Issue 15｜Shiroyagi's EA Operation Diary｜No settlements on both days; FX3EA unrealized total −57,211 yen, Land Builder sales start (9/7–9/8)

Because the article could not be posted on September 7 due to connection issues, this issue combines two days, 7th and 8th. On these two days, cross yen strengthened further, and for the five forward-measured products there was no settlement, only more buying. The total unrealized loss for FX3EA is −57,211 yen, widening from −42,194 yen at the close on the 4th.

■Today's Market

On Monday the 7th, while the US was closed for Labor Day, the Tokyo market saw the Nikkei stock average rise to66,399.84 yenfrom the close on the 4th by 1,378.90 yen. Meanwhile the yen appreciated, with USD/JPY dropping from the week's opening around 156.14 to154.36 yenand USD/JPY? dropping from 9.768 to9.636for ZAR/JPY?; the levels moved to 112.43 yen to 111.34 yen for AUD/JPY, and NZD/JPY from 91.75 to 90.60. On the 8th (Tue), the trend continued, and by 20:50 USD/JPY was154.229 yen(opening difference −0.014 yen, intraday low 152.893),111.263 yenfor AUD/JPY (−0.080, low 110.282), NZD/JPY90.121 yen(−0.482, low 89.669), and USD/JPY154.229 yen(−0.131, low 152.893). The Bank of Japan’s anticipated faster rate hikes, plus pressure from U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen toward yen depreciation, were cited as reasons for yen buying. The Nikkei Average closed down 1,130.51 points or −1.70% at65,269.33 yen(vs. previous close), marking a three-session decline. S&P 500 was closed on the 7th, so the most recent confirmed value is the September 4 close of7,718.60(−29.11, −0.38%).

■EA Forward Status by Item

The “Confirmed P/L on the 7th/8th” is the daily P/L shown in the detailed statistics (monthly) on each product page. Account balance and unrealized P/L reflect the page values at 20:50–21:10 on the 8th. Annual rate (this year / cumulative) is a reference value based on simple interest and initial amount.

①sheep6 AUD/JPY・NZD/JPY｜M30｜Long-only, up to 6 lots

Both days had no settlements, and at 2:08 on the 8th NZD/JPY was bought another 0.03 lot at 90.578 yen, bringing it to 3 lots total. This is carried forward from the August 21 settlement (95.113 yen, 0.01 lot) and the September 2 settlement (92.846 yen, 0.02 lot). As NZD/JPY briefly dropped to 89.669 yen, unrealized P/L widened from −6,850 yen to −8,637 yen. The orange line on the official operation chart (daily maximum unrealized P/L) for the 7th is about 780,000 yen (the intraday maximum unrealized around 8,200 yen by approximate chart reading), and for the 8th it is about 774,400 yen (about 13,800 yen)..

②Kuroyagi-san Evolution AUD/JPY｜M30｜MA＋BB reversal, averaging down & swap

There were no settlements, and at 11:18 on the 7th 111.604 yen and at 4:27 on the 8th 110.794 yen, each adding 0.03 lot, making AUD/JPY long 6 lots totaling 0.18. This is the sixth averaging down since the Aug 28 settlement (114.856 yen). As AUD/JPY fell to 110.282 yen, unrealized P/L widened from −22,098 to −27,370 yen, but in comparison with the actual maximum drawdown (1,245,840 yen, 29.09%), it is around 1.7% of balance. The orange line on the official operation chart shows on the 7th around 550,000–560,000 yen (intraday maximum unrealized around 32,000 yen by approximate chart reading), and on the 8th around 544,500 yen (around 42,800 yen). This EA’s official product page shows sale start date as September 8, and the prior display has been removed.

③kotukotu-EX ZAR/JPY｜H4｜BB bullish, averaging down & swap

There were no settlements, and account balance and monthly analysis have not moved since Sept 4. As the USDJPY declined, more buying occurred, and the line at the top of the forward history “Updating results.” has grown from 2 lines to 7 lines, but the number of positions cannot be fixed on the page. Unrealized P/L widened from −13,246 to −21,204 yen. The orange line on the official operation chart for the 7th shows around 263,000 yen (intraday max unrealized estimated at about 13,400 yen), and for the 8th around 253,800 yen (about 22,600 yen). Compared with the actual maximum drawdown (202,772 yen, 41.61%), this is around 10% of that level.

④Index Seven S&P500・Nikkei 225｜D1｜7-logic buy-only

The settlement on Sept 6 (+$66) that I mentioned in the previous issue has been reflected in the balance at the top of the page ($10,400.00) and the total revenue (all time) $400.00, and in the monthly analysis (September $66.59; YTD $399.86) at the bottom. At 0:00 on the 7th I re-established an S&P500 long at 7,722.02 for 0.01 lot, and there is no entry for the 8th in the daily calendar. Since the US market was closed on the 7th, price movement was limited, and unrealized P/L is −$17. The orange line on the official operation chart is about +$376, and the difference from the settled $400 is that the intraday maximum unrealized is estimated at about $24.

