No. 20 | Shiroyagi’s EA Operation Diary | FX3EA unrealized total -108,387 yen, no settlements or new orders for 5 products (Tue 9/15)

Today none of the five forward-tested products closed a trade, and the realized profit/loss was exactly 0 yen. There were no new positions opened or added purchases, and all held positions were carried over from the previous trading day. While the yen weakened against the other currencies across the board, the total unrealized P/L for FX3EA stood at −108,387 yen, widening by 9,854 yen from the previous business day’s −98,533 yen.

■Today's Market

The USD/JPY pair rose slightly to the low 9.5 range in the land yen pair at9.516 yen(compared with the open; +0.037 yen) and the pair advanced in the early trading. The USD/JPY continued to rise to154.813 yen(up +0.493 yen, intraday high 155.239 yen, low 154.211 yen) and briefly touched the 155 level intraday. Ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting opening from today through the 16th, U.S. long-term rates remain high and market expectations for a rate hike exceed 90%, supporting dollar buying. The AUD/JPY rose to110.364 yen(same +0.292 yen), NZD/JPY rose to89.209 yen(same +0.059 yen, intraday high 89.435 yen, low 88.967 yen) and both pairs recovered modestly. The Nikkei Stock Average closed at63,484.10 yen(day change −8.89 yen, −0.01%) marking a third consecutive small decline. After U.S. stocks dropped the previous day, there was selling, followed by a rebound; intraday it recovered to 64,101.00 yen, returning to the 64,000 level, but domestic long-term yields rose to 3.030% temporarily and oil prices remained a headwind, causing selling pressure in the afternoon. The S&P 500 closed at7,619.98(−37.00, −0.48%) and the New York market on the 15th starts at 10:30 p.m. JST, so not reflected yet.

■EA By Forward Status

“Today's realized profit/loss” is the daily P/L shown on each product page's detailed statistics (monthly). Account balance and unrealized P/L are the values shown on the page from 20:35 to 21:00 today. Annual rate (this year / total) are reference values based on simple interest and initial amount.

①sheep6 AUD/JPY・NZD/JPY | M30 | Long-only, up to 6 lots

There were no closes or expansions; we hold three NZD/JPY long positions carried forward: opened Aug 21 at 95.113 yen (0.01 lot), Sep 2 at 92.846 yen (0.02 lot), and Sep 8 at 90.578 yen (0.03 lot). NZD/JPY opened at 89.209 yen, up 0.059 yen from the open, but from the previous business day’s 20:35 price of 89.274 yen it is down 0.065 yen, increasing the unrealized loss from −16,535 yen to −18,107 yen by 1,572 yen. This −18,107 yen exactly matches the estimated 18,107 yen read from the公式運用チャート (official performance chart) for the same date published in the previous issue. The orange line in today’s chart shows an approximate daily profit of about 769,700 yen; the difference between realized 788,231 yen and the orange-line estimate equals the intraday maximum unrealized loss, estimated here at 18,497 yen.

②Kuroyagi-san Evolution AUD/JPY | M30 | MA + BB reversal, averaging & swap

Since adding 0.03 lot on the 14th at 1:05, there has been no movement; we have 7 AUD/JPY longs totaling 0.21 lots carried forward. The AUD/JPY pair rebounded to 110.364 yen (+0.292 yen from the open), but the unrealized P/L widened from −47,669 yen to −54,803 yen by 7,134 yen. It is 3.5% of the balance; relative to the actual maximum drawdown (1,245,840 yen, 29.13%), this is in the 4% range. On the other hand, the orange line on the official performance chart today shows about 538,900 yen, and the intraday maximum unrealized loss read from the chart is about 48,349 yen, which is 6,454 yen smaller than the upper display.

③kotukotu-EX ZAR/JPY | H4 | BB trend-following, averaging & swap

Account balance and monthly analysis have not moved since September 4. The line at the top saying “Performance being updated.” remains seven lines long, and the exact number of lots held cannot be confirmed on the page. The land yen opened slightly higher at +0.037 yen to 9.516 yen, but the upper unrealized P/L widened from −34,329 yen to −35,477 yen by 1,148 yen. The orange line on the official performance chart today shows about 240,900 yen, and the difference from realized 276,404 yen equals the intraday maximum unrealized loss estimated by reading the chart at 35,477 yen, which matches exactly the upper display. The actual maximum drawdown (202,772 yen, 41.61%) is in the 17% range, compared to the upper display.

④Index Seven S&P500・Nikkei 225 | D1 | 7-logic buy-only

There is no entry for today in the daily calendar, and there were no closures or new entries. Although it is a daily EA, there have been no new entries since September 12, and holdings remain three S&P500 longs opened on September 10 (7,655.81) and September 11 (7,599.81 / 7,599.31). The S&P500 fell to 7,619.98 on the New York market on the 14th, turning unrealized from +$60 to −$30. The account balance is $10,293.00, September total −$40.32, and year-to-date total $292.95 have not changed since the previous issue. The orange line on the official performance chart today shows about +$204, and the difference from realized $293 equals an intraday maximum unrealized loss read from the chart around $89.

