Weekly Summary Episode 3 | Shiroyagi's EA Operation Diary | FX3EA total +177 yen, unrealized total from −4,352 yen to −37,486 yen (8/31–9/4)

This is the third weekly summary. This week's FX3EA total, based on daily calendar, is +177 yen in settlement, with only 10 settlements from kotukotu-EX. On the other hand, as cross currencies declined significantly toward midweek, the total unrealized and realized P/L carried into the weekend stood at −37,486 yen, widening from last weekend's −4,352 yen.

■This Week's Market

It was a week of appreciating yen. On Tuesday, September 2, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised its policy rate to 2.75%, but the statement hinted at a cautious outlook for the future, causing USD/NZD to94.35 to 92.98 yenplunge, and the Nikkei Stock Average also fell sharply due to rising tensions in the Middle East−1,889.70 points (−2.85%)on the same day. On Wednesday, September 3, expectations of a large rate hike by the Bank of Japan in September pushed USD/JPY from the 158.7 range down to156.2and cross yen fell across AUD/JPY to 112.34 yen (−1.326), NZD/JPY to 91.69 yen (−0.939), and ZAR/JPY to 9.728 (−0.121). On Friday, September 4, prices rebounded slightly and the ZAR/JPY moved to9.779, AUD/JPY112.543, NZD/JPY91.898, USD/JPY156.232to close the week. Compared with last weekend (August 28), ZAR/JPY moved from 9.899 to −0.120, AUD/JPY from 114.668 to −2.125, NZD/JPY from 94.651 to −2.753, and USD/JPY from around 160.11 to about −3.9. The Nikkei index closed the week at65,020.94vs last weekend's 66,405.56 (down 1,384.62 for the week, −2.09%), while the S&P 500 closed the week at7,718.60vs last weekend's 7,711.76, almost flat. The August US jobs report released Friday showed nonfarm payrolls increasing+162,000vs expectations of +50k to +70k, unemployment rate 4.1%, and July revised higher by +21,000. As a result, the Fed rate-cut expectations faded, and the S&P 500 fell by 29.11 points (−0.38%) from the previous day for its first decline in three trading sessions.

■EA Weekly Results

“This week's realized P/L” is the sum of daily P/L for the period August 31–September 4 on each product page's detailed statistics (monthly). The balance and unrealized P/L are as of September 7 07:20–07:40, reflecting the close to New York on Friday.

①sheep6 AUD/JPY・NZD/JPY｜M30｜Long-only, up to 6 trades

This week, there were no settlements across five trading days. On September 2 at 12:18, we added 0.02 lots to USD/NZD at 92.846, making two lots total, carried over from August 21 (95.113, 0.01 lot). The unrealized moved from −534 yen to −6,286 yen as NZD/JPY dropped from the 94 yen range to the 91 yen range.

②Kuroyagi-san Evolution AUD/JPY｜M30｜MA＋BB reversal, averaging down & swaps

Until last week, there had been six consecutive positive settlements, but this week there were zero settlements. Following the fall in AUD/JPY, we added to positions on September 2 at 09:05 (114.044) and on September 3 at 05:41 (113.233) and 10:01 (112.415), carrying 4 lots at 0.03 lot each from the August 28 (114.856) booking. Unrealized moved from −699 yen to −17,954 yen, but compared with the maximum drawdown (1,245,840 yen, 29.06%), it remains around 1.1% of balance.

③kotukotu-EX ZAR/JPY｜H4｜BB trend-following, averaging down & swaps

This week's settlements are only for this EA. On September 2 at 14:00 there were 3 trades (+987 yen, −1,449 yen, +189 yen with swap +298 yen, calendar day +25); on September 4 at 15:30 and 19:05 there were 7 trades (sum of results −147 yen and swaps +299 yen equal +152). Fees of 147 yen are deducted per trade, so September in the monthly analysis shows −1,293 yen. The weekly balance change of +2,777 yen includes the delayed reflection of August settlements (+4,070 yen) at the top, combined with September's −1,293 yen, yielding the net. Unrealized moved from −3,119 yen to −13,246 yen, but is still far from the actual maximum drawdown (202,772 yen, 41.61%). The forward history header still shows “Updating performance” on two lines, and the number of positions cannot be confirmed on the page.

