Trump’s Counterattack in 2025! Schedule F will massively reshape the world order
A Rebattle with the Deep State Beginning from Trump’s Re-Election
It is expected that after Trump returns to the presidency and wins re-election, the fight with the Deep State will intensify. His goal is to make America great again (MAGA), but he argues that there is a shadow power behind him called the Deep State. We will consider how this confrontation may affect the United States domestically and internationally in the future.
■The True Identity of the Deep State
Deep Stateis thought to be a bureaucratic force and other entities that operate beyond the official government system to influence policy. This term is often used in conspiracy theories, but for Trump, it is discussed as a real target of reform.
A main characteristic of the Deep State is that the bureaucratic apparatus, which should remain politically neutral, tends to lean toward certain policies or individuals. It is also characteristic that media, business sectors, international organizations, and other groups coordinate to protect vested interests.
■Why Dismantle the Deep State?
Behind Trump’s focus on the Deep State are political conflicts and the need for reform.
His claim is that the Deep State moved to weaken his administration. Examples include the Russia inquiry, impeachment processes, and election fraud allegations.
Additionally, Trump promotes efficiency in the federal government and restoring public trust, signaling a policy of increasing transparency within the bureaucracy and prioritizing loyalty.
■What is Trump’s Dismantling Plan?
After re-election, Trump is expected to dismantle the Deep State using these methods.
- Reorganization of federal employees: Through the reinstatement of Schedule F, massively reorganize bureaucrats involved in policy.
- Deregulation: Eliminate excessive regulatory burdens by bureaucrats to revitalize business activity and free markets.
- Reduction of federal agencies: Significantly cut the powers of federal agencies such as the Department of Education and the EPA (Environmental Protection Agency).
What is Schedule F?
Schedule F is an executive order signed by Trump in 2020 that reclassifies federal employees as “employees who directly participate in policy formulation and implementation.” Employees in this category are exempt from standard civil service protections and can be appointed or dismissed more easily.
The mechanism of Schedule F involves reclassifying employees who participate in policy decisions, removing them from standard civil service protections to enable flexible appointment and dismissal. The purpose is to ensure loyalty within the bureaucracy and to remove bureaucrats who hinder Trump’s policies.
■What Happened to Schedule F in 2020?
It was announced on October 21, 2020, just two weeks before the presidential election (November 3, 2020). This timing was likely a key message to the election, and after President-elect Biden took office, the executive order was rescinded.
This is my own view, but in the 2020 presidential election, it seemed Trump had the lead and then was overtaken by mail-in ballots, and even looking back now, the vote share seems unusual. I don’t strongly believe in conspiracies, but many may have felt that some force was at work here.
Ultimately, because it was not fully implemented and was withdrawn before full adoption, its concrete impact was minimal. However, among Trump supporters, this system is highly valued as a “necessary reform.”
■A Real Possibility of Major Changes in Global Order
With Schedule F revived, more than 50,000 federal employees could be classified under this category. It is also suggested that the federal workforce could be massively reshuffled to eliminate the influence of the Deep State.
In other words, removing the influence of anti-Trump bureaucrats and appointing more loyal staff would enable faster policy execution.
However, Schedule F has been criticized for undermining the independence of federal employees, potentially eliminating long-term experts and reducing policy quality. There are concerns that political loyalty could take precedence over administrative fairness.
Global Turmoil and Stock Market Crash Risks
Ambiguous policies after Trump’s re-election could have a major impact on financial markets.
Major global risks include heightened international tensions from Chinese tariffs and NATO burden-sharing reviews. Sudden policy shifts could trigger market turmoil and stock market instability.
■What Information Should We Trust?
In an era of information manipulation, obtaining accurate information requires using diverse sources and understanding biases. When gathering information, it is important to verify not only old media but also official government announcements and opinions from reputable experts.
Also, information on social networks should be evaluated for credibility, and being top-ranked on a search engine does not guarantee correctness. The same applies to top news sites; being high in rankings does not mean they are correct. One could say these sources may also be influenced by powerful forces like the Deep State.
Television and newspapers have sponsor influences, and it has been reported that even SNS restrict information. Much of the information in the world is biased and may be what someone wants to publish, so even my article cannot claim complete neutrality. By recognizing biases across sources, one can make more objective judgments.
■Could Japan’s Deep State Be Affected?
In Japan, the Deep State-like position refers to bureaucrats centered in the Ministry of Finance, along with old media and various vested-interest groups that are influenced by them.
Changes in American politics could have various effects on Japan’s Deep State as well. For example, pressure to reform the bureaucracy could rise in Japan, and similar structures may be discussed. Moreover, America’s protectionist policies could ripple into Japan’s economy, affecting economic policy.
What You Can Do to Protect Your Assets
To protect your assets as an investor, start by reviewing your portfolio. Consider diversification into safe assets like gold and bonds, while hedging against stock market volatility to aim for stable returns. A balanced portfolio that does not overly rely on a single sector is recommended.
■Seizing Opportunities During a Crash
Market turmoil hides both risk and major opportunities. When the stock market plummets, identify and buy high-quality, undervalued stocks to target long-term returns.
During a crash, high-dividend stocks and defensive sectors that are less sensitive to economic cycles can become especially notable. These can provide stable income and help reduce risk.
Furthermore, preparing capital for a crash allows you to calmly assess market conditions and act strategically, which is key to success.
The World’s Path Under Trump’s Re-Election
Trump’s re-election could bring major changes domestically and internationally, because it would be his second term. Having experienced a first term and understanding the inner workings, starting Schedule F and beginning a second term would have been a major turning point if Biden had not defeated him.
In other words, this time, every step is carefully planned to avoid failure.
We predict 2025 will move the world around Trump. Every word will move the market, affecting stock prices and the global economy. The dismantling of the Deep State and the revival of Schedule F could rebuild American order and trigger global turmoil.
However, as investors, we should view this turmoil as both risk and opportunity, and remain calm and strategic. To protect your own assets:
- Add safe assets to your portfolio.
- Focus on high-dividend and defensive stocks.
- Regularly monitor market trends during global turmoil.
Additionally, terms like the New World Order exist, but rather than dismissing them as conspiracy theories or urban legends, prepare to adapt to changing conditions.
