Important things in FX trading
I think we should firmly hold that we are using strategic thinking
Because it serves as the potential to respond to whatever market comes
Trades that are 0 or 100
If it’s long-term holding buying in a stock with future prospects, like bottom-fishing, it makes sense, but
In markets like FX, which can be thought of as a so-called “virtual system,”
Trading with only 0 or 100 is very dangerous
Distinguish noise within 0–100
Courageously cut losses
That kind of perspective is necessary, isn’t it
I think you can understand that by looking at past markets
FX has the most liquidity and the most complex market movements
Rather than being complex, it moves in a way that seems “faithful to random”
Actually, it is often embedded in the market
But it also changes, starting later, and various things happen
Understand FX as a market where “there is no absolute” always functioning
FX uses Dow Theory effectively, but it also forms a Dow Theory that switches the range of Dow Theory
Trade according to the Dow Theory you thought
↓
That Dow Theory does not function at all
↓
In later market stages, it formed as the next-foot Dow Theory
and so on
There are also phases like flag patterns that mislead
There are trades with an advantage in FX, but
In reality, there are no trades with a true edge
If there were an edge, everyone would profit
Ultimately, a trade with an edge in FX is
A trading method whose results depend on and are produced by that logic
In reality,
Nampin (averaging down) can be useful for some, and unusable for others
Some are good at following trends, while others are not suited at all
Ultimately, it comes down to individual judgment and analytical thinking
Cut losses, take profits, and keep producing results—turn this into a routine
That is the purpose of taking risks; hence the existence of stop losses
A stop loss is a commitment to cut losses, but it cannot handle sudden moves
Even so, accepting that and incorporating it is one way to manage risk with a stop loss
In reality, you can also trade without taking a stop loss
and take risks by adjusting lot size according to capital
In the end, what we are trying to do is nothing but “increase or decrease”
The market move that brings about that increase or decrease is the “price movement of the market,” right
Therefore timing is important, and
that timing means the risk is smaller if you respond early
As a result, some people have suffered less because they cut losses with stop losses, while others have not recovered because they cut losses too many times
Reasons for using averaging down (nampin) are
Market restoration (the market returning to the state you anticipated)
Reduction of loss
and so on
There is a reason to use averaging down, right?
For that reason, you use averaging down and cut losses for that reason
It’s always a matter of strategy
And the market should not be thought of as just 0 or 100
The market exists between 0 and 100
At those 0–100 stages, you cut losses and take profits while increasing your capital in the market
I don’t know which direction the current market will move
But if you think the market is biased toward selling
then
Hold a short position and a hedged position (short position with a smaller lot size)
If it turns to a selling trend and you think it’s a temporary top, take profits
And then convert the hedged position into a single position and buy with an averaging down approach
Using hedging in this way is also good
Ultimately, the key to FX is to apply logic and trading to the market