【ドル円15分足】移動平均線乖離EA
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
Up to 26x in 22 years of trading!
● Technique: A contrarian method to trade on overbought and oversold using the divergence from the 80SMA on the 15-minute leg → The reason for using the 80SMA is that the 20SMA on the 1-hour leg, which is the 80SMA on the 15-minute leg multiplied by 4, is the 80SMA on the 15-minute leg and is considered the most effective SMA. There are detailed conditions other than the divergence condition to improve the results, which may cause the set stop-loss price to not be reached. Characteristics of this EA Although the number of transactions is smaller than that of general EAs, it is possible to obtain a stable profit in total for the year. Even if the rate goes up significantly, it will always go down somewhere, and conversely, even if it goes down significantly, it will always go up somewhere. Automatic trading is performed based on the number 4 of Granville's Law, which utilizes the characteristics of the market. Since this EA is not a nanpin method, it does not cause the account balance to become zero yen all at once at any point in time. And the greatest feature of this EA is its transparency, as it discloses its trading methods as described above. This makes it possible to operate the EA without stress, with relatively little distrust toward the EA. The following is an example of recommended settings based on 8,000 optimized settings (calculated over 27 hours on a gaming PC) for 22 years of 15-minute USD/JPY trades on MT5. ●Recommended setting values (properties)
Pattern 1 (low risk setting: default)
property
Limit range: 80 pips
Stop loss: 10 pips
Tradable MA Deviation (pips): 180 pips
Risk level: Level 2
Maximum lot size (1 lot = 100000 currency): 20
Maximum lot size per trade: 5
Possible trading spread (pips): 6
↓↓↓
setting (of a computer or file, etc.)
Initial margin: 100,000 yen
Transaction period: 1/1/2000 - 12/31/2022 (22 years)
Candle legs: 15-minute legs
Leverage: 25x
↓↓↓ Result
Phase profit/loss: +411,820 yen
Profit factor: 1.66
Maximum drawdown: 7%.
Winning rate: 27.63
Number of transactions: 427
Pattern 2 (Maximum profit setting)
property
Limit range: 80 pips
Stop loss: 10 pips
Tradable MA Deviation (pips): 210 pips
Risk level: Level 10
Maximum lot size (1 lot = 100000 currency): 20
Maximum lot size per trade: 5
Possible trading spread (pips): 6
↓↓↓ Settings
Initial margin: 100,000 yen
Transaction period: 1/1/2000 - 12/31/2022 (22 years)
Candle legs: 15-minute legs
Leverage: 25x
↓↓↓ Result
Profit/loss amount: +2,614,569 yen
Profit factor: 1.80
Maximum drawdown: 15%.
Winning rate: 36.41
Number of transactions: 206
precautions
Results vary by exchange.
If the maximum lot size is set to 20 or more, there is a possibility that the contract will not be executed.
Please note that the number of transactions is small, and even with the low risk setting, the average number of transactions is about 20 per year with 457 transactions over 22 years.
Property Description
Limit Width (pips): This is the settlement limit width from the price at which you entered.
Stop Loss Width (pips): It is the stop loss width from the price you entered.
Tradable MA Deviation (pips): This is how far away from the 80 SMA you want to make your entry. Basically, the wider the range, the more stable and easier it is to win.
Maximum lot size (1 lot = 100,000 currency): This is the maximum number of lots you can hold in one account. Please check the terms and conditions of each exchange as there may be restrictions depending on the exchange.
Maximum number of lots per trade: If the maximum number of lots per trade is set at 5 and the maximum number of lots held is 20, you would enter5 lots4 times.
Risk Level: The higher the risk level, the larger the lot size per entry, but the lot size depends on the conditions.
Tradable Spread (pips): If the spread is greater than the set value, the entry is forfeited.
Price: $85.44 (taxed)
¥14,000(taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : 02/23/2023 01:03
Price: $85.44 (taxed)
¥14,000(taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
