アリスGBPUSD
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
EA that trades the anomalies of the three major markets
Forex trading is available 24 hours a day.
In general, there are three major financial markets: Japan ➱ London ➱ New York, and so on.
Each of these national markets has its own characteristics and anomalies.
For example, the Nikkei average tends to be pulled by the movement of the NY Dow on the previous day.
So I was wondering if the same market movement of the previous day or the previous time in foreign exchange (FX) would not also affect the next day.
So in this Alice GBPUSD, I examine the price movements of a specific past time period and take a position for each market time period in that direction. Also, no technicals are used.
Specifically, if the movement of the Japanese market on the day matches the movement of the London market in the previous hour, you would take a position in that direction from 21:00 to 23:54, the pre-NY market, and so on. That is the FXea Alice program.
FXea Alice Trading Hours
FXea Alice watches the previous market and the previous day's market movement, and closes at ➱9:00 and ➱15:54 Japan time.
New at 9:00am ➱ Close at 15:54pm
New at 16:00 and close at 20:54
New at 21:00 ➱ Close at 23:54
New at 0:00 ➱ Close at 03:54
Hold positions during the time period of ➱1:00 ➱2:00
*We may not take a position if the price movements of the two markets do not match.
Alice GBPUSD's Nanpin Function
FXea Alice GBPUSD also has a nanpin function (cannot be changed) from the perspective that it is not possible to hit a high and low price exactly in forex trading.
The number of lots is added every time the market moves backward by 10 pips, and the stop loss is made when the market moves backward by 100 pips.
Specifically, if the set value is 0.1 lot (10,000 currency), a 0.1 lot position is added for every 10 pips backwardation, and if the position goes backward 100 pips from the starting rate, the position will be closed at a loss.
The maximum amount of loss at this time is 55,000 yen, which is the maximum amount of one possible loss if the set value is 0.1 lot (10,000 currency). (Slippage is not included.) Please use this as a reference for money management.
Alice GBPUSD Parameter Value
This is how the FXea Alice GBPUSD parameter setting values are explained.
Select Image
-*Please place on the 1-hour chart of GBPUSD as ➱ explained
As ➱ explained, please place it on the 1-hour chart of GBPUSD.
It will not work properly if set on any other currency pair or any other time leg.
➱ Magic number (so as not to be covered by other EAs in operation).
➱This is a ➱unique magic number. Please do not use the same number as other EAs in operation.
▪ Number of lots (0.1 = 10,000 currency) *Maximum number of positions traded is number of lots x 10
This is the number of ➱ lots; 0.1 holds 10,000 currency positions and 0.01 holds every 1,000 currency positions.
FXea Alice GBPUSD will have a maximum of 10 positions.
In other words, if the setting is 0.1Lot, you will have a maximum position of 1.0Lot.
*Specifically, if the set value is 0.1 lot (10,000 currency), a 0.1 lot position will be added for every 10 pips backwardation, and the position will be cut off when the rate goes backward 100 pips from the starting rate.
The maximum amount of loss at this time is 55,000 yen per possible maximum loss if the set value is 0.1 lot (10,000 currency). (Slippage is not included.)
➱Allowable slippage (pips)
➱Allowable slippage is the range of whether or not the EA will place an order when the actual rate is different from the rate ordered.
The unit is pips, which is the basic default (as is).
Allowable Spread (pips )
The allowable spread is the maximum amount of difference between the bid and offer rates (spread), measured in pips.
If the spread exceeds this amount, no new orders will be placed. The allowable spread does not apply to settlement orders.
➱If your trading hours differ due to the use of overseas servers, etc., please adjust your trading hours.
➱FXea Alice will hold positions at 9:00, 16:00, 21:00, and 0:00 Japan time while watching market conditions.
Basically, you can use the default (as it is), but if you use overseas servers etc. and the trading hours are different, please adjust it.
~As a precaution
1) Basically, MT4 is on Russian time.
MT4's default time display is Russian time, the time of the company for which MT4 was developed.
Therefore, the time displayed is basically Russian time (winter time - 7 hours, summer time - 6 hours), which differs from Japan time.
(2) Trading Server Time
Basically, MT4 converts parameters to Japan time based on Russian time, but some FX companies set their own server time. In that case, the time to trade will be shifted,
1. Check if you have positions as set at 9:00, 16:00, 21:00, and 0:00 Japan time in demo trades (Remember that MT4's basic display time is Russian time. Open the charts of other applications and check them as well).
2. If the time is off, set the parameter setting values to move at 9:00, 16:00, 21:00, and 0:00 JST.
The settlement time should be adjusted to the same time as well.
Please do the following
Alice GBPUSD Backtest Results
Backtest results for the past 10 years (01/02/2013 - 12/30/2022). Data note: Data from Alice GBPUSD MT5 version (private). Historical original data is FXTF.
Price: $123.52 (taxed)
¥19,800(taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : 12/07/2023 01:37
Price: $123.52 (taxed)
¥19,800(taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
