Coin toss is +480 pips, Heikin-Ashi is +250 pips, hedged trades increase net profit [Miki Sato Yu]
Coin Toss Trade August 12 (Mon) to August 16 (Fri) Results Announcement
【Verification Rules】Coin Toss Trade
■ Currency pair: Pound-Yen
■ Trading rules：
- Heads to buy, tails to sell
- Take profit at 60 pips, stop loss at −50 pips as an OCO settlement
- Entries around 15:00–16:00
Last week's Coin Toss Trade was a 4-win streak. After a losing streak, such streaks come, right♪
This kind of thinking might be the merit of coin toss trading. In scenarios where a traditional trend-following method might make you worry, “this method may not suit this market,” you can just accept that heads or tails is 50-50.
August 12 (Mon)
Buy → ○
August 13 (Tue)
Buy → ○
August 14 (Wed)
Sell → ○
August 15 (Thu)
Buy → ○
August 16 (Fri)
Sell → ×
Total performance up to now is 58 wins, 60 losses, +480 pips. Looking good.
Comfort of a 2:1 Risk-Reward Ratio
【23:00 Heikin-Ashi Trade】
【Trading Rules】23:00 Heikin-Ashi Trade
■ Currency pair: EUR/USD
■ Timeframe: 1-hour chart
■ Trading rules：
- Open the EUR/USD chart at 23:00 and only enter if the 1-hour Heikin-Ashi candle from around 22:00 has reversed
- If a bearish candle becomes bullish, buy; if a bullish candle becomes bearish, sell
- Take profit at +100 pips, stop loss at −50 pips as an OCO settlement
- The maximum number of positions held for each side is 1. Do not hold multiple positions in the same direction
■ Past two years' backtest results show a clean upward trend
Last week there were no trades due to hedged positions and Heikin-Ashi not reversing.
However, the positions held were closed out.
The first was stopped out at −50 pips.
The second was taken at +100 pips.
Total performance here is 9 wins, 13 losses, +250 pips. Since the profit target is twice the loss target, this level of loss still yields a comfortable positive result. Stability is nice.
【Hedging Swap Details and Gains】
There have been significant fluctuations recently.
First, on August 13, DMMFX’s paid swap dropped from 20 to 17 yen. Then on August 14, Minna no FX’s receive swap rose from 22 to 23 yen.
Both changes increase revenue. The current situation is shown in this image.
Bonus
We continue the retro coffeehouse explorations. Visited Sabo-ru in Jimbocho. The name is delightful.
Miki Yuri (Kizato Yuu) Profile
FX history about 10 years. Avoids detailed technical analysis, aiming for success through probability theory and psychology. Steady compounding with swap arbitrage. A自由人 who loves spirituality and music. Based in Tokyo.
Official site：Kizato Yuu’s Swap FX Life
Twitter：https://twitter.com/KizatoFX
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