Two-way swap account ends in daily negative operation [Yu Kiriri]
Coin Toss Trade 10/28 (Mon) – 11/1 (Fri) Results Announcement
【Verification Rules】Coin Toss Trade
■ Currency Pair: GBP/JPY
■ Trading Rules:
- Heads = Buy, Tails = Sell
- Take profit at +60 pips, stop loss at −50 pips using OCO
- Entry around 15:00–16:00
Continuing from the week before, last week was almost all sells as well.
After actually tossing coins, I realized that in the short term the probabilities are quite biased.
October 28 (Mon)
Buy → ○
October 29 (Tue)
Sell → ○
October 30 (Wed)
Sell → ×
October 31 (Thu)
Sell → ○
November 1 (Fri)
Sell → This position is carried over to the following week.
By now, buys total 82, sells 91! The bias has appeared again. Interesting.
As of the end of last week, 173 trades completed, 87 wins, 85 losses, holding 1 position for +970 pips.
Cumulative profit is about to reach 1000 pips. I’m astonished at how much better the results are than imagined.
Finally Withdrawing Swap Carry/Carry
【23:00 Heikin-Ashi Trade】
【Trading Rules】23:00 Heikin-Ashi Trade
■ Currency Pair: EUR/USD
■ Timeframe: 1-hour chart
■ Trading Rules:
- Open EUR/USD chart at 23:00, enter only if the 1-hour Heikin-Ashi candle from the 22:00 period has reversed
- If a bearish candle becomes bullish, buy; if bullish becomes bearish, sell
- Take profit at +100 pips, stop loss at −50 pips using OCO
- Long and short positions: maximum one each side. Do not hold multiple positions in the same direction
■ Past 2 years of backtest results show a clean uptrend
Last week there was no Heikin-Ashi reversal, no entry timing. I still hold the short opened on October 21.
【Hedging Swap Carry/Carry】
Finally, the day has come.
I fully settled the long position of Traders Securities and the short position of DMM FX….
Swap receipts have been overtaken by swap payments. As you can see, it is −220 yen.
Afterwards, the receipt swap seemed to exceed by about 2 yen, but in the past there were daily profits exceeding 1000 yen, which has dropped to around 110 yen.
Given the imbalance with the funds I投入d, I think this withdrawal is the right move.
Bonus
Recently I strolled around Kagurazaka. The streetscape is lovely, and there are many nice bars, so I’d like to go there again at night next time.
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Yu Kizato (Kizato Yuu) Profile
FX experience about 10 years. No fine-grained technical analysis; aims to win through probability theory and psychology. Also operates safely through swap carry-arbitrage. Spiritual and music enthusiast, free-spirited. Based in Tokyo.
Official site:Yu Kizato’s Swap FX Life
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