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Nice to meet you. My name is Risa Asahina. I am an EA developer specializing in gold (XAUUSD).
With the policy of "releasing only EAs that have endured 11 years of backtesting," I develop and publish gold-specific EAs for MT5. Not only the backtest numbers, but also real trading results are fully disclosed, and on YouTube I show the actual operation in a 24-hour live stream.
■ Products
【Shoukinryu (EA_ShoKinRyu)】
XAU/USD only / M5 scalping / long-biased / MT5 only
Net profit 2,507,755 yen / PF 1.93 / RF 9.95 / win rate 84.28% / max DD 12%
Backtest period: 2015–2026 (about 11 years)
【CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5】
XAU/USD only / H1 day trading / long and short positions / MT5 only (hedging account)
Net profit 6,606,?07 yen / PF 2.96 / RF 11.49 / win rate 72.07% / max DD 22%
Anomaly strategy (entries at 21:00, 18:00, 04:00 Japan time) / active only on Mon, Tue, Wed, Fri
■ Developer services
Creation of EAs and indicators, MT4⇄MT5 source code conversion, sale of base code for EA development (MQL4/MQL5). Please feel free to contact via the GoGoJungle message feature with your requests.
For real-trade performance and live delivery links, please check the product pages. Thank you.
Market Analysis】May 20, 2026 (Wednesday) — FOMC minutes release day; rate-cut probability 2.6%; gold battling around $4,540
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MARKET ANALYSIS ■ 2026.05.20 (WED)
【Market Analysis】May 20, 2026 (Wednesday) On the day of the FOMC minutes—probability of rate cuts 2.6%— Gold is in a $4,540 battle
Developer of the gold-focused EA 'Shoukinryu' and 'CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5'. After experiencing significant losses in discretionary trading, shifted to emotion-free, rule-based automated trading. Believes in developing EAs that endure 11 years of backtesting.
Continuing slide from the previous close of $4,566.19 ／ Range $4,531–$4,589
Tonight's biggest event: FOMC minutes released at 3:00 AM
■ Trend since yesterday (5/19)
Yesterday (Tuesday) saw the release of two indicators: housing starts and existing home sales. Market impact was limited. There was a slight attempt to rebound to the $4,550s, but failed to break the $4,577 resistance and fell back. NY close was at $4,566.
Supports supporting the downside
Continued gold purchases by central banks including the People's Bank of China. Institutional buyers entering the lower price zone serve as a cushion to prevent a sharp drop around $4,500.
Resistances capping the upside
Expectations for rate cuts from the Fed have completely faded. The probability of a rate cut at the June meeting is only 2.6% (CME FedWatch). Higher interest rates and a stronger dollar are weighing on the upside for gold, which is a zero-coupon asset.
■ Tonight's main point: Reading the FOMC minutes (3:00 AM)
According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a rate cut at the June FOMC meeting is2.6%. About 97.4% of market participants have already priced in a hold at the current rate (3.50–3.75%). In this situation, what should we look for in tonight's minutes?
Scenario branches based on minutes content
In a market where the odds of keeping rates unchanged are already priced in at 97.4%, hawkish content tends to be less surprising. Conversely, if there are surprisingly dovish remarks or mentions of inflation deceleration, it could bring forward expectations for rate cuts and a rapid rebound in gold. We expect the range to widen more on a dovish surprise.
■ Today (5/20) Focus Event
Today’s main event is the FOMC minutes. Just as housing data passed quietly yesterday, other factors may move but their impact may be temporary. We expect to see a stay within the narrow $4,531–$4,577 range until the minutes are released.
■ Remaining events this week
■ Technical View — Price Range Map Ahead of Minutes
Key Price Range Map (as of 5/20)
Be mindful of pre-minutes volatility
Ahead of important events, traders often unwind positions, leading to calmer markets temporarily. Be cautious of complacency claiming “it's safe because it's quiet,” as rapid moves after the minutes release can incur losses.
Maintaining $4,531 is key
If you maintain the $4,531 support as today’s low, the market remains on a solid footing. If this line is broken before the minutes, shift to considering a $4,500 test first.
■ Impact on EAs and today's operating plan
Shoukinryu (M5 Buy-focused)
Operating as usual today. Focus on scalping within the $4,531–$4,589 range
Risk sentiment may change depending on NVIDIA earnings
News filter expected to auto-activate around the FOMC minutes release
P&L will be reflected in the morning after confirmation
CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5 (H1, bidirectional)
Today is a trading day. Entry judgments at 4:00, 18:00, and 21:00 (Japan time)
Judgment at 21:00 precedes the minutes (3:00 AM). Reactions after the minutes will be followed the next day
If hawkish tone is confirmed by the minutes, existing positions may expand losses
If a dovish surprise pushes above $4,600, losses may be significantly reduced
■ Today's Summary
Today’s sole and biggest driver is the FOMC minutes (3:00 AM). With a 2.6% probability of a rate cut, hawkish content is somewhat priced in. A dovish surprise could yield larger price moves.
During the day, NVIDIA earnings will be in play, but we expect to stay within the $4,531–$4,577 range. As long as $4,531 holds, the downside is limited. The post-minutes volatility will shape the week's trend, so we will also monitor Thursday’s PMI preliminaries.
Both EAs will continue operating as usual. Avoid excessive manual intervention and review results the next morning after any sharp moves.
All services can be applied for viaGogoJungle. If you have questions, feel free to contact us via GogoJungle's messaging feature.
※This article is for information provision and not investment solicitation. The operation results shown are past performance and do not guarantee future profits. FX/CFD trading involves risks. Please make investment decisions at your own risk.
Nice to meet you. My name is Risa Asahina. I am an EA developer specializing in gold (XAUUSD).
With the policy of "releasing only EAs that have endured 11 years of backtesting," I develop and publish gold-specific EAs for MT5. Not only the backtest numbers, but also real trading results are fully disclosed, and on YouTube I show the actual operation in a 24-hour live stream.
■ Products
【Shoukinryu (EA_ShoKinRyu)】
XAU/USD only / M5 scalping / long-biased / MT5 only
Net profit 2,507,755 yen / PF 1.93 / RF 9.95 / win rate 84.28% / max DD 12%
Backtest period: 2015–2026 (about 11 years)
【CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5】
XAU/USD only / H1 day trading / long and short positions / MT5 only (hedging account)
Net profit 6,606,?07 yen / PF 2.96 / RF 11.49 / win rate 72.07% / max DD 22%
Anomaly strategy (entries at 21:00, 18:00, 04:00 Japan time) / active only on Mon, Tue, Wed, Fri
■ Developer services
Creation of EAs and indicators, MT4⇄MT5 source code conversion, sale of base code for EA development (MQL4/MQL5). Please feel free to contact via the GoGoJungle message feature with your requests.
For real-trade performance and live delivery links, please check the product pages. Thank you.
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