Logic of the Rising Gold Dragon, its way of thinking — On the occasion of selling 200 units, to purchasers
Thanks to you, Nobori-Kinryū hassold 200 copiesThank you to everyone using it. Since this is a milestone, this article reorganizeshow Nobori-Kinryū thinks and operatesIt won’t go into fine judgment numbers, but centers on the design philosophy of “why it was built this way.” Once you understand the inner workings, you should be able to watch even in situations with unrealized losses calmly.
First, the big picture. Nobori-Kinryū is aGold (XAUUSD) dedicated・buy-onlygrid-styleEA. It is designed more toward scalping, executing many small trades on a 5-minute chart. In about 11 years of backtesting, it achieved a profit factor of 1.93, win rate of 84%, and maximum drawdown of 12%.
What matters is that Nobori-Kinryū does not try topredict whether prices will rise or fall. Rather than guessing direction, it uses market “excesses” to gradually accumulate profits. This is the starting point of Nobori-Kinryū’s design.
Short-term price moves are often driven by emotions and overreaction. If a drop continues, fear of further decline leads to panic selling, creating prices below their true level. Nobori-Kinryū identifies thatoversold condition (overshoot downward)with its own logic, buys, and when the overshoot settles and prices recover, locks in profits.
This is the idea ofbuying the dip. Rather than trying to forecast the trend, it repeatedly takes advantage of the rebound after a drop. Gold tends to have large price movements, making overshoot and returns common; this approach is well-suited for it.
What if prices fall after you buy? Nobori-Kinryū adds positions by buying down at regular intervals, a process calledNinpin. The unique feature isthe spacing of Ninpin automatically adjusts to ATR (the current price movement size).
In volatile markets, spacing becomeswiderto avoid piling up positions too quickly. In calmer markets, spacing tightensto pick up positions efficiently. The diagram below illustrates this concept.
※Illustration. Green and red dots indicate Ninpin entry timings. Spacing changes with market volatility.
Nobori-Kinryū does not settle each position individually; instead,accumulated positions are managed as one group (basket). When prices recover and the overall unrealized profit of the group becomes positive, profits are realized in one batch.
This is the part I want buyers to understand most. Nobori-Kinryūdoes not place individual stop losses. So you may see “negative settlements” in the history, but that does not mean a stop loss triggered; it’s the total result of closing out a grouped Ninpin. Individually, losing lots can exist, but the group as a whole is profitable—the basic idea. If you misunderstand this, you might be surprised by a “stop loss happened,” so remember to view settlements bygroup units.
Ninpin-style trading can be painful when movements are unpredictable. Therefore Nobori-Kinryū includes several filters to refrain from new entries, especially around major economic indicators, on weekends, and certain times when price action is prone to instability. Deciding not to enter in advance is also a valid strategy. Note that these time judgments arebased on server time, so you won’t be confused by time differences with live streams.
- Because it doesn’t place a stop loss for each position,unfavorable moves can cause unrealized losses. This is not a flaw; it is the flip side of waiting for price reversals to recover.
- In particularmarkets where a sharp decline continues in one direction, unrealized losses can grow. Nobori-Kinryū is not an EA that eliminates losses.
- Therefore,always use surplus funds. Follow the recommended capital and lot size guidelines, and keep a cushion in your margin level.
- Start with default settings.Live streams and forward accounts run with the same settings as when you purchased. If you want to see identical behavior, returning to the initial values is the quickest route.
- Performance scales with lot size.Profit and drawdown scale with the same rate: increase or decrease the lot size, and also increase or decrease capital accordingly.
- Look at maintenance margin and depth of unrealized losses before total profit.Ninpin-type requires staying power (excess capital) to endure.
- Results may vary slightly with brokers and Gold instruments.Spreads and instrument specifications can cause discrepancies with forward or live results.
- Nobori-Kinryū is a Gold-only, buy-only Ninpin EA that does not predict direction but buys on “oversold” conditions
- Ninpin spacing auto-adjusts by ATR (wider in volatile markets, tighter in calm markets)
- Settlements occur in group. Negative settlements are the result of closing grouped positions, not stop losses
- Because there are no individual stop losses, unrealized losses can occur — always operate with ample funds
When the mechanism makes sense, you can calmly observe even during unrealized-loss periods, waiting for a rebound. With the 200-copy milestone, we’ve again explained the inner workings. We will continue to deliver quality. If you have questions, feel free to ask in Asahina Lab (free community).
※This article is for informational purposes and is not investment solicitation. The performance results shown are past performance and do not guarantee future profits. FX and CFD trading involve risk. Please make investment decisions at your own responsibility.