⑤Rand Builder Rand Builder ZAR/JPY | Swaps + compounding, 3-layer down-side protection

From 1:05 on the 14th, two positions were opened at 9.489 yen; since then there has been no further buying, leaving 15 lots totaling 0.80 lot held. The land yen was relatively flat in the 9.5 yen range, so unrealized movement was limited to a drop from −26,292 yen to −26,917 yen. The maximum drawdown shown at the top of the page updates from 48.27% (26,292 yen) to 48.31% (26,917 yen). At roughly 1.0–3.5% of the balance, this is a modest level compared to the calculated maximum drawdown (including unrealized losses) of around 22.5% as per the design. The orange line of the official performance chart today shows about −25,000 yen, aligning with the upper unrealized display.

⑥ Rand Builder (Real Account)FXTF・ZAR/JPY | H4 active | Self-measured (MT4 screen)

From here on, this is not GogoJungle forward measurements but the MT4 screen of Rand Builder running in my FXTF real account. The numbers are directly copied from the MT4 display.

The real account also had no closures today, and today’s realized profit/loss was ±0 yen. The MT4 screen above was saved at 20:53 JST on the 15th (14:53 server time in MT4). There have been no changes to positions since the previous issue, remaining 14 positions (EA1 8 lots + EA2 6 lots) totaling 1.96 lots. The unrealized loss of −57,346 yen is broken down as EA1 −50,627 yen and EA2 −6,719 yen; compared to the previous issue’s −64,634 yen at 22:27 on the 14th, this is a reduction of 7,288 yen. This corresponds to about 4.6% of usable margin. The monitor’s margin maintenance rate moved from 833% to 841%, and the theoretical loss-cut level moved from 4.508 yen to 4.505 yen (100% determination, including additional buying), while the swaps total increased by 232 yen from the previous issue, reaching +3,064 yen.

■Today’s Summary

FX3EA total: today’s realized profit/loss ±0 yen / total unrealized−108,387 yen
Index Seven (USD-denominated): today’s realized profit/loss ±$0 / unrealized−$30
Rand Builder (Forward): today’s realized profit/loss ±0 yen / unrealized−26,917 yen
Rand Builder (Real Account – FXTF): today’s realized profit/loss ±0 yen / unrealized−57,346 yen

Today, none of the five forward-tested products closed a trade, and there were no new entries either. The real account in item ⑥ also had no changes in positions, so all six products had no notable activity, with only the unrealized value changing. The total unrealized for FX3EA increased to −108,387 yen from the previous business day’s −98,533 yen, with the breakdown: Kuroyagi Evolution −54,803 yen, kotukotu-EX −35,477 yen, sheep6 −18,107 yen. Relative to the balance, this is about 1.0–3.5%; compared to each EA’s actual maximum drawdown (ranging from 200k to 1.24M yen), the level remains modest. Index Seven declined in the 14th’s S&P500 drop, turning unrealized from +$60 to −$30; Rand Builder’s unrealized loss remained limited as the Yen moved little. Note that sheep6 and Kuroyagi Evolution show a discrepancy between the upper unrealized display and the orange line on the official performance chart today (approx. 18,497 yen and 48,349 yen respectively), while the upper display of −18,107 yen exactly matches the 14th’s chart reading. Today all EAs show no abnormality. See you again tomorrow at 21:00.

■Announcements

The “annualized rate (this year / total)” on the books is a reference value based on simple interest and initial amount and does not guarantee future results (EA with less than 90 days since measurement start are omitted). This week, events include: FOMC results from today into the early morning JST on the 17th, U.S. August retail sales on the 16th, Bank of Japan policy meeting on the 17th–18th, and Japan’s August nationwide consumer price index on the 18th, with potential volatility around the US and Japanese policy announcements. Cross-yen pairs, S&P 500, and Nikkei 225 may swing before and after these meetings.

■EA Usage List

• sheep6(Win rate 92.84% / PF 5.39 / max DD 26.58%)
• Steady Clarity Kuroyagi Evolution AUDJPY(Win rate 70.13% / PF 1.17 / max DD 28.98%)
• kotukotu-EX ZARJPY(Win rate 73.74% / PF 1.67 / max DD 41.61%)
• Index Seven | Nikkei 225 & S&P500(Measurement in 3 months)
• Rand Builder Rand Builder(Forward measurement 26th day)

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. The figures are from GogoJungle forward measurements (demo account) (⑥ real account is self-measured on the MT4 screen), and do not guarantee future results.