7/27★Sometimes I borrow the power of ChatGPT 137~Explaining the factors of EA malfunctions~
FX Auto Trading, the EA developer Reiwa's Double-I.
This series has been written with the goal of posting every day since last year.
Probably we have continued for almost a year now!
If you read what has been written so far,
I confidently believe you’ll move closer to better EA operation.
And since I’d like to take a short break,
I will continue posting by leveraging the power of ChatGPT.
Occasionally, I will post irregularly like previous posts.
About Recently Troubles with EAs ~ Factors Considered by Reiwa's Double-I
Lately, I hear that EAs are having troubles.
I also feel the same phenomenon, both personally and otherwise, so
I will share my thoughts on the factors this time.
【Possible Factors for Troubles】
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Being in a historical high in backtest
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Increased uncertainty such as the U.S.-Japan interest rate differential
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Influence of the Trump administration
Being in a historical high in backtest
Increased uncertainty such as the U.S.-Japan interest rate differential
Influence of the Trump administration
Let’s dive into these three.
【Being in a historical high in backtest】
First, EA developers confirm the logic's edge through backtests.
They test over as long a period as possible across various market environments, and adopt logic that continues to show an upward trajectory.
In recent years, backtest results have often been in the high-value zone, so the period where rate prices are a good reference has become limited.
Therefore, going forward, performance will be determined by how well a logic stands up to realistic chart patterns and sound reasoning.
Regarding this issue, Reiwa's Double-I can address it, so please look forward to future updates.
【Increased uncertainty of rate differentials such as USD/JPY】
EA tends not to trade against trends, whether self or others.
In particular, USD/JPY trend formation plays a significant role in rate differentials, but
currently, theuncertainty of rate differentials seems to be increasing.
Therefore, clear trends are harder to form, which is one reason EAs may underperform.
For this issue as well, there are several update ideas, and we will continue efforts to improve.
【Influence of the Trump administration】
We must also consider the impact of President Trump’s “America First” policies.
Analysts predict stronger inflation, and he expresses concerns about a strong dollar.
This imbalance is believed to hinder trend formation and make it harder for large trends to emerge.
Looking back at the first Trump administration, the difference between yearly highs and lows was narrow; we may see a similar trend under this administration.
We have also considered several countermeasures for this issue.
【Summary】
EA troubles are not mere chance; they arise from the interplay of the factors above.
Therefore, by applying appropriate updates and countermeasures, we can aim for stable operation again.
We will continue to improve to provide reliable EAs for everyone, and your continued support is appreciated!
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【From Starting EA to Intermediate: A Summary of the Flow】
First, it is important to master installing the EA.
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MT4 EA (Expert Advisor), Installation Procedures for Indicators
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/post/1/8212
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※GoGoJungle Video Version※
At first, not everything can be understood all at once, and some people will stumble.
I also stumbled many times at the beginning, so go slowly and you’ll be fine!
If you have questions, there is a “Contact Form,” so use it!
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https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/inquiry
【How to Choose an EA】
Now that you think you can operate an EA,
you might be thinking, “I can’t tell which EA will win… I don’t want to lose…”
So Reiwa's Double-I has
“a way to judge quality through backtesting,”
and has serialized the following articles.
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■How to find winning EAs from backtesting
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/series/1714
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Backtesting periods are usually longer than forward periods, and
whether you happened to win in forward testing can be gauged by mastering backtest evaluation methods.
【How should EA risk management be done?!】
And no matter how excellent an EA seems, if you neglect risk management, FX will collapse.
So for EAs,
what is the risk management?
This is answered in the following article.
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■“How to calculate EA risk management”
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/articles/64703
【EA Operation Mindset is Important】
And, for long-term operation of EA, the “EA operation mindset” is also important.
For those articles,
12/30 Year-End & New Year SP!! EA Full Explanation Course Part 3
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/articles/80551
8/12【Obon Holiday Special!】Now you too can be an EA Master! “EA Operation Improvement Mindset”
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/articles/72829
8/17【Obon Holiday Special!】Now you too can be an EA Master! “Notes during EA operation”
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/articles/73797
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With that said,
it is quite substantial and important content,
even if you can’t understand it immediately, please make sure to skim through it!
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【Reiwa's Double-I EA Listings】
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/users/112481/products
Specifically categorized EA by genre for Reiwa's Double-I
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/articles/67162
(Genre diversification is essential when building a portfolio)
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【Reiwa's Double-I Serialized Articles】
■EA Beginner Course
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/series/1700
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“About calculating EA risk management”
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/articles/64703
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/articles/65978
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/articles/64738
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/articles/65619
■How to find winning EAs from backtesting
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/series/1714
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/series/1701
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/articles/64723
■Reiwa's Double-I “Push-buy, Pull-sell” Logic Now Unlocked!
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/articles/65010
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/series/610
【Reiwa's Double-I's Beliefs】