Financial business operator Kanto Finance Bureau Director (Financial) No.1960/Member Association Japan Investment Advisers Association Member Number 012-02324

EVIDENCE

EVIDENCE Auto Trading
Expert Advisors
MetaTrader 4
Sales from
5/1/2023
Last Updated At
4/20/2023
Version
1.0
My Profile
とこやさん
  • Whole period
  • 2 years
  • 1 year
  • 6 months
  • 3 months
  • 1 month
Profit
318,036JPY
Profit Factor
5.87
Rate of return risk  ?
0.62
Average Profit
4,482JPY
Average Loss
-2,291JPY
Balance  ?
1,318,036JPY
Rate of return (all periods) ?
25.50%
Win Rate
75.00% (90/120)
Maximum Position  ?
16
Maximum Drawdown  ?
32.91% (513,414JPY)
Maximum Profit
40,356JPY
Maximum Loss
-7,272JPY
Recommended Margin  ?
1,247,410JPY
Unrealized P/L
-97,790JPY
Deposit  ?
1,000,000JPY
Currency
JPY- Account
Operable Brokers
Usable with MT4-adopting brokers.

Forward testing (Profit)

Product Statistics
Product Comments

Monthly Statistics

2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
  • Jan
  • Feb
  • Mar
  • Apr
  • May
  • Jun
  • Jul
  • Aug
  • Sep
  • Oct
  • Nov
  • Dec

Calendar for Months

About EA's Strategy

Translating...

Currency Pairs
[CAD/CHF]
Trading Style
[Day Trading] [Swing Trading] [Position Trading]
Maximum Number Position
16
Maximum Lot
1.74
Chart Time Frame
M5
Maximum Stop Loss
-
Take Profit
60
Straddle Trading
Yes
Application Type
Metatrader Auto Trading
Other File Usages
No

EA Development Background

It seems that the goal ofindividual investors in the world of Forex is to make money. Are you satisfied with your current EA? Have you ever started EA in order to earn money mechanically, only to find that the money you have been steadily increasing has gone down with a bang?This E A was developedas an EA that canearn alargeprofitwhile taking risks by conducting fundamental and technical analysis based on the starting point of ear ning money.

results

Please check the various analyses first (in $, but the results are converted into yen).

Backtesting by MT4 and analysis results by Quant Analyzer. The modeling quality is 99.9%, and the spread is variable for ultra-high quality analysis. The trading currency pair is CADCHF, and the analysis was conducted for approximately 10 years from 1/1/2012 to 3/31/2023 using the 5-minute time frame.Theprofit was approximately 4.5 million yen for a margin of 1 million yen.

March 2023 is negative, but this is because the backtest forced the position to be closed. Normally, positions are closed after they are profitable. In addition, the back test report shows a win rate of72.48%, but in reality it is 100%. This phenomenon can be seen because multiple positions are closed simultaneously at the time of profit settlement. The maximum drawdown is also "12.15%," but it does not mean that the balance is reduced because the positions are closed at the same time instantly.

The image above is a Monte Carlo analysis of future projections. As you can see, the forecast shows a steady increase in profits, suggesting the robustness of "EVIDENCE".

About "EVIDENCE

This EA uses the Nanpin Martingale method. We understand that some people who are familiar with this method may think that it may cause losses all at once when the market suddenly changes. However, "EVIDENCE" is designed to start taking positions while paying attention to overbought and oversold conditions in the market, and the more the market heats up, the more exponentially the lot number increases. Therefore, we have succeeded in efficiently generating profits while minimizing losses (see reference image below). The mechanism by which "EVIDENCE" generates profits is simple: the ups and downs and rebounds of the price are important. On the other hand, it is not so important that the price stays within the range.

The CADCHF is used for trading, and in 2020,theprice broke out of its previous range and crashed(about 800 pips). EVIDENCE" is taking advantage of this crash to open multiple positions and close them after the rebound to generate large profits. EVIDENCE" has also made a large profit in the instantaneous crash of 2014 (about 1,700 pips), rather than going bankrupt. The reason why we have been conducting back-testing since 2012 is to show that "EVIDENCE" can respond to non-range markets as described above.

The CADCHF has been relatively stable in price movements on the charts since 2015. It has experienced the recent global outbreak of the coronavirus, the Russian-Ukrainian war, and the collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank in the U.S., but all of these events have kept the price within a range. I believe that the evidence of fundamental and technical analysis like these can also guarantee the superiority of "EVIDENCE".

In addition, by changing the number of lots and magnification when nanpinning, it is possible to further increase profits and operate at a lower risk. As an example, increasing the number of lots will increase profits at times of low volatility, and increasing the multiplier will increase profits when you take a large position and lock in profits.

This is the result with a 0.02 lot number and a 1.1x nan pin multiple (14 nanpins during the 2020 crash, for a total of 0.64lots) ↓.



This is the result with a 0.02 lot number and 1.4 times the number of nanpins (14 nanpins and 7.73 lots at the time of the 2020 crash) ↓.


