Cradle

Outline

• The currency pair is EUR / JPY.
• Trading style isTrend-following day trading
• Because it is operated on a 1-hour time frame, it is more efficient than EAs that operate on a shorter time frame.Designed to be less likely to pick up market noise
• high win rate Hard to lose with Mentally friendly
• If you lose, get it back as soon as possible High Recovery Factor
• Per trade High expected value High Expected Gain Type
• No Broker Choice High Spread Tolerance
• High Profit Factor
• Entry is at the opening price Emphasizes reproducibility Reproducible design
• Internal logic automatically determines the appropriate stop-loss range Internal logic automatically determines the appropriate stop-loss range
• The maximum drawdown is $306 for a 0.1 lot operation The maximum drawdown is $306 for 0.1 lot operation. Safe design
• Easy to operate Max. 1 position
• We do not engage in high-risk trades such as double-entry, multiple-entry, or martingale trades. We do not engage in high-risk trades, such as double-entry, multipinning, and martingale trades!

Logic Features □■ Logic Features □■ Logic Features □■ Logic Features

Cradle's most unique feature is that it does not use a fixed take profit ("TP") and does not require the user to set a fixed SL value for stop loss ("SL"), but uses internal logic to trade at an appropriate SL that matches market volatility.

However, the maximum value can be set for SL because there is a risk that positions may be exposed to greater volatility than allowed for losses.

See the following table

This table shows the results of backtesting Cradle's maximum SL value, changing it by 20 pips.

The maximum SL value at which the Recovery Factor ("RF"), Profit Factor ("PF"), etc. are highest is 120 pips, but 60 pips was adopted as the default setting to balance with other statuses.

Cradle can also perform to a certain extent with a narrower maximum SL value. As shown in the table above, Cradle can operate from a maximum SL value of 20 pips.Best performance with a maximum SL value of 120ipps Cradle can be operated from a maximum SL value of 20 pips.

The results of each backtest report can be viewed below.

Maximum SL 20 pips	Maximum SL 40 pips	Maximum SL 60 pips	Maximum SL 80 pips
Maximum SL 100 pips	Maximum SL 120 pips	Maximum SL 140 pips	Max SL OFF

Next, look at the "SL OFF" column on the far right of the table above.

This is literally the result of backtesting with no maximum SL value (correctly set at 10000 pips). Even without setting a fixed TP and fixed SL, we can confirm that the performance is on par with the others.

Cradle uses its internal logic to respond to the endless ups and downs of price fluctuations with an appropriate SL range each time, ensuring that it captures the profits it can.

This is exactly what this "Allow yourself to be swayed by market fluctuations The logic of the "market" is characterized by the fact that it is

Cradle （Cradle) Cradle Cradle

Mental-friendly high winning rate □□■

This logic has a high winning rate, so it is designed to be mentally friendly and difficult to lose. During the development process, the winning rate was increased to 83%, but this resulted in too small risk reward (average winning trades divided by average losing trades, hereafter RR) and too few trades.77% win rate As mentioned above, the RR is too small.
As mentioned above, even if the RR is reduced and the win rate is increased, it is meaningless to have a burnt field after a single loss, so we focused on overall balance.

High spread resistance □ ■■ High spread resistance

High Expected Gain Because it is an EA ofHigh spread tolerance Spread Tolerance It is a
We will post the results of back-testing Cradle with fixed spreads from 1.0 pips to 4.5 pips.

1.0 pips	1.5 pips	2.0 pips	2.5 pips
3.0 pips	3.5 pips	4.0 pips	4.5 pips

From this result Cradle's spread cap is 4.0 pips the result is as follows.

■□ Balance of earnings on an annual basis □■

The results for 2011, 2012, and 2018 are low, but the other years are generally well balanced at around $600. Of particular note is the very good performance in 2019, when a number of EAs were out of shape.

EA's Struggling Year. 2019 was said to Good market for Cradle It was. In addition, Cradle's core logic uses the RCI indicator, which is not used in other EAs, and is Expectations that the correlation with other EAs is likely to be low and work to compensate for the losses of other EAs It is thought to be able to do so.

Balance between long and short

The above image is a pie chart about the balance between long (buy positions) and short (sell positions).

Based on the idea that long and short positions have different price movement characteristics, Cradle has developed long and short positions as separate entities. Of course, the core logic is the same, but the entry and exit timings are designed independently. Therefore, as shown in the image above, longs and shorts trade in a balanced 49:51 ratio.

The resulting profit/loss graph for the past 10 years is shown in the image below.

The first half of the year, May 2011 - March 2012, was a drawdown. However, since then, we have seen a steady increase in profits at about the same angle every year until now December 2019. 2018 has seen a bit of a struggle, but we have been able to make up for it.Highest profits as if rewinding in 2019. We are doing so.

Statistical forecast profit/loss □■

The graph below shows statistical projections for the future operation of Cradle.

The backtest was conducted through 12/21/2019, and the red graph shows the projected profit/loss for the next 270 trades (in about 2 years) based on the statistical data of the backtest. The graph shows the expected profit/loss for the next 270 trades (about 2 years from now) based on the statistical data of the back test. It is not very reliable, butExpect the same angle of steady growth as before. but it can be done.

By incorporating various functions related to time control, the specifications are designed to limit the opportunity for positions to be exposed to risk.

• Weekend position forced closing
• Entry restrictions during the year-end and New Year's holidays
• Automatic daylight saving time correction
• Rollover time considerations
• Responding to momentary order errors
• Responding to other order errors

■ □ Lastly □■

Please feel free to contact us if you have any questions or concerns ^^.

Thank you very much for your cooperation ^^

Parameter setting □□□■