Explain the logic of EAs and indicators that can profit in the 2025 market
My name is Masayen, and since 2020 I have been developing EA indicators, and started selling on Gogojan in 2021.
The year 2020 was a milestone for the market, and after the COVID-19 pandemic a trend of dollar appreciation and yen depreciation formed due to a rapid inflationary environment.
During this period, there was high volatility, and trend-following long-entry methods were highly effective.
My main EAs, such as the Perfect Order Pound/JPY and Seven Elements, rode the trend and successfully increased assets significantly.
On the other hand, EAs employing mean-reversion logic experienced large drawdowns and even turned negative in forward testing on Gogojan.
This result could be anticipated by 2021, so in real trading I focused on trend-following EAs and reduced the usage ratio of mean-reversion EAs.
The question is when this trend would reverse.
Unfortunately, starting from July 2024, my trend-following EAs began to see the previously rising asset chart break down.
Among trend-following EAs, the main ones have managed to stay roughly flat, but the situation is no longer one of continual asset growth as before.
The reason seems to be that although volatility has not fallen drastically, market direction has become scarce, and the market is no longer moving strongly in one direction.
In such a situation, I would like to consider a profitable logic for 2025.
Politically, the inauguration of President Trump in the US is noted, but that alone is unlikely to form large USD/JPY trends.
Indeed, the direction of interest rates in the US and Japan remains crucial.
A massive market move caused by rapid rises or falls in interest rates like 2020–2024 is unlikely.
US rates are expected to gradually decline, and unless there is some surprise causing Japanese rates to rise sharply, the USD/JPY pair is expected to move in a range.
When volatility remains relatively high and a wide-range box market continues, what kind of logic is effective?
As an answer, the EA I’m focusing on today is Range Range GBPJPY (Range Range Pound-Yen).
People using EAs on Gogojan are very diligent in their research, and since around summer 2024 interest in this EA has grown and sales began.
I feel this also reflects the exceptional market sense of Gogojan’s EA users.
In fact, if everyone hadn’t purchase, even I as the developer might not have noticed this potential.
As of now (December 2, 2024), Range Range GBPJPY is used by six people.
The biggest feature of this EA is that it refrains from entering when the weekly high/low are being updated, and enters on a trend-following basis when the rate returns within the range.
In short, it is an EA that uses a breakout-off or pullback-buying logic aimed at profiting in range markets.
In 2025, I expect that even discretionary traders who favor mean-reversion will face fewer surprises from currency interventions or rate-related events, making trading easier.
Among the mean-reversion EAs I have developed, I believe there will be ones that can significantly profit in the 2025 market.
December is a quiet period for the FX market, so I plan to conduct thorough verification work as a preparation period for next year.
Thank you very much for your support this year. I look forward to your continued support next year.
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