⑤Rand Builder Rand Builder ZAR/JPY｜Swap + compound interest, 3-layer down protection

There were no settlements, and on the 7th I bought 4 lots (9.744, 9.702, 9.701, 9.664) and on the 8th 2 lots (9.622, 9.582) for a total of 13 lots, 0.78 lot. The maximum number of positions shown at the top of the page has also been updated to 13. Unrealized P/L widened from −9,033 to −19,924 yen, and the maximum drawdown column shows 47.74% (19,924 yen), which is the current unrealized loss. This corresponds to about 2.0% of the initial 1,000,000 yen, and is about one-tenth of the designed maximum drawdown (unrealized loss included, about 22.5%). The orange line on the official operation chart for the 7th is around −11,100 yen, the intraday max unrealized around 13,000 yen; for the 8th around −17,600 yen (about 19,500 yen). Note that the product page lists the sale start date as September 8, and the previous display has been removed.

⑥ Rand Builder (Real Account)FXTF・ZAR/JPY｜H4 Active｜Self-measurement (MT4 screen)

From here on, this is not GogoJungle forward measurement, but the MT4 screen of Rand Builder that I operate in a real FXTF account. The numbers are copied directly from MT4.

The real account also had no settlements on the 7th and 8th. The second logic (EA2) bought 0.12 lots at 9.669 yen at 13:07 on the 7th and at 9.578 yen at 5:40 on the 8th. Current holdings are 10 lots (first logic 7, second logic 3) totaling 1.70 lots. Unrealized loss of −40,265 yen is about 3.2% of usable margin, and the monitor shows a margin maintenance rate of 972% with an estimated stop-out level of 4.499 yen (100% evaluation, including increases). After the previous issue, the second logic 3 lots built on Sept 4 were settled within the same day, bringing this month and cumulative confirmed P/L from +732 yen to +1,668 yen.

■Today’s Summary

FX3EA Total: 7th & 8th Confirmed P/L ±0 yen / Unrealized P/L total−57,211円
Index Seven (USD-denominated): 7th & 8th ±$0 / Unrealized−$17
Rand Builder (Forward): 7th & 8th ±0 yen / Unrealized−19,924円
Rand Builder (Real Account・FXTF): Today’s Confirmed P/L ±0 yen / Unrealized−40,265円

Across two days, none of the six accounts settled; only buying increased. Sheep6 added 1 lot, Kuroyagi Evolution added 2 lots, Rand Builder forward added 6 lots and real account added 2 lots. FX3EA Unrealized total −57,211 yen widened by 15,017 yen from the 4th close of −42,194 yen, with breakdowns: Kuroyagi Evolution −27,370 yen, Kotukotu-EX −21,204 yen, Sheep6 −8,637 yen. The averaging-down EA increases positions during declines, and while confirmed P/L stops and unrealized losses grow, compared to the actual maximum drawdown (200k−1.24M yen), the remaining balance is around 0.5–1.7%. The official operation chart orange line for the 7th is about 0.261 million yen, and for the 8th about 0.2538 million yen; the realized maximum drawdown (20,2772 yen, 41.61%) is about one-tenth of that value.No abnormality today for all EAs. Also see you tomorrow at 21:00.

■Notice

On Monday, September 7, due to connection issues, updates could not be posted. We apologize to those who looked forward to it. From tomorrow onward, updates will return to the usual weekday around 21:00. Also, Rand Builder, which has been developed, now has the sale start date listed as September 8 on the product page. This series will continue to record daily figures with two components: GogoJungle公开 Forward measurement (⑤) and my real account (⑥). The “Annualized (This Year / Cumulative)” on the ledger is a reference value based on simple interest and initial amount and does not guarantee future results (EA with measurement started within 90 days may be omitted). This week, the US August Wholesale Prices Index on Sep 10 and US August CPI and Japan's Q2–Q4 GDP revisions on Sep 11 are ahead.

■EA List

• sheep6(Win rate 92.84% / PF5.39 / Max DD 26.58%)
• Steady Pacing Kuroyagi Evolution AUDJPY(Win rate 70.13% / PF1.17 / Max DD 28.98%)
• kotukotu-EX ZARJPY(Win rate 73.74% / PF1.67 / Max DD 41.61%)
• Index Seven｜Nikkei 225 & S&P500(Measurement: 3 months)
• Rand Builder Rand Builder(Forward measurement: 19th day)

This article is for information purposes and does not constitute investment advice. The numbers listed are from GogoJungle forward measurement (demo account) and the real account in item ⑥ is self-measured on MT4, and do not guarantee future results.