Reasons why trend-following is more effective and why trend-following is close to a sacred cup (holy grail)

Ways to grow from daily market activity and ways to grow from the overall market, listed

“To make money in the daily market”

Counter-trend trading

is increasing because it acknowledges losses somewhere

Trend-following

is increasing because it acknowledges profits somewhere

“To make money in the overall market”

Counter-trend trading

will ultimately lose

Trend-following

will keep yielding profits if pursued to the end

Counter-trend trading

Risk: Return tends to become more risk-dominant as you trade

If you incur a loss, stop trading immediately; this allows you to keep increasing

Trend-following

is a method aimed at returns from the start

If you apply that to daily market activity, the only way to profit is to pursue short-term gains

In the overall market

Trend-following profits last in the end

Because it is a trend-following logic that works

Even when thinking about live roulette, you can understand

Trend-following ultimately yields profits

The Holy Grail is established from trend-following

Reasons why counter-trend trading is foolish

Because you can profit every day, you think counter-trend trading is advantageous

Because daily losses can be offset by daily profits, you think it is advantageous

Later, when you persevere to increase, you realize the market becomes trend-dominant and you cannot handle it

Realizing through trial and error that it’s pointless

That’s all

Waste of time, so instead of counter-trending or anti-Martingale

It’s better to think of methods with larger profits

Napping with reverse martingale is big profit, but the latent loss is large