The mechanism of the capital increase Holy Grail brings the opposite effect from trades

Make trades that have the opposite effect

Similar to a betting system

Similar to a time strategy

Reverse Martingale

D’Alembert

Napkin Martingale once

D’Alembert Napkin Martingale once

D’Alembert reverse Martingale

D’Alembert High Return

Reverse D’Alembert High Return

12 hours and reservation

Binary central strategy and external strategy

Up and down becoming highly leveraged is rare

Except for partial selling, everything else is a fixed 2x return

Take risks with returns 2x; keep losing

Betting system

Wait for time, trading strategy

If you think about this, you can create the holy grail

High-leverage D’Alembert

Low-leverage reverse D’Alembert

Profit with D’Alembert

Win rate: reverse D’Alembert, reverse Martingale

High return with D’Alembert, reverse D’Alembert

Range: D’Alembert

Trend: reverse D’Alembert

Low win rate: D’Alembert

High win rate: reverse D’Alembert

High-win-rate trends: reverse D’Alembert

When losing repeatedly, D’Alembert

When winning repeatedly, reverse D’Alembert

Profit comes from reverse D’Alembert

Because of returns, use D’Alembert

Reverse Martingale ends when you lose

Reverse D’Alembert ends in profit if you stop immediately when you lose

If you adopt the form of reverse D’Alembert, profit will always remain

Reverse D’Alembert becomes favorable from 1:3 or more

1:2 is from the third round

Roulette has no 1:3 payout by rule,

but depending on betting, you can simulate the payout

No matter if it is trend-following or contrarian

Pyramiding is being performed

The market is

Horizontal or angled

Contrarian with a horizontal pattern

Contrarian with an angled pattern

Trend-following with an angled pattern

Contrarian D’Alembert napkin

Trend-following reverse D’Alembert pyramid

Contrarian D’Alembert napkin → trend-following D’Alembert pyramid

From equal distribution

It is absolutely better to use D’Alembert

Napkin and pyramid should use limited repetitions of D’Alembert

Other than D’Alembert is unnecessary

Even equal distribution has a high failure rate

D’Alembert is the best method

20

210

30

465

40

810

50

1265

D’Alembert

0.1%

0.01%

Clear losing spots

Unclear losing spots

Inverse indicator of this

Trend-following pyramid

Reverse D’Alembert napkin is effective on the 4th or 5th try → trend-following D’Alembert pyramid profits begin around 80–100 pips

If contrarian fails → breaks out, trend-following succeeds

If trend-following fails → staircase-like trend

Just make it a pyramid logic and profit

Without considering losses

If you keep adding trend-following pyramids steadily, profits will eventually grow

Ladder

1 → 2

2 → 3

3 → 4

If you incur a loss, take a day off

FX

Time wait + reserved trades

12 hours, 6 hours, 3 hours

Napkin D’Alembert

1 → 2 → 3 → 4

Add

4 → 3

If profits were made, return to 1

If it reaches 1% or more at 0.1%, take profit

Return to 1 immediately after 10x profit

Ladder is more efficient with initial equal distribution

Return is 2x, so D’Alembert loses its meaning

Regarding stop loss

Consider it in terms of win-rate convergence

According to prospect theory, winning consistently means

It simply means doing trend-following pyramids

In ladder, if it goes against you, you cut loss

That is prospect theory and capital increase

Absolutely cut losses

Continue equal-distribution logic

Ladder is just equal distribution D’Alembert napkin 1→2→3→4, only one set

FX uses D’Alembert napkin until profits exceed 1%

Do not break the market view

After a certain time, if your market view is stable, trade again

Difficult

↑

That's because you have a stop loss

If you have a stop loss, it’s naturally difficult

If you time it wrong, you just cut losses

It doesn’t grow

↑

Because you’re napkin-ing

If you put on a stop loss, you’re bound to lose

Thinking stop loss is a cut loss means you will lose

Rather than low-leverage napkin

Low-leverage hedged D’Alembert Martingale is better

In practice, low-leverage pyramiding increases

From the market, you must realize profits in a temporary view

Napkin should be in view, otherwise different

In reality, stop losses aren’t usable unless mainly trend-following

Only aim for high returns

Contrarian trades are troublesome because once they mislead, you don’t admit a reversal

