May 29 (Mon): Nikkei 225 vs. Russell 2000 (Course: Scenario and Strategy)
Good morning ☔
From this week, due to the typhoon influence, the rain forecast has been ongoing…?
Saturday was my son's sports day, and it was great that it was sunny ☼
The 50-meter dash we practiced...
Did not turn out as a good result,
but after all the hard practice, I was told my running style looked cool lol
※ Please don't ask about the rankings www
This time
『Scenario and Strategy』is the topic.
It's a story I've written a few times,
very, very importanttopic, so I wrote it again?
First what I want you to learn from “Bollinger Band Demolition Manual” is
‘How to construct a scenario’
Please.
At least two.
An Upward Scenario
A Downward Scenario
Construct them.
‘The market is not something you can predict’
Up or Down?
Rather than trading like a coin flip hoping to hit,
for exampleAn Upward Scenario,A Downward Scenarioare constructed,
If you determine that the Downward Scenariois dominant,
① Begin the decline now.
② Still rise first, then decline.
And no one knows when the decline will start.
‘The future price movement cannot be known by anyone in advance,
it is a world only God knows’
That is why you invest at points where a decline is possible.
① Decline now. → Try allocating capital.
② Rise first, then decline. → Allocate more capital.
And
① Manage the risk carefully
②Where to place the funds
③ How much
④ How to stagger your entries
That is the strategy.
No one can pinpoint the exact reversal every time!
Such a thing is impossible.
I see many posts on Twitter and the like, but
Performance or a fraud.
Look at the veterans.
Not a single person
- can identify reversal points
- can say how prices will move in the future
Is there anyone who declares such things?♂️
On the contrary, everyone says in unison
‘The market is difficult even after decades of involvement’
They say.
‘The future price movement cannot be known in advance by anyone,
it is a world only God knows’
With that premise, how should we trade?
That isthe Scenario Construction and Strategy.
(*Note: below this line is limited to members.)
