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朝日奈りさ
05/20/2026 20:03
Release： 05/20/2026 20:03
Update： 05/20/2026 20:26
朝日奈りさ
Investment style : Day Trade
Investment career : More than 10 years
Investment amount : 50 million - 100 million JPY
Nice to meet you. My name is Risa Asahina. I am an EA developer specializing in gold (XAUUSD). With the policy of "releasing only EAs that have endured 11 years of backtesting," I develop and publish gold-specific EAs for MT5. Not only the backtest numbers, but also real trading results are fully disclosed, and on YouTube I show the actual operation in a 24-hour live stream. ■ Products 【Shoukinryu (EA_ShoKinRyu)】 XAU/USD only / M5 scalping / long-biased / MT5 only Net profit 2,507,755 yen / PF 1.93 / RF 9.95 / win rate 84.28% / max DD 12% Backtest period: 2015–2026 (about 11 years) 【CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5】 XAU/USD only / H1 day trading / long and short positions / MT5 only (hedging account) Net profit 6,606,?07 yen / PF 2.96 / RF 11.49 / win rate 72.07% / max DD 22% Anomaly strategy (entries at 21:00, 18:00, 04:00 Japan time) / active only on Mon, Tue, Wed, Fri ■ Developer services Creation of EAs and indicators, MT4⇄MT5 source code conversion, sale of base code for EA development (MQL4/MQL5). Please feel free to contact via the GoGoJungle message feature with your requests. For real-trade performance and live delivery links, please check the product pages. Thank you.
Article cover image

[Market Analysis] May 21, 2026 (Thursday) — FOMC Minutes confirm a hawkish stance; gold near $4,550; tonight at 22:45 PMI速報 splits into a turning point

MARKET ANALYSIS ■ 2026.05.21 THU

FOMC Minutes: Hawkish Tilt Drops to $4,460 → Rebounds to $4,550
PMI release at 22:45 tonight is the next turning point

Asahina Risa ／ Shōkinryū・CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5 Developer
AUTHOR
Asahina Risa
Developer of Gold-only EA 'Shōkinryū' and 'CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5'. After experiencing major losses through discretionary trading, shifted to emotion-free, rule-based automated trading. Believes in developing EAs that endure 11 years of backtesting.
▶ Read the self-introduction article
■ Today's Situation Summary (Morning)
Gold Current Price
$4,550
Recovered from $4,460
FOMC Minutes
Hawkish confirmation
4 dissenters; uncertainty persists
Tonight's Key Indicator
PMI速報
22:45 (Manufacturing & Services)
CHAOS_GOLD
Closed today
No trading on Thursdays
Last night at 3:00 FOMC Minutes: Scenario B becomes reality

Yesterday's article anticipated “hawkish tone confirmation” as Scenario B. The FOMC Minutes show 4 policymakers voting against, reaffirming concerns about inflation and ongoing policy uncertainty.

Key contents of the minutes
  • 4 policymakers voted against (showing caution toward rate cuts)
  • Many mentions of uncertainties around tariffs and trade policy
  • Maintained wait-and-see stance on inflation cooling
  • U.S. 10-year yield hovering near multi-month highs

After the minutes were released, gold sold near $4,460. However, it rebounded to around $4,550. It dipped but was supported by buying. Tonight's PMI will determine whether it drops again or rises toward $4,577.

Gold price movement image around FOMC minutes
$4,540 $4,500 $4,470 Minutes released (late night 3:00) Previous morning Tokyo time NY time After midnight Current
Current $4,550: Tonight's Price Map after PMI

Gold trades around $4,550. Despite the hawkish tone from the FOMC minutes, prices have not broken down significantly; tonight's PMI will set the direction.

$4,650 Upside target (psychological level) $4,577 Recent resistance (CHAOS_GOLD drawdown compression target) Current $4,550 $4,500 Support ① (psychological level) $4,479 Support ② (last week's low; strong support zone) Resistance Support Current price

If $4,577 is breached, CHAOS_GOLD's drawdown compression begins. Conversely, breaking below $4,500 would make last week's low $4,479 a support. Tonight's PMI will decide the direction.

