February 2 (Thu): Nikkei 225 (Free viewing item: Index)
Good morning ☀
It seems there was an FOMC... I wonder if the market moved a bit?
I didn’t even know there would be an FOMC, so I wasn’t paying any attention lol
Today, I’ll talk about such indicators.
Often
「The rate rose because the indicator numbers were good!」
and similar,
「This time it was priced in, so it didn’t move!」
「The numbers went up, but they were worse than expected, so it didn’t extend!」
I also hear voices like that, right?
Thisthat can be said after the fact any which wayI think?
This isthe reason I completely ignore fundamentals.
① When indicator numbers are better than expected
If the rate goes up → If the numbers are good, it will rise, right!
If the rate goes down → It was already priced in!
② When indicator numbers are worse than expected
If the rate goes up → Because the numbers were better than expected!
If the rate goes down → If the numbers are bad, it goes down, right!
In salons and communities, I often witness people using fundamentals as an escape by making statements like this… ??
If you’re going to teach trading methods, I think you should also clearly teach how to think about fundamentals…
If you’re analyzing with fundamentals to trade, what kind of predictions can be made before the announcement?
I’d like you to clearly say it, right?
Not necessarilyto say that fundamental analysis is bad.
Analysis and trading methods, if you can deeply pursue them yourself, honestly any approach is fine?
There isn’t something that must be done this way!
Is it something you can wholeheartedly believe in, worth putting your precious money into the market?
I think that’s all there is to it.
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