Fortune and misfortune are acts of entrusting one's fate to destiny while holding the expectation in one's chest. (o^-')b

The luck and fate of a gambler is to predict various cases, calculate the expected value, and only trust oneself to take on the challenge when the expected value is favorable. Since one may be swept up in sudden incidents and suffer fatal injuries, in order to reduce unpredictable uncertainties, one may attempt an average of 100 bets and calculate the expected value with the goal of total profit. As for investors, it becomes clear that they entrust the unknown realm with the hope represented by the expected value.

There are people who construct a theory of winning and make a living from gambling.

For example, in pachinko, aiming for early morning hit-or-shoot openings, targeting machines with positive expected values, the gamblers who make a living as pachinko pros. In slots, aiming for the prior-day ceiling. By reading the intentions of setting masters, detecting setting changes to aim for high settings and make a living as slot pros. In good shops, they are likely to be stationed there regularly.

Individual investors who earn from financial products such as spot stocks, Nikkei 225 futures, and FX. People who read price movements from candlestick charts, reads from monetary policy and remarks from key people, and use card counting to earn money from poker, blackjack, etc. Professional gamblers who never drop the fight and engage in a gunfight of luck and fate in mahjong, where opponents try to force them to fold, there is a proper method to gambling.

One thing not to forget is that gambling strategies involve cheating. Cheating is an inherent part of gambling, and not everyone competes fairly in gambling.

As examples of cheating I know: the pachinko parlor sharers who beat the machines, signal tampering, leakage of information in financial markets, and manipulation of price movements—these are orthodox forms of cheating I think.

Of course, there are gamblers who earn a living by competing fairly. In fact, more gamblers earn daily living in a straightforward manner. If you just want to have a positive monthly balance, you can simply keep playing the machines with positive expected value in good pachinko shops, right?

If you go to a good pachinko shop early in the morning, you can tell that the gamblers who make a living by gambling are lined up with numbered tickets to secure positive-EV machines.

If you think it’s a lie, go and see for yourself.

A big question remains here. Who do these people who earn a living from gambling win against and profit against? Surely they are playing against those who lose money every month and exploit them consistently.

A gambler who keeps winning can accurately discern the essence of things and calculate the expected value, thus do their best and engage in luck and fate with full effort. (´・ω・' ) ノ

They dream of comfortable outcomes and desperately pray, performing the luck-and-fate game, which is why they always keep losing and getting exploited. If you understand this, you will realize that gambling wins and losses are not luck and fate but inevitability.

For example, suppose a pachinko parlor has 100% operation rate; of the customers who come, 70% lose and the remaining 30% win. Roughly speaking, that is how it works. Therefore, one should not neglect the effort to secure EV-positive machines before other gamblers and line up early at the pachinko shop.

This means opening machines, i.e., those who secured EV-positive machines can earn money.

When a pachinko shop is targeted by pro gangs, they monopolize EV-positive machines through human-wave tactics, so even in any good shop, ultimately only “recovery” machines remain, and players are forced to play recovery machines.

No matter how many EV-positive machines a good shop has installed, if the location of the open machines is easy to read, pro gangs and regulars will monopolize all open machines.

As a result, all empty machines become recovery machines—recognize this reality. ＼(^o^)／

In this way, ordinary customers are stung and incur fatal damage, which is unfair, right?

Am I the only one who feels that way?

Gambling where anyone can calculate the expected value is only pachinko and slots. Other forms of gambling are relative contests, i.e., human-to-human combat, with too many uncertainties making expected value calculation difficult, but pachinko and slots let you earn simply by securing EV-positive machines.

In pachinko, the payout is adjusted by the pegs (pins).

In slots, payouts are adjusted by settings and resets.

Because information is easier to collect, calculating expected value may be easier.

The outcome of gambling is determined by inevitability.

A gambler who is destined to win is someone who wins.

In financial trading, if you understand the other party’s hand in advance, you can profit. In pachinko, by adjusting the payout through pegs and spin counts, you can identify EV-positive machines.

A consistently successful gambler calculates the expected value before making a bet. Then, after comparing the uncertainties with the odds of winning, they decide. In other words, for any gambling, there is a logic prepared for winning.

Pachinko shops open many EV-positive machines by adjusting pegs. Slots use high settings. In slots, all machines may be reset to create a pseudo-morning effect. By checking the final game count from the previous day and employing the overnight ceiling-aiming tactic, I think pachinko shops adjust payouts. Knowing the shop’s policy is the shortcut to earning, and merely studying model-specific analysis articles to learn setting-determination elements will not reliably capture high settings.

There is an old saying: you cannot see the forest for the trees.

To confirm whether a setting has changed, you need to invest a certain amount of money, but the night-aiming EV is easy to understand. Night-aiming can be used to determine setting changes, and if you understand the behavior of high settings, your chances of grabbing a high-setting machine increase.

Those who keep winning steadily calculate expected value step by step. Because they verify the expected value, they can repeatedly engage in bets with higher odds.

Anyone who can recognize EV-positive machines can repeatedly bet with high odds, but even if luck is against them and they lose, given the luck-and-fate gamble, over the long term the average effect ensures they prevail (o^-')b

Expected value is an important determinant that directly ties to the outcome of gambling. Still, uncertainties remain absolutely, so sometimes you must take on risk and gamble, and you may have to continue praying luck-and-fate; enduring this sense of powerlessness is the essence of gambling, and yet you persevere, trusting your own decisions and sitting tight to gamble. This is what it means to entrust yourself to luck and fate.