Eliminating opportunity loss with automatic entries by EA and aiming for profits above backtesting by avoiding risk through discretionary judgment
Good evening everyone. After last night’s US data release caused the dollar-yen to fall sharply, I hope your accounts remained safe?
My account has been able to generate substantial profits.
Sharpening discretionary judgment seems essential for those dealing with EAs in this era.
Of course, I understand the view that there is meaning in a non-discretionary EA, and I also aim for that ideal.
Previously, I proposed a hybrid trading style with discretionary entries using the indicator “Ajinitchi,” and then leaving the rest to an automated EA.
However, when business was busy and I couldn’t monitor charts for long periods, I began to wonder if perhaps the opposite might be true.
So I tried a method where the EA auto-enters, and I use indicators for discretionary manual exits, selling it as a combination of Super Recovery and Indicator Recovery.
Even though it is a fully passive EA, when I have a chance to look at the chart, I use discretionary judgment to secure profits.
Or minimize losses.
That is the trading style I am aiming for.
Last night, when the dollar-yen dropped sharply at the data release, a fully passive EA would have triggered stops.
What I am saying is that I, who exercised discretionary judgment, was able to achieve substantial profits.
I sincerely apologize to those who rely on fully passive setups.
From now on, I hope the EA will generate large profits to recover the 117 pips of stop losses.
I have recorded a video about these topics, so please take a look if you have time.
The image below is proof from last night of the manually settled 3-hour chart after discretionary judgment for the dollar-yen.
The number of automatic entry positions by the EA had accumulated up to 12 positions as specified by the parameters.
That was the day before yesterday.
It rose almost to the major milestone just before 152 yen, but the 6-minute chart signaled a sell.
This means the moving average turned downward on seven or more lines.
Even after surpassing around 151.9 just before 512, price action didn’t rise easily, so I manually took profits on all positions.
There were as much as 52 pips on the most favorable position.
With this single move, profits totaled about 400 pips.
Holding period was four days from November 10 to November 14.
Afterward, the EA continued to take positions, and by last night, it held three positions before the data release.
About an hour before the data, I entered three short positions in the market and hedged risk by taking long three and short three positions in a opposite-position setup to prepare for any eventuality.
As expected, the data release caused a big drop, but by closing the hedged positions simultaneously partway through, I ended with only a few pips of stop-out.
Thus, sharpening discretionary judgment through indicators is very meaningful, and you gain market intuition.
Staying mindful of daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes helps cultivate a broader perspective.
The important thing is to protect your capital, whether with EA or discretionary trading.
I sincerely apologize to those who were stopped out.
I’m truly sorry.
And as I have repeated, those who could exercise discretionary judgment by paying attention to important price levels like indicators and milestone prices—congratulations.
The outcomes were starkly different, but the competition is only just beginning.
I am taking this lesson and starting work on a more reliable, fully passive scalping EA that can achieve even bigger profits.
An ideal EA that earns substantially in both news times and range-bound periods, aiming for fully passive operation.
Currently, I plan to offer Super Recovery users a discounted price of about 10,000 yen.
I started on scalping EAs today, and whether it will take one month or three months, I will do my best.
Since Super Recovery is a swing-trading approach, I will develop an ultra-scalping EA that yields even larger profits than Super Recovery.
Please look forward to it!
Until next time.