits.

Backtest Information (Pound/Yen (Compound Interest Operation))

Next, this EA Alice Shinya was set to GBP/JPY with the compound interest setting "On (true)", the stop-loss width set to "65 pips", and the risk ratio set to "5" % for the past 10 years (from 2014/01/01 to 2023/12/31), resulting in backtest results. (Detailed methods for compound interest settings are explained in the manual.)

Data Notes:MT5 has better accuracy for backtesting, so this data is from the MT5 version. The historical raw data is from FXTFFXTF.

Looking at this,the capital of 150,000 yen grows to about 300 million yen over 10 years, resulting in significant profits!

The profit factor is 1.34, and the recovery factor is 5.56, which is less than the compound interest operation of EUR/JPY but still yields very good results.

This isthe effect of compound interest, where the more profits accumulate, the higher the lot size can increase, potentially leading to such large profits.

Personally, I think it might be good to operate this EA with EUR/JPY using simple or compound interest, and when there is some leeway, to try operating with Pound/Yen as well. (Please invest at your own risk.)

Backtest Information (Euro/Yen (Simple Interest Operation))

Next, I will also include the backtest for simple interest operation. The image below shows the backtest results for EUR/JPY with the basic settings for simple interest over the past10 years (from 2014/01/01 to 2023/12/31).Backtest results.

Data Notes:MT5 has better accuracy for backtesting, so this data is from the MT5 version. The historical raw data is from FXTFFXTF.

The total profit over 10 years is 1,063,769 yen. The profit factor is 1.51. The recovery factor is 14.61. The maximum drawdown is -72,820 yen, resulting in good outcomes.

The minimum required capital for a backtest with a 10,000 currency transaction is approximately 150,000 yen, so the average annual interest rate for the backtest is about 70%.

(Calculation Formula)

Calculation Formula:For 10,000 currency of EUR/JPY, if the rate is 175 yen, the required margin =70,000 yen.

In FX, in addition to the required margin, you need to account for the amount of loss you can withstand, so adding the maximum drawdown of 72,820 yen gives approximately 142,820 142,820 yen as the minimum required capital for the backtest.

Dividing this minimum required capital of about 150,000 yen by the average annual profit of 106,376 yen (10-year earnings divided by 10) gives an average annual interest rate of about 70.9% for this EA.

Caution!: This calculation is based solely on backtest data, and future rates for Euro/Yen and maximum drawdowns may change. It is advisable to operate with sufficient capital.

Backtest Information (Pound/Yen (Simple Interest Operation))

Here are the 10-year backtest results for GBP/JPY with simple interest operation. (2014/01/01 to 2023/12/31) for the 10-year operation.Backtest results.