Today’s Event Focus
Time (JST) Indicator Key Point 21:30 Initial Jobless Claims Increase implies economic slowdown → rate cuts → gold support 22:45 Manufacturing & Services PMI速報 Today’s main focus; PMI below 50 signals recession fears All Day U.S. 10-year yield movement Near multi-year highs; a high yield weighs on gold CHAOS_GOLD is closed on Thursdays, so no trading today

Tonight's PMI速報 (manufacturing & services) at 22:45 is the top focus today. If PMI falls below 50, recession concerns rise and rate-cut expectations may re-emerge, potentially triggering a dollar weakness and gold buyback.

If PMI beats expectations, hawkish outlook remains, potentially adding downward pressure on gold. Whether the price declines or reverses after the FOMC minutes depends on tonight's numbers.

Two Scenarios After PMI Tonight
Scenario A: PMI weak (below 50)
Recession concerns → rate-cut expectations rebound → dollar weak
Gold: attempting to recover from $4,470 to $4,531
Shōkinryū: buyback cycle increases
CHAOS_GOLD: potential start of drawdown compression (hope for Friday trading)
Scenario B: PMI strong (beat expectations)
Hawkish continuation → rates stay high → dollar up
Gold: test around $4,430→$4,400
Shōkinryū: averaging up phase continues
CHAOS_GOLD: drawdown may expand further
Both EAs have news filters that automatically run around 22:45. Because they suppress unnecessary entries during indicator-related spikes, no manual intervention is required. Results will be reported in tomorrow's update.
Today’s EA Trading Status
Shōkinryū (M5 Scalping)
Trading Status:Normally active
Direction: Buy-focused / M5 scalping
$4,470 area tends to light up as a “sell too much” signal. In a downtrend, scalping activity increases.
CHAOS_GOLD (H1 Day Trading)
Trading Status:Closed today (Thursday)
As of yesterday: -388,793 yen / 19 positions
Will resume trading Friday. Tonight's PMI results will directly influence Friday's entry.
■ Today's Summary
  • FOMC minutes show hawkish confirmation (4 dissenters). After minutes, price fell to $4,460 but recovered to $4,550
  • Tonight's PMI速報 at 22:45 will decide the next direction
  • If PMI weak, gold should rebound; if strong, it may head toward $4,430
  • CHAOS_GOLD is closed today. Monitor drawdown after Friday
  • News filters of both EAs operate automatically around indicators; no manual intervention needed
■ Community Trading Reports
No reports today yet. Please feel free to post the first one.
Your results can also appear in this report
Post to the Trading Reports Thread
■ Auto-trading EAs (Details & Real-time Delivery)
【 Shōkinryū 】M5 Scalping ／ 11-year Backtest ／ RF10
【 CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5 】H1 Day Trade ／ Both-side Trading ／ PF2.96
■ Sign Indicators
【 Shōkinryū Sign For MT5 】Discretionary-sign indicator ／ MT5 only
Converts Shōkinryū EA’s RSI logic into signals for discretionary trading. Alerts when gold is oversold via arrows, popups, and push notifications.
PROGRAMMING MENTORSHIP
Complete your own EA in 3 months
MQL4/MQL5 × Gold EA Development One-on-One Program
One-on-One Coaching
Aiming for Sellable EAs
MQL4/MQL5 Supported
E-BOOK ON SALE
Book Information
Learn EA operation knowledge thoroughly through a book
『Gold EA Account Selection Complete Guide』
? 48 pages in total ／ PDF version ／¥1,800
▶ Purchase on GogoJungle
FREE COMMUNITY
Asahina Lab (Free Community)
A place for EA operation questions, chat, and information exchange
EA Operation Consultation
Direct Interaction with Developers
Free to join; can leave anytime
AFFILIATE PARTNER WANTED
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COMMISSION RATE
Industry-leading
Commission 50%
Via GogoJungle Affiliate System. Ideal for FX/investing content creators.
PROVEN NUMBERS
Speak with numbers
2 EAs
Shōkinryū RF10 — win rate 84% / CHAOS_GOLD PF2.96 — RF11.49. Articles and SNS posts have high credibility.
LIVE EVIDENCE
Visible 24/7 operation
Live trading ongoing
You can see actual operation on YouTube. Strong credibility in marketing.
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We offer technical services by the developer of Shōkinryū
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※This article is for information purposes only and is not investment solicitation. The performance results shown are past results and do not guarantee future profits. FX and CFD trading involve risks. Please make investment decisions at your own risk.