※【For those who are losing】We will explain the concept of expectancy! - Navi+ - GogoJungle | Auto Trading - Market Analysis

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I’m thinking about travel plans, but once I start researching, there’s no end to it lol

One or two places per night is about the limit, right…

I tend to want to pack in this and that, but since travel time takes quite a bit, it’s better to have a very relaxed schedule to enjoy sightseeing itself.

Hello!

I’m Masashi.

It was a no-trade Friday, so I didn’t update, but this time I’ll explain the concept of expected value in a special edition.

I’ll update yesterday’s record at night, but for now please read it as a narrative.

I think it will give you hints for trading, so please consider this article as something obvious!

Do you understand why expected value is important in the first place?

Expected value = win rate × profit/loss

Generally, methods with higher win rates are celebrated, right?

Why is that?

The answer lies in mental State.

Indeed, if the win rate is high, you can approach it with peace of mind.

Butyou cannot adjust your own win rate.

Because the win rate depends on the chart,you must trade without seeing the future.So what should you do to win?

You have to adjust the other element, the ratio of profit to loss.

And since profits depend on the chart again, it’s impossible to deliberately maximize them.

Then?

Yes,minimizing losses is key.

That’s all you need to focus on.

And when you think about how to minimize losses, what should you do?

Increase entry accuracy, and exit quickly if you think it’s bad.

That’s the essence.

This “if you think it’s bad” part becomesa matter of experience, so

To measure how much you practice by reading charts, you can only look at your average loss amount.Your losses showing up as numbers proves it.

However, regarding entries, we’ve clearly included points in the manual,

and regarding profit-taking/stop-loss, we’ve also included the mindset and key points in the manual, so

if you’re troubled by this part now, please pick up the manual!

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Even if you’ve never won before, let’s improve by looking at this!

https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/50406

↑【GOLD Complete Strategy Manual】A miracle drug to increase your account balance

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Now, let’s take a look in detail.

This time I’m using a Friday when I didn’t trade at all as an example.

If you enter six times and have 2 wins 2 losses 2 draws,

the win rate itself is 33%.

However,the total profit from 2 wins is 80 pips, and the total loss from 2 losses is 30 pips

what happens then?

Even with a 33% win rate, you can gain 50 pips of profit.

As you can see, you can win even with a low win rate by reducing losses and by sticking strictly to the entry points according to the manual.

First time

After selling you, at first it fell, but I closed at break-even where the decline stopped.

Second time

Conditions lined up, so I entered long.

It didn’t extend and came back. Stop loss honestly.

To enter in this kind of range, you need to learn from the manual.

Third time

Here too the conditions lined up and I entered short, but it didn’t drop obediently and I hit stop loss.

By properly stopping out in such places, you can get trades that profit and end up with gains.

Whether it becomes a stop loss depends on the chart, so if you’re scared to enter or hesitate, you’re just missing a chance.

If you study properly in the manual and do as it says, you’ll see more profit!

Fourth time

This is exactly the same as the second time.

There’s no difference with the second time, right?

At the time of entry, you don’t know if it will extend or not.

This portion properly extendsto yield 60 pips of profit.

This is a trade where you extend the take-profit as much as possible, so closing at the bottom is the correct move.

The question “couldn’t you take profit higher?” is a post-hoc consideration.

This too is explained in the manual, so please read it carefully!

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Even if you’ve never won before, let’s improve by looking at this!

https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/50406

↑【GOLD Complete Strategy Manual】A miracle drug to increase your account balance

---------------------------------------------------

Fifth time

This is the same as before.

Compare your entry points up to this point.

However, after entering, it returned to a scenario where I would have liked a breakout on the 30-minute chart, so I decided to close at break-even here.

This is also explained in the manual.