Kawasaki Doraemon Style Exchange Rate Weather Forecast｜Episode 26, September 6, 2021 and onward
FX emphasizes the time element in this ongoing series by Kawasaki Dolémon. As a “Forex Weather Forecast,” we will share concrete trading strategies from a statistical approach.
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Kawasaki Dolémon. After feeling limitations in discretionary trading, he searched for a system trading method that minimizes mental strain and makes profits with ease. After various simulations, he completed the Guruguru Train.
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【Table of Contents】
- Monthly Weather Forecast
- Weekly Weather Forecast (Sept 6–10 / Sept 13–17)
- Daily Weather Forecast (Sept 6/7/8/9/10/Sept 13/14/15/16/17)
Hello! This is Kawasaki Dolémon.
The Forex Weather Forecast is derived from data of past exchange rate movements to calculate the anomalies for the dates.
This time, we will introduce the trends in the forex market from September 6 to September 17!
1. Monthly Weather Forecast
First, let's explore the monthly trend!
The table below counts each currency pair’s monthly data from the year 2000.
Looking at past monthly data, there were no notable trends or anomalies in September.
2. Weekly Weather Forecast
Next, let’s examine the weekly data.
The table below shows the calculated probability of a bullish week for the weeks from September 6 to 10 in the past.
From the results: EURUSD bullish probability 66%, GBPUSD 67%, EURGBP 32%, EURUSDCHF 71%, GBPUSDCHF 67%, USDTRY/JPY 35%.
Next, let’s look at the weekly statistics for September 13 to 17.
From the results: AUDUSD 65%, NZDUSD 65%? Wait, the original says \"NZDJPY 73%\" and \"NZDSH?\" Correction: The text states: AUD/JPY and NZD/USD bullish probability 65%, NZD/JPY 73%, NZD/CHF 66%, USD/TH? 77%, MXN/JPY 69%.
3. Daily Weather Forecast
Next, let’s look at the daily statistical data for September 6 to September 17 (as published in the purchaser section).
