September 20 (Wed): [Bollinger Bands] Nikkei 225 vs USD/JPY (Course: [Very Important] 99% of thoughts that keep losing money · 1% of thoughts that keep earning)
Good morning ☀
It’s getting cooler step by step, isn’t it!
“Even the heat and cold end by the equinox”
That’s what people say…
Today marks the start of the equinox period?
So today I’ll go to visit the grave from the afternoon～?
Today’s lecture is
“【Very Important】The 99% Mindset That Keeps You Losing and the 1% Mindset That Keeps You Earning”.
More than 99% of people are making a mistake.
I think more people finish their investment lives without knowing it.
That’s how important this content is.
【Scenario Construction】
When analyzing the market…
Rather than thinking about a stock in isolation like “up or down?”, (the 99% mindset)
① Look at the overall market (multiple securities) and consider an upside scenario and a downside scenario.
② Look at which price movement is dominant overall.
Of course we won’t “predict” it, so if you have a rough expectation that the downside is more likely,
③ If the market moves contrary, how high could the rise be?
Then again look at multiple securities and examine the contrarian scenario.
④ And if there is a【strong resistance band】, how many percentage points remain to it?
Is there a possibility that the securities to trade rise by about the same percentage?
We will look at these things.
Up to here isScenario Construction.
We do this with Bollinger Bands.
The “Dissection of Bollinger Bands” shows this, but
Of course you can use other analytical methods without issue.
【Entry】
And from here, where exactly do you allocate assets?
That’s what you think about.
What clarifies this is the “Harmonic Prescription.”
If you can’t determine the Entry-point even with a scenario construction, it’s meaningless, after all?
【Trading Techniques】
There are many methods to allocate assets as well.
Because the downside is dominant, you might say “Short!”
That would still be too easy, wouldn’t it?
- Are you properly hedging risk?
- Are you considering what happens if the market moves against you?
- Is that one point your Entry-point?
We will publish future Part 3, “Trading Techniques,” including such content.
Minimize risk as much as possible and build a system with a high likelihood of continuously increasing assets.
If you do that, your assets will naturally grow.
“The market is not something you can predict with certainty.”
More than 99% of people are wrong.
That’s what I said at the start,
because more than 99% of people have the mindset to “be right.”.
With this mindset,
you are by no means a genuine investor!
Just a gambler.
Unless you shed the idea of “being right,” you can’t possibly keep earning!
“You can earn even if you’re not right” “No matter which way it moves, there’s no problem”
When you can think that way, you will be able to keep earning.
This is the 1% mindset that can keep earning.
(※The following is limited to members.)
