あさぽん|木里ゆうの裁量手法をEA化
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
Yuu Kisato, a dual-income trader, has converted the Pound Sterling method that he reports the results of his trades in his weekly series on GogoJungle's Investment Navi+ into an EA!
With this EA, Yu Kisato won the official tournament hosted by FOREX EXCHANGE, a Japanese securities company.We are pleased to announce that we have entered the "1st EA-1 Grand Prix (January-April 2020)," and we are the unbelievable winner! The results were unexpected, and he was surprised more than anything else.
Here is the winner's trophy.
We were announced on our official account!
They are all amazing people, so no way!
And, Asapon also won 3rd place in the 2nd EA-1 Grand Prix, held from August to November 2020! (At that time, we participated in the EA-1 Grand Prix as Asapon Kai, a slightly modified sales version.)
EA Overview. Asapon is this kind of automated trading.
How much can Asapon win? Verify back-test results
In 18 years, account funds multiplied by 185! Assumed annual yield about 1000%!
| Asapon Back Test (2002-2020) | ||
| Currency Pair | Pound Sterling Yen (GBPJPY) | |
| Spread | 1.5 pips | |
| Number of lots traded | 1.0 (100,000 currency) | |
| Operation Start Date | 2002/06/03 | |
| Aggregation Date | 2020/04/19 | |
| Calculated in U.S. dollars | Calculated in Yen | |
| Deposit amount | $1,000.00 | 107,565 yen |
| Account Balance | $172,687.56 | 18,575,137 yen |
| Profit and Loss | $171,687.56 | 18,467,572 yen |
| Yield so far | 17168.76% (1,7168.76%) | |
| Number of days elapsed | 6530 | |
| Profit/loss per day | $26.29 | 2,828 |
| Projected annual profit/loss | $9,596.62 | 1,032,261 yen |
| Yield per day | 2.63% (2.63%) | |
| Projected Annual Yield | 959.66% (annual yield per day) | |
| PF | 1.16 | |
| Maximum Drawdown | $17,740.47 | 1,908,254 |
| Total number of trades | 3296 | |
| Number of winning trades | 1444 | |
| Losing Trades | 1852 | |
| Winning percentage | 43.81% of trades | |
| Maximum Winning Streak | 9 | |
| Maximum consecutive losses | 14 | |
| Total Profit | $1,218,774.42 | 131,097,470.00 |
| Total Losses | $1,047,086.86 | 112,629,898 yen |
| Risk Reward Ratio | 1.49 | |
| USD/JPY Calculation Rate | 107.565 | |
Narrowing it down to the last 7 years, that's an annual profit of 1.7 million yen!
| Asapon Backtest (2013-2020) | ||
| Currency Pair | Pound Sterling Yen (GBPJPY) | |
| Spread | 1.5 pips | |
| Number of lots traded | 1.0 (100,000 currency) | |
| Operation Start Date | 2013/01/02 | |
| Aggregate Date | 2020/04/19 | |
| Calculated in U.S. dollars | Calculated in Yen | |
| Deposit Amount | $1,000.00 | 107,565 yen |
| Account Balance | $117,525.13 | 12,641,591 yen |
| Profit and Loss | $116,525.13 | 12,534,026 yen |
| Yield so far | 11652.51%. | |
| Number of days elapsed | 2664 | |
| Profit/loss per day | $43.74 | 4,705 yen |
| Projected annual profit/loss | $15,965.34 | 1,717,312 yen |
| Yield per day | 4.37% (expected annual yield per day) | |
| Projected annual yield | 1,596.53% (1,596.53%) | |
| PF | 1.32 | |
| Maximum Drawdown | $11,206.89 | 1,205,469 |
| Total number of trades | 1222 | |
| Number of winning trades | 575 | |
| Losing Trades | 647 | |
| Winning percentage | 47.05% of trades | |
| Maximum Winning Streak | 9 | |
| Maximum consecutive losses | 9 | |
| Total Profit | $480,282.02 | 51,661,535.00 |
| Total Losses | $363,756.89 | 39,127,510 yen |
| Risk Reward Ratio | 1.49 | |
| USD/JPY Calculation Rate | 107.565 | |
I'll consider the strengths of the EA called Asapon.
Extremely simple logic, so it is resistant to changes in market trends and is expected to continue functioning for a long time.
The logic is so simple that it can be written in two or three lines of a sentence, so there is a wide range of ways to respond to various market conditions. Generally, the more complex the logic is, the larger the drop in performance in markets that match and those that do not, but Asapon does not have this concern.Does not use technical indicators, so it is difficult to collapse even in large markets
Curve fitting is not possible.
Maximum number of positions is 1, so capital efficiency is maximized.
Few setting items make it easy for beginners to get started
Asapon has a strong spread tolerance, so there is no need to hesitate when choosing an account
If the spread is 3 pips => "margin
If the spread is 5 pips => "Not bad at all
If the spread is 8 pips => "I am winning".
Advantages of high spread tolerance
Less divergence between back-testing and real operations
⇒In real operations, there are severe rates that do not appear in the back-test due to the effects of volatility and liquidity, but the effects of such factors are reduced, resulting in results that are closer to the back-test.No need to be nervous about account selection
⇒An account with a slightly wider spread will not upset your win-loss ratio. It means that you have a wide range of options for account selection, such as using your existing account as it is.However, it is better to have a narrow spread.
Asapon's operation setting
We'll answer all your questions about EA Asapon!
What kind of markets are you good at? Are there any markets you are not good at?
What kind of logic do you use?
Is it OK for beginners in automated trading?
If I have 500,000 yen in capital, how many lots should I trade?
What is your currency pair?
Which MT4 account do you recommend?
Can't I just turn off my computer?
How much funding should I start with?
Do you always trade daily?
I don't know how to use MT4!
How can I win?
Can I ever win?
How do I set the price range?
Can I leave it alone?
We received a recommendation from FX writer Musashi Shikauchi!
Lastly, a message from Yuu Kisato to everyone
Price: $184.25 (taxed)
¥29,800(taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : 05/29/2020 06:10
Price: $184.25 (taxed)
¥29,800(taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