If you admit it and it reverses, you’ll get trapped

If you’re napkin-ing, it’s better to napkin with D’Alembert napkin

High returns allow you to recover losses quickly

Why napkin-ing is bad

Napkin-ing cannot respond after a loss

Also, you just pray for success after more napkins

During that time, profits could appear

Better to employ hedged D’Alembert or D’Alembert napkin

Also, although markets have the concept of ranging, that is a myth

Markets do not have a ranging phase from the start

Markets end with a concept of trends

It’s best to think of trend markets and Dow Theory as the operating framework

Ranging and trending are the same in that you focus solely on trading according to Dow Theory

Do not trade with false concepts like support-resistance or range

The market is defined by trends

Prices move according to Dow Theory, nothing more

Only remember trend markets and Dow Theory; everything else is unnecessary

All aspects of trendlines, support/resistance, and breaks exist within Dow Theory

If you think with Dow Theory

Movements inside support/resistance are false concepts

Actually, only external movements exist

The market has only trends

Range markets are only a perception of weak trends

Do not consider support/resistance

If you think about support, resistance, range, or trend, you will be swayed by the market

The market is only trends and you should

Trade by focusing on price movements as points

All market recognition is a lie

Only patterns currently present exist

Only the current trend exists

You only need to view in points; that perspective is enough

If you hold that expectation, you will lose just by following the overall market flow

The overall market is irrelevant

If you only hold the concepts of trend and Dow Theory

You will naturally be trading with the overall market flow

If you elaborate on it, you will just lose

The contrarian concept is built on the same concept as range

Therefore trading contrarian will only lead to losses

In reality, only trend and Dow Theory are everything about the market

The market should be painted with only trend and Dow Theory concepts

Reassess that ranges are a weak trend

Reassess that price moves outside support/resistance

Contrarian is against the trend

It is not about timing and trading

In fact, you should hold a concept of repeatedly doing trend-following based on the trend’s movement

As the market moves

You realize contrarian has no edge

There is no edge in trend-following either, but even less so in contrarian

Because contrarian involves range concepts and napkin concepts

Reason why I hate contrarian

Because it depends on timing

So it becomes trend-following or trend recognition trading

From the start, you are not trading with contrarian concepts

Logics are all useless

From the start, it’s better to strip all of that away

Better to understand the prerequisites for capital increases

Market movements are

Not boxes or ranges

Cycle of trend and Dow Theory

Why napkin pyramiding cuts losses

Because losses are kept minimal

And profits afterward are maximized; that’s all

As a method to profit with ladders

It is an inverse indicator of Napkin Martingale, but

It can only be constructed as trend-following pyramid Martingale

Hedged trend-following pyramid

RSI

William

Envelope

Start pyramid as is

Where you place the stop loss doesn’t matter

In the end, the pyramid wins

If you simply set a napkin limit against the trend,

you end up losing in the end

Analysis method equals waiting for time

24 hours delays trend formation

Test with 12 or 24 on a daily chart

5:1

Napkin and pyramid

If a stop is in place, profits eventually grow and succeed

Napkin and pyramid

If you keep reserving, you’ll lose

Manual and reservation

No difference

Reservation (napkin and pyramid spreading by 10 pips) will only lead to losses

Set up to three times

Trend

3-hour wait

Range

12-hour waiting reservation

Contrarian

Without a planned trade, you’ll lose

Only trend-following consistently yields profits

Technical analysis does not function

Trends are staircases, angles, or boxes; nothing else

If the market moves moderately

It will move like trend-following analysis, but

There are patterns, and a breakout from those patterns shifts the market

Therefore, time-waiting is still more efficient

Only three things

Strong trend

Unequivocal trend

Unequivocal range

Reverse indicator trades are almost impossible to replicate

So just commit to trend-following

Profit per shot is constant

Pyramiding without a stop means all profits

If napkin trading can be entirely traded by market sense

It would absolutely grow, but if you could do that, you wouldn’t be struggling

Only trend-pyramiding would remain

Pyramiding without actually pyramid-like execution

Hedged D’Alembert trend-following

D’Alembert allows for easy partial take-profits

Just follow the trend-following pyramid or napkin with the market