August 14 (Thu): [Bollinger Bands] Nikkei 225 vs US 10-Year Treasury Yield
This time
is referred to as the “economic thermometer.”
Comparing with the “10-year U.S. Treasury yield.”
We will make a comparison.
【Overall Scenario Probability】
This week's overall market is...
“Rise: 55% ／ Fall: 45%”
Note: Will the direction of U.S. Treasuries influence the overall market? There are caveats.
Note: Provided for reference level.
【This Week's Market Attention Points】
This week, focus on the movement of the U.S. 10-year yield and the Nikkei 225. The U.S. Treasuries show a downward divergence on the 【4-hour chart】, with a somewhat stronger tendency to develop into a downward 【expansion】.
On the other hand, if it rises up to +2σ, there is a possibility of an upmove at the 【monthly chart】 level. The Nikkei 225 has reached the upper boundary of the trendline and may reverse; if the 【4-hour chart】 moves downward, the 【daily】 and 【weekly】 timeframes would see a decline toward moving average回帰 (MA regression).
Additionally, whether the U.S. Treasuries and the Nikkei 225 maintain positive correlation or turn into negative correlation is a key point. Bollinger Band breakout levels are important in determining the market’s overall direction.
➥The continuation is explained in detail in a members-only report.
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● Use “The Deconstruction of the Bollinger Bands” to analyze daily charts
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/series/1613?via=articles_detail_aside
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