Twilight
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
Features of twilight | Trading Images | Backtests | Settings | Annual Earnings Chart
twilight Features
Innovative morning scalper for 5 currency pairs
This is a morning scalar EA that operates simultaneously on a total of five currency pairs: dollar-yen, euro-dollar, euro-yen, pound-dollar, and pound-yen. The leg to be operated is the 5-minute leg. While using completely identical logic, the EA achieves steady growth in results for all currency pairs. This proves the overwhelming superiority of the logic without optimizing for a specific currency pair. Since the investment is diversified across multiple pairs, results are more stable, leading to improved profitability and reduced risk.
Reverse entry for early morning hours
Morning Scal" is a technique that takes advantage of the fact that a range market tends to form in the early morning hours of Japan time. By entering the market at the upper and lower limits of the range, traders can earn stable profits. This is a well-known logic that has already been shown to be superior by many books and EAs, so you can use it with peace of mind. We refrain from entering early Monday morning and late Friday night when the spread is likely to widen, and do not carry over positions on the weekend to avoid risk.
More than 12,000 backtests prove superiority
While a typical EA should make one entry per week, Twilight makes entries almost every day due to its unique logic and simultaneous operation of 5 currency pairs. The results tend to converge (i.e., the law of large numbers), which stabilizes the results in real operations. Entry/closing based on the opening price further enhances the reproducibility of the backtest.
Narrow stop-loss, one position fixed, easy to use
In "White Bear Z USDJPY", a major morning scalper, the take profit is 7 pips and the loss is 60 pips, but in "Twilight", the take profit is 10 pips and the loss is 50 pips. You can see that the risk-reward (stop-loss/take-profit) ratio is high. In addition, since only one position is held for each currency pair, risk management is easy and this EA is easy for beginners to handle. You can choose the currency pair according to your preference or narrow the stop-loss ratio further.
Of course, we don't use the nan-pinning martingale.
Needless to say, we do not use any high-risk methods, such as nanpinning or martingale. We design EAs based on the belief that "superior logic can generate profits even with fixed lots. Although it does not have a spectacular win rate or PF, we aim to generate a stable profit in total, even though we sometimes take a loss and sometimes make a negative profit.
Transaction Image
▲EUR/JPY, Actual trading on October 11, 2017 (broker is Oanda Japan Tokyo server). Sense oversold at 6:00am Japan time, buy entry, exit after 7:00am. Works well even in cross yen where spreads tend to widen.
back-testing
Total of 5 currency pairs (January 2005 - September 2017)
▲ Over 12,000 trades, over 80% win rate, and very smooth asset curve with an average annual interest rate of around +50% ( calculated at 0.1 lot per 100,000 yen) There have been almost no drawdowns since 2010, with the more recent results being better. Most EAs win or lose from year to year, so it is easy to get uneven results. There are few EAs that have such a stable asset curve while using a single fixed position without using a nanpin martin and a common sense stop-loss range of 50 pips at most. Please compare it with backtests of other EAs.
USD/JPY (January 2005 - September 2017)
EUR/USD (January 2005 - September 2017)
EUR/JPY (January 2005 - September 2017)
GBP/USD (January 2005 - September 2017)
GBP/JPY (January 2005 - September 2017)
Setting items
| (data) item | initial value | Description. |
|---|---|---|
| Number of lots | 0.2 | The number of lots for each currency pair. Set it according to your funds. Please note that if the lot size is too large, you will not be able to take positions on 5 currency pairs at the same time. The guideline is about 0.1 lot per 100,000 yen for the total of 5 currency pairs. The initial value is assumed to start with 1,000,000 yen. |
| Loss (pips) | 50 | This is the range up to the stop loss. The internal logic will also stop loss, but please consider this as an insurance policy just in case. Although the performance on the test will be slightly lower, it can be operated even narrower. |
| Profit (pips) | 10 | This is the range to profit taking. The internal logic will also take profit. |
| Trailing Stop (pips) | 0 | Disabled by 0. Unused by default. |
| magic number | 171007 | This is the identification number of this EA. Please be careful not to be the same as other EAs. |
| Slippage (pips) | 3 | The maximum slippage allowed. |
| Maximum spread (pips) | 3 | The maximum spread allowed; ideally around 1 pips, but no more than 3 pips maximum is acceptable. |
Annual Profit Chart
▲This is the annual profit and loss graph from 2005 to September 2017.This is the profit model when 0.2 lots are moved with 5 currency pairs. 12 consecutive years of positive profit and loss shows the stability and profitability of this EA. The average annual return is around +50% (when converted to 0.1 lot per 100,000 yen). Please note that increasing the lot size will of course increase the earnings, but will also increase the drawdowns.
Price: $122.28 (taxed)
¥19,800(taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : 10/25/2017 20:29
Price: $122.28 (taxed)
¥19,800(taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
