crocodile USDJPY_M5
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Real Performance
※Displays results including swaps and fees
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
It's better to have no discretionary elements when running an EA
The crazy journey series is fundamentally based on my discretionary trading methods.
Therefore, technical analysis is fundamental, but it is necessary to be cautious about indicators.
However, if you have to be in front of the chart just because of the indicators while the EA is running,"It's faster to do it manually."I tend to think.
Taking that into account, by adding restrictions to the logic to allow for as much unattended operation as possible, I eliminated the need to manually stop the EA.
As I am also a discretionary trader, after installation,"I believe that not having discretion such as stopping operation during indicators or year-end and New Year is the essence of the EA,"so,
it is basically designed for unattended operation.
Measures against major indicators
Even though there are restrictions in the logic, if the spread widens significantly during major indicators, the win rate will indeed drop significantly.
To address this, a spread filter is included.
Please set it to about 1.5 times the average spread of your broker. (Initial value: 5 pips)
For example, if the average spread during normal times is 1 pip, please set it to about 1.5 pips.
Conducting environmental recognition with two different periods of MacD
Using two different time frames of MacD, I aim to enter when both conditions align simultaneously, determining where prices are likely to extend.
By using the same calculation formula with different periods, the advantage increases.
Since the periods are different, if either condition breaks, a settlement will occur, allowing for quicker loss cuts compared to when done individually, achieving small losses and large profits.
Achieving a profit of 3:1 loss completely with the EA!
This EA is far from the typical "slow and steady wins the race" approach, targeting small losses and large profits.
Although the win rate is low, it focuses on the ratio of profit to loss, designed to steadily increase assets.
Cut losses as quickly as possible during reversals
Unusually for an EA, it performs shallow loss cuts during reversals.
However, to prevent maximum losses from sharp declines or spikes, the maximum loss cut is set at 300 pips. (Slippage may occur)
The narrower the SL, the more pinpoint entry is required, but the Crocodile selects entry points through two different periods of MacD.
As a downside, despite being an EA operating on a 5-minute chart, the average annual trading volume is about 100 times, resulting in only about 8 to 9 entries per month.
In other words, please recognize that this EA is based on long-term operation.
High recovery factor
One of the characteristics of Crocodile is its high recovery factor.
The recovery factor refers to"the ability to recover back to the original after experiencing a drawdown."This is what it means.
Every EA will inevitably go through a drawdown period.
However, if the recovery factor is high, even after experiencing a drawdown, the speed of capital recovery is fast, reducing the anxiety that makes you want to stop operation.
The recovery factor of Crocodile is [15.12] over 9 years, averaging"1.62", and it can be seen from the test results that it recovers in about six months even after a drawdown.
About parameters
I will explain the parameters that can be set.
To maintain functionality, the opening of parameters is restricted.
▀ Magic number: Please enter your preferred number. However, please ensure it does not overlap with other EAs.
▁ Lot size: You can enter your preferred lot size. Please be careful not to over-leverage. The initial value is the recommended lot size for a margin of 1 million yen.
▂ Specify the spread allowed for entry. This is used for entry control during times when spreads widen significantly, such as during economic indicators.
Caution
⅛ This EA does not guarantee profits. Please understand that there may be losses beyond past tests depending on future market conditions.
⅛ Backtesting is conducted with a fixed spread of 1.5 pips. There is a risk of significantly poor performance with spreads exceeding this.
⅛ Changing the lot size may increase risk. Please take responsibility for the results when increasing the lot size.
Price: $249.67 (taxed)
¥39,800(taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : 07/27/2023 22:57
Price: $249.67 (taxed)
¥39,800(taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
