August 5 (Mon): [Bollinger Bands] Nikkei 225 vs Russell 2000
Good evening.
August 4th (Sun) is the New Moon.
It is said that the big market surges often occur around the times of the full moon and new moon.
※ I’m still at my wife's parents’ place, so I’m sorry I don’t have data for the full moon and new moon on hand yet…。
On August 2nd (Fri), the “decline range” of the Nikkei 225 was reportedly the second largest after Black Monday…
However, that is the “decline range.”
Viewed by the “decline rate,” it’s not a big deal.
But as noted in Harmony’s newsletter,
it may be that yesterday’s decline was only a prologue.
In Bollinger Bands you cannot identify a Target Zone for the drop,
but with Harmonic you have continually presented the rate.
Yes, there is a range, but approximately from 19,000 to 14,000 yen.
If it becomes 14,000 yen, that would be less than half now.
From the peak of 42,000 yen, it would be one third.
I’m not sure if that will actually happen, but Harmonic leads to that conclusion, so there’s no helping it.
If it doesn’t happen, then Harmonic was simply “not valid.”
However, even if there’s a crash from here, it won’t drop straight down.
There will be a rebound.
There may also be a sizable rebound.
Therefore, keep a clear view toward the opposite direction.
This time
I’d like to compare with the “canary in the coal mine” that leads the downtrend, the Russell 2000.
【Notice】
【Notice】
From 7/22 to 8/6 I will be visiting my wife's family.
Therefore, the newsletter will basically be dispatched the night before.
※ Monday morning edition → posted at night
※ Depending on the day, it may be in the morning as well.
I would appreciate your flexible understanding on this.
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【About issues with the newsletter】
● Images in the newsletter crack.
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Such issues are occurring.
Therefore I’m planning to write for a while without emojis or colors.
There will be no change in content, please understand…
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