Any method to win is fine—the Holy Grail
There are people who win with a one-shot reversal
You should do a one-shot close to averaging down
Enter after waiting 15 minutes
Start with funds considering a high-leverage broker
Starting with 100,000 yen is not essential
Only whether funds increase by a certain percentage in a week or whether you can increase capital matters
Even if it’s 1,000 yen, think of it as 10,000
Technical analysis is effective when short-term indicators are overrepresented; the longer the time frame, the more disadvantageous it becomes
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On a 1-minute chart the opposite is true; the longer the time frame, the more favorable the short-term indicators are
It moves around the center with a mid-term focus
There is short-term momentum and long-term trends in movement
Short-term time frame
Long-term indicators
Medium-term time frame
Short-term, medium-term, and long-term
Long-term time frame
Short-term indicators
Putting technical analysis in causes confusion
Only relying on one分析 is meaningless
The time frame on which a single analysis is applicable is the effective time frame
Chaos theory and recursion theory show that
Only short-term predictions can be made
Therefore, short-term indicators are the best
Considering the market, that is certainly true
If you stay with 5MA, you only move forward candle by candle
A psychopath profits because they don’t consider gain or loss
I think it’s because they lack emotional pain
In a contracted chart, MA leads between short and mid-term
Support/Resistance works regardless of it
Large movements are driven by short-term momentum
If you would profit from chaos theory, you would not
If you think you’ll profit, go ahead—it's garbage
More than chaos theory, it’s like quantum theory
Quantum = ambiguity
There’s nothing to rely on except momentum feel or atmosphere
You can only make short-term predictions, and even those can miss
There are countless timeframes such as 1-minute, 30-second, 1-second charts
They move in complex ways; basically, prediction is impossible
In the end, you can only sense the current momentum, feel, and wave patterns that are ambiguous
You can’t quantify them precisely
Prices carry past prices
Analyzing that has no meaning
At the core of analysis, support/resistance functions as a mechanical device
Support/Resistance = trend, range, horizontal, and angle lines
There is a theory (Dow theory) conceived to pattern-recognize the complicated movements
There is a conscious theory to pattern-recognize the wave-like ambiguity
Everything exists to consciously systematize irreversible, complex, and unclear ambiguity at a recognition level
And whether they function depends on the market
Even if there is a mechanical device in the market, there is no moving mechanism
In fact, it’s like Pandora’s box—though the meaning differs, the contents are the same; that’s the market
There is no correct answer for a time frame
There is no correct answer for scale of magnification
There is no correct answer for short-, mid-, or long-term
There is no correct answer for analysis
There is no correct answer for optimization
Short-term predictions are simply more likely to be right
And it’s just a mechanism that happened to be correct by chance
Market shapes differ by time frame
Therefore, because a pattern is the most characteristic in this analysis, you should not take it as "absolute" or you’ll deviate from that pattern
And after the pattern has formed, you end up looking at the market and thinking, “Ah, this is that pattern.”
Then you label that formed market with Dow theory or patterns
Besides, just gambling like a game of dice won’t lead to profits
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There are cases where profit is higher than loss when you do it yourself; there are times when it goes well
“There is no logic that yields profit better than choosing yourself.”
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There is nothing as wonderful a logic as this
profit didn’t come from the market moving exactly as Dow theory
Profit came simply because the entry direction moved in your favor
What matters here is
It’s not the entry itself, nor the timing of entry
Only loss cutting and profit are important
Entry is not important; timing of entry is not important
Loss-cutting is important; timing of loss-cutting is important
Profit is important; timing of profit is important
What you must constantly decide is
Only the aspects of loss-cutting and profit
Profit wasn’t elevated merely because of averaging down
The market moved in the entry direction, which is the correct explanation
If it moves in the opposite direction, you’ll be stopped out
Aiming that “averaging down is a profitable logic” is not correct
It was only because it moved in the entry direction that you happened to profit
Unless you strictly cut losses, any logic becomes worthless
Prices don’t rise just because they look like they will
Prices don’t fall just because they look like they will
A rising pattern doesn’t guarantee it will rise
A falling pattern doesn’t guarantee it will fall
Analysis doesn’t guarantee it will rise
Analysis doesn’t guarantee it will fall
Any pattern or theory or analysis is fragile and can collapse at any time
Patterns, theories, and analysis are almost non-existent
From the perspective of whether you can trust the entry direction
Averaging down is a logic based on a return hypothesis, so if it doesn’t return, it’s over
Whether it moves up or down, you must be able to add to buys or sells
In other words, trade using horizontal lines and angle lines for support and resistance
Starting from 1-minute and 5-minute charts
MA or the envelope is essential
You won’t profit unless you mostly employ single-entry averaging down
Cut losses and take profits
Averaging down is acceptable, but do not cut losses
Basically, you should average down with a single-entry mindset
This is all there is
Strictly cut losses = enforce direction recognition
Loss-cutting = not a full liquidation but continue single-entry averaging down
Full liquidation = exit or close positions; take a 12-hour break
What chaos theory and recursion theory say
“There is no absolute in the market”
Because there is no absolute in the market, loss-cutting is not absolute
Because there is no absolute in the market, you must not put all funds in one account
There is no absolute in the market, but that is the key
Only hold logic that could become chaotic in this sense
There is no absolute in the market, so technical analysis is useless
There is no absolute in the market, so only direction matters
Whether it moves forward or not, Dow theory and waves become important
Because of the uncertainty principle, it’s important to hold multiple funds
Because of the uncertainty principle, discard all gambling mentality
Do not fail to cut losses, but be painless about what happens when you do incur a loss
Eradicate psychological pain
Following a trend with MA leading, pursuing profits, and envelope around the tops and bottoms