Parameter Setting

Parameter name

minimal required value

Description.

Magic1

1

Set a number greater than or equal to 1. Please be careful not to duplicate when simultaneously operating other EAs within the same account.

Magic2

2

Set a different value from Magic1.

Lots

0.02

The number of lots for the first position (0.01 = 1000 currency).

StopLoss

0

This is the stop loss (Pips) setting for the first position.

TakeProfit

60

This is the profit (Pips) setting for the first position.

Slippage

10

This is the allowable margin of error between the order price and the actual execution price. If the execution price deviates by more than the set Pips, the execution will be rejected.

isNanpin

true

This is the setting of whether or not to do nan-pinning.

NanpinCount

15

Sets the maximum number of times a position can be added by nanpinning.

NanpinInterval

50

Set the interval for adding positions in pips.

NanpinMult

1.2

Set the multiplier to how many times the number of lots to enter over the previous entry.

NanpinMultTP

120

Profit-taking occurs when the sum of the initial entry position and the profit of the positions added by the stop loss becomes equal to or more than the set value (Pips).

NanpinMultSL

0

A stop-loss is triggered when the total loss of the initial entry position and any additional positions added by the stop-loss becomes equal to or greater than the set value (Pips).

NanpinAdd

0

Set how many lots to add to the previous entry.


About Risk

EVIDENCE" uses the "Nanpin Martingale" method, so please be sure to have sufficient margin available. What is important is how much unrealized loss you can tolerate. There are many EAs that do not explain these risks. This is not limited to "EVIDENCE," but we believe that the biggest loss in developing an EA is to undermine your trust. For reference only, the following table shows the unrealized losses (calculated at a JPYCHF price of 0.00685) when the lot size is 1.2x and the total number of lots is increased (up to 14 times in the past 10 years ) .

Number of Nampin

Totalnumber of lots

hidden loss

1

0.04

¥1,460

2

0.07

¥4,380

3

0.10

¥9,490

4

0.14

¥16,790

5

0.19

27,010 thousand yen

6

0.25

¥40,880

7

0.32

¥55,200

8

0.41

¥76,650

9

0.51

¥104,670

10

0.63

139,990 yen

11

0.78

¥184,070 thousand

12

0.96

¥239,100

13

1.17

307,270

14

1.43

¥390,770

15

1.74

587,408 million yen

EVIDENCE" has the potential to have the above unrealized losses temporarily.The stop loss has not been set becauseBecause unrealized losses vary depending on the number of lots and multiplesIt is.If you incur losses that you cannot tolerate, we recommend that you cut your losses.However, as indicated earlier, "EVIDENCE" accumulates profits little by little at times of low volatility, and when the market moves significantly, it brings huge profits ahead of unrealized losses. No matter what kind of EA it is, there will always be losses. If that is the case, take "EVIDENCE" in your hand and make a big profit while taking risks.One investment would be to aim for


Price Revisions

We are planning to revise the price according to the accumulated sales volume as follows.Thank you for your understanding.

2 weeks from release → 14800 yen

Less than 50 pieces→19800 yen

50-100 pcs. → 24800 yen

100~150 pcs -> 29800 yen

150~200 pcs→34800 yen

200~250 pcs -> 39800 yen

251~300 bottles→44800 yen

After 300 pcs→49800 yen

Sales from :  05/01/2023 22:22
Purchased :  1 times

Price: $92.22 (taxed)

¥14,800(taxed)

Provider/Distributor:
Sales site:

Payment

Master VISA JCB
Forward Test
Back Test

Sales from :  05/01/2023 22:22
Purchased :  1 times

Price: $92.22 (taxed)

¥14,800(taxed)

Provider/Distributor:
Sales site:

Payment

Master VISA JCB
About Forex Automated Trading
Forex Automated Trading refers to trading that is automated through programming, incorporating predetermined trading and settlement rules. There are various methods to conduct automated trading, but at GogoJungle, we deal with Experts Advisors (hereinafter referred to as EA) that operate on a trading platform called MT4.
There are various types of EAs (Expert Advisors) for different trading types that can be used on MT4.
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.

To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)

When engaging in Forex, there are risks in automated trading just as there are in discretionary trading.
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.

[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.

・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.

[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.

・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.

・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.


[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.

・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
The requirements for operating automated trading (EA) on MT4 are as follows:
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
If you open an account with a forex broker that supports MT4, you can use MT4 as provided by that forex broker. MT4 is a stand-alone type of software that needs to be installed on your computer, so you download the program file from the website of the FX company where you opened the account and install it on your computer.

Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
To set up an EA when you purchase it through GogoJungle, follow the steps below:
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.

Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.

The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).

Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.

If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
EAs from GogoJungle can be used with one real account and one demo account per EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.

To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.

When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
If you encounter an error with Web authentication, or if the EA is trading on GogoJungle's forward performance page but not on your own account, there could be various reasons. For more details, please refer to the following link:
 → Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
In Forex trading, the size of a lot is usually:

1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units

For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Profit Factor: Total Profit ÷ Total Loss
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)