④Index Seven S&P500・Nikkei 225｜D1｜7-logic buy-only

There were no settlements within the accounting period. We carried over two long S&P500 positions opened on August 31 (7,686.01, 7,686.27, each 0.01 lot) to the weekend; as of Friday, September 4 at 20:50, unrealized was +$153, but at 22:00 on September 6, settlements occurred at 7,719.75 and 7,719.62, resulting in a daily calendar of +$66 after fees. This settlement is not yet reflected in the top balance of $10,333.00 and cumulative revenue ($333.00) on the page, nor in the monthly/annual figures at the bottom (September $0; annual $333.27). The weekly balance change of +$184.00 reflects the previously delayed top display being resolved on September 1.

⑤Rand Builder ZAR/JPY｜Swap + compounding, 3-layer downtrend protection｜Pre-sale

In the downtrend of the ZAR, we added to positions on September 2 (1 lot) and September 3 (5 lots) bringing it to a high of 9 lots, 0.66 lots. On September 4 at 15:30, we settled 3 lots (+370, +250, −30) and at 18:22 the same day 2 lots (+150, +355) were settled, with the daily calendar showing +1,095 and monthly analysis showing 920 after deducting 35 yen per trade. At 21:20 on September 4 we repurchased 0.05 lots at 9.782, leaving 7 lots (0.56) by weekend. Unrealized widened from −136 to −9,033, and the maximum drawdown column updates to 47.88% (10,911 yen). The orange line on the official performance chart (today’s max unrealized) around September 3 is about −9,800 yen, with intraday max unrealized around 11,700 yen. Against an initial 1,000,000 yen, it is about 1%, and in consideration of the design’s maximum drawdown (unrealized included) of around 22%, this remains a lighter level.

■This Week's Summary

FX3EA total: This week's realized P/L+177 yen／ Weekend unrealized P/L total−37,486 yen
Index Seven (USD-denominated): This week's realized P/L ±$0／ Weekend unrealized $0 (settled on Sep 6, position closed)
Rand Builder (Forward): This week's realized P/L+1,095 yen／ Unrealized−9,033 yen

Last week all settlements were positive at +5,355 yen, but this week only kotukotu-EX had settlements (10 times), totaling +177 yen. sheep6 and Kuroyagi Evolution had zero settlements and instead increased positions as prices fell. The weekend unrealized total of −37,486 yen widened from last weekend's −4,352 yen by 33,134 yen, with breakdown: Kuroyagi Evolution −17,954 yen, kotukotu-EX −13,246 yen, sheep6 −6,286 yen. The averaging-down strategy leads to more positions during declines, and while realized P/L pauses and unrealized loss grows as expected, the actual maximum drawdowns (ranging from 200k to 1.24M yen) are 0.4–1.1% of balance for each EA. This week, no anomalies across all EAs. Also, see you tomorrow at 21:00.

■Next Week's Highlights

The main focus is the US CPI for August on September 11 (consensus +0.4% m/m; core +0.2%). If inflation proves sticky after strong jobs data, Fed rate-cut expectations would retreat further, directly impacting the FOMC decision on September 15–16. On September 10, US August PPI and existing home sales will be released, and on September 11, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. Domestically, the same September 11 date will see revised Q2 GDP (April–June) figures, which will influence BoJ rate-hike expectations. The moves in cross currencies this week were driven by expectations around US-Japan monetary policy; next week is likely to focus on the same. South African Reserve Bank rate decisions and South Africa’s August CPI, which directly affect the Rand Builder, are on September 23 and are not in next week's schedule.

■EA List

• sheep6(Win rate 92.84%／PF 5.39／Max DD 26.58%)
• Steady Plod – Kuroyagi Evolution AUDJPY(Win rate 70.13%／PF 1.17／Max DD 28.98%)
• kotukotu-EX ZARJPY(Win rate 73.74%／PF 1.67／Max DD 41.61%)
• Index Seven｜Nikkei 225 & S&P500(Measurement: 3 months)
• Rand Builder(Pre-sale / Forward measurement 15th day)

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. The figures stated are forward measurements on GogoJungle (demo account) and do not guarantee future results.