[Episode 1] What is the "Hedged Anomaly EA" that survived 7 years on CHAOS_GOLD BT
“If there’s a gold-specific EA, why create another one?”
This is a common question from people who first encounter 『CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5』. They wonder if it’s really necessary to use two EAs targeting the same gold market.
To answer succinctly,“Shoukintatsu and CHAOS_GOLD are designed with completely opposite philosophies”because of that. Even in the same gold market, one may excel where the other struggles. The aim is to stabilize the equity curve through a division of roles with two EAs.
In this series, over 12 installments we will sequentially explain CHAOS_GOLD’s design philosophy, hedged (dual) logic, anomaly techniques, and why drawdowns occur. In this first installment, we will first outline the “big picture” of CHAOS_GOLD.
The keys to accurately understanding CHAOS_GOLD are just three: “hedging,” “H1 day trading,” and “anomaly.” Let’s first look at a comparison table showing how each differs from Shoukintatsu.
As this table shows, the two are nearly opposite in design. CHAOS_GOLD is built to profit from situations where Shoukintatsu strugglesin flat range markets or slow, lingering trendsas well as other conditions.
CHAOS_GOLD ran a backtest from January 2019 to March 2026, yielding the following figures.
Among these numbers, two stand out especially“PF 2.96”and“RF 11.49”.
Profit Factor (PF)is calculated as “Total Profit ÷ Total Loss.” Generally, PF of 1.5+ is considered “excellent,” and PF above 2.0 is “extremely excellent.” CHAOS_GOLD’s 2.96 means profits are about three times the losses. Even with losing trades, winning trades recoup about threefold.
Recovery Factor (RF)is calculated as “Net Profit ÷ Maximum DD,” indicating resilience from drawdown. RF of 3+ is “acceptable,” RF of 5+ is “excellent.” CHAOS_GOLD’s 11.49 is outstanding.
These two figures show CHAOS_GOLD is designed to wait for trend reversals while holding drawdowns. Even if drawdowns occur temporarily, it is structured to recover to profitability in the end. A detailed explanation will be given in Episode 6.
CHAOS_GOLD’s standout feature is its hedged structure that holds both buy and sell positions. The same chart can hold both positions simultaneously.
A buy-only EA must “wait” when the market is falling. Since it’s designed to catch rebounds, it often misses opportunities in slow or range-bound markets.
A hedged EA can target profits in rising, falling, or range markets. In CHAOS_GOLD, holding buy and sell positions in the same time window limits losses when the market doesn’t move in one direction.
Some people associate hedging with danger, but that’s a judgment on unplanned discretionary hedging. In automated trading where entries, settlements, and max holding days are rule-based, hedging becomes a powerful risk hedge. Detailed discussion will be in Episode 4.
CHAOS_GOLD’s other major feature is its entry decision material. Many EAs decide buys/sells using RSI, MACD, or other indicators, but CHAOS_GOLD determines entries through“specific time windows” and “specific days”.
CHAOS_GOLD executes entry judgments during three Japanese time slots:21:00, 18:00, and 4:00This is based on seven years of statistical analysis of the gold market, revealing anomalies (regular directional biases) where gold tends to move in a specific direction during those times, which CHAOS_GOLD leverages.
Additionally, operating days are limited toMon–Tue–Wed–Fri. Thursday is a complete trading halt. This is based on data indicating Thursday gold tends to move unexpectedly and can lead to consecutive losses.
By clearly defining “inactive times” and “inactive days,” unnecessary risk is avoided and win-rate is stabilized. This is the essence of CHAOS_GOLD’s anomaly design. Detailed exploration will be in Episodes 2 and 3.
Even though both target the same gold market, why combine two EAs? Because“their favorable market conditions are completely different”.
Shoukintatsu profits from “highly volatile markets” and “V-shaped declines followed by rebounds.” CHAOS_GOLD profits from “sluggish trend markets,” range markets, and times when anomalies work.
Even with the same gold market, which environment is favorable can change daily or weekly. If both are running, at least one EA will be profitable regardless of market conditions.
In fact, I personally run two EAs in a real account, and when one holds drawdown, the other often locks in profits. This is closer to “complementation” than mere diversification.
CHAOS_GOLD is a complexly designed EA that, when properly understood and used, can be a long-term partner. If used without understanding, you may feel stressed by questions like “drawdown is scary,” “why enter at this time,” or “why no trading on Thursdays.”
This series will thoroughly cover the following topics over 12 installments.
- Episodes 2–3: The Basis of Anomaly Techniques and Day-of-Week Selection
- Episodes 4–5: The Hedging Logic and Meaning of Averaging Down
- Episodes 6–7: DD22%・PF2.96 — Correct Interpretation and Behavior during Crashes
- Episodes 8–9: Compounding Features and Margin Maintenance
- Episodes 10–11: Capital Growth Simulation and Account Selection
- Episode 12: Mindset for Long-Term CHAOS_GOLD Involvement
For those already using this EA, the goal is to provide knowledge for confident operation; for those considering purchase, all information necessary for decision-making. Next time (Episode 2), we will delve into CHAOS_GOLD’s biggest feature—the anomaly method.
- CHAOS_GOLD is the opposite-design EA to Shoukintatsu: hedging, H1 day-trading, anomaly method
- Seven-year BT yields net profit of 6.6 million JPY, PF 2.96, RF 11.49
- Hedged structure seeks profits in uptrends, downtrends, and ranges
- Entry around 21:00, 18:00, and 4:00 (Japan time); operate Mon Tue Wed Fri (closed Thursday)
- Profit from pairing with Shoukintatsu, forming a 2-EA system that profits across market environments
※This article is intended for information provision and is not investment solicitation. The performance figures shown are past results and do not guarantee future profits. FX/CFD trading involves risk. Please make investment decisions at your own responsibility.