GoldBasket ― ゴールド押し目分割買い EA (MT5 / M15)
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
ゴールド (XAU/USD) 専用の分割買い EA です。
短期の売られすぎを確認して買い、値幅に応じた間隔で同じロットを買い増します。
買いポジション全体の含み益 (スワップ込み) が最高値から一定額戻したところで、全て決済します。
買いが一定数に達した局面では同量の売りヘッジを建て、反発したら売りだけを外します。
ロットは資産に応じた複利です。買いポジションに固定の損切りはありません。
買いポジションが 2 週間以上動いていない間は、0.01 ロットの買いを 1 玉だけ別に建てて短期で決済する補助取引を行います。
【成績】 バックテスト (OANDA 配信の過去価格、スプレッド・スワップ込み)
期間: 2015 年 1 月〜2026 年 9 月 (11 年 8 ヶ月)
初期額: 1,000,000 円
収益: +7,258,029 円 (+726%)
プロフィットファクター: 2.54
取引数: 1,554 回 (勝率 64.9%)
最大ドローダウン (資産ベース): 41%
証拠金維持率の最小: 205%
年別の損益 (万円)
2015 +3 / 2016 +6 / 2017 +22 / 2018 +6
2019 +10 / 2020 +21 / 2021 −2 / 2022 +6
2023 +16 / 2024 +55 / 2025 +75 / 2026 +508 (9 月 4 日まで)
※ 過去データによる検証結果で、公開フォワードとは別の実績です。
【この EA の特徴】
1. 急落局面の売りヘッジ
買いポジションが一定数に達した局面で同量の売りを建て、その後の下落の影響を抑えます。
反発したら売りだけを外し、買いポジションは回復を待ちます。
常時の保護ではなく、条件が成立したときに建てる仕組みです。2026 年 3 月の急落 (4 日で −18%) でも、ロスカット水準には到達しませんでした。
2. 高値圏で増やさない複利
直近の高値に近い局面では最小ロットに戻し、高値から大きく下がった局面で厚くします。
急騰の頂点直後にロットが増えて、急落を大きく受けることを防ぎます。
3. 利確目標をロットあたりの円額で固定
口座の大きさで利確の目標が変わりません。
4. パラメータの頑健性
主要パラメータを既定値の前後に振っても成績が安定していることを確認済みです。
既定値のままお使いください。
【設置】
・銘柄: XAUUSD (ゴールド / 米ドル)
・チャート: M15 (15 分足) に 1 枚だけ
・口座: 両建て可 (ヘッジング) の MT5 口座、日本円口座
・推奨証拠金: 100 万円
・既定値は国内の金 CFD 口座 (0.01 ロットあたり証拠金 3 万円前後) を前提にしています
・パラメータは既定値のまま。変更してよいのは資金管理の項目だけです (マニュアル参照)
・口座仕様 (契約数量、最低数量、両建て時の証拠金、ロスカット水準、スワップ) は業者ごとに異なります。お使いの口座で確認してください
【ご注意】
・ナンピン型のため、相場急変時には含み損が拡大する局面があります
・買いポジションに固定の損切りはありません。売りヘッジは損失で決済されることがあります
・証拠金維持率が下限を割ると買い増しを止めますが、維持率を保証する仕組みではありません
・緩やかな下落が続く局面では、買いポジションを含み損のまま数か月から 1 年以上保有することがあります。その間は条件を満たすときに限り 0.01 ロットの補助取引 (短期の買い) を別に行いますが、補助取引が決済されても買いポジションや含み損が解消したことを意味しません。補助取引は損失で決済されることがあり、取引のない期間をなくす保証もありません
・スプレッドが広い口座、買いスワップが大きい口座では成績が下がります
・5 分足など、M15 以外での運用は非推奨です
・バックテストは始値モデルです。実際の約定は業者の配信とスプレッドで変わります
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
