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09/03/2018 19:56
Release： 09/03/2018 19:56
Update： 04/08/2021 02:35
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FXトレードの戦略と見通しとイベントスケジュール
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RBA policy rate announcement, attention to the statement! ~Highlights and outlook for September 4~


◎ Today’s Indicator Schedule

 


9/4 (Tuesday)


03:30　USD　Evans, Chicago Fed President Speech
13:30　AUDPolicy Rate/Statement Release
16:15　CHF　Swiss CPI (Consumer Price Index)
17:30　GBP　Construction PMI
18:30　AUDLowe RBA Governor Speech
21:15　GBPCarney BOE Governor Speech
21:15　GBPHolden Chief Economist Speech
21:15　GBPTenreiro MPC External Director Speech
21:15　GBPThornberry MPC External Director Speech
22:45　USD　Manufacturing PMI
23:00　USDISM Manufacturing Index
23:30　USD　Evans, Chicago Fed President Speech


9/5 (Wednesday)


10:30　AUDQuarterly GDP (Q2)
10:45　CNY　Caixin Services PMI

 

 


◎ Today’s Key Materials

 


1) British Officials’ Speeches


The pound fell sharply yesterday due to officials’ remarks.UK politics will reach a peak this week and next. Today BOE officials’ speeches are scheduled.


↓↓↓ Yesterday’s pound drop is summarized below. Please refer. ↓↓↓

Pound decline and the May administration in UK—unmissable

 



 

2) RBA Policy Meeting


The upcoming RBA (Australian central bank) policy meeting is expected to hold rates steady. Market participants are focusing more on the statement than the policy itself. Recently the RBA expressed concerns regarding debt issues. What are the concerns for future policy? What is the outlook? The statement deserves close attention.


↓↓↓ See the latest RBA remarks and debt concerns below ↓↓↓

Is this a week for AUD? - Explaining the AUD decline

 


3) US and Canada after Labor Day


US and Canada resume after holidays; markets will truly reopen worldwide. Geopolitical risks and officials’ remarks require attention. US-China tariffs/trade war may include plans for additional tariffs of up to $200 billion this week. NAFTA renegotiations with Canada begin tomorrow. Also watch North Korea, Iran, Turkey, Israel, Russia and other countries in conflict with the US. Caution advised.



 

◎ Holdings and Strategy


 

After reviewing today’s RBA rate decision and statement, I am considering a Short position in AUD.


Also, after reviewing the BOE officials’ remarks, I am considering a Short position in GBP.


Additionally, I am considering a Short position in EUR/USD on a break below 1.1600.

 

 


◎ Records Room


I record daily items I want to monitor, such as long-term rates, stock prices, and officials’ remarks.


↓↓↓ Refer if interested ↓↓↓

Records of September 4, 2018 – Officials’ Remarks and Long-Term Rates

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