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Nice to meet you. My name is Risa Asahina. I am an EA developer specializing in gold (XAUUSD).
With the policy of "releasing only EAs that have endured 11 years of backtesting," I develop and publish gold-specific EAs for MT5. Not only the backtest numbers, but also real trading results are fully disclosed, and on YouTube I show the actual operation in a 24-hour live stream.
■ Products
【Shoukinryu (EA_ShoKinRyu)】
XAU/USD only / M5 scalping / long-biased / MT5 only
Net profit 2,507,755 yen / PF 1.93 / RF 9.95 / win rate 84.28% / max DD 12%
Backtest period: 2015–2026 (about 11 years)
【CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5】
XAU/USD only / H1 day trading / long and short positions / MT5 only (hedging account)
Net profit 6,606,?07 yen / PF 2.96 / RF 11.49 / win rate 72.07% / max DD 22%
Anomaly strategy (entries at 21:00, 18:00, 04:00 Japan time) / active only on Mon, Tue, Wed, Fri
■ Developer services
Creation of EAs and indicators, MT4⇄MT5 source code conversion, sale of base code for EA development (MQL4/MQL5). Please feel free to contact via the GoGoJungle message feature with your requests.
For real-trade performance and live delivery links, please check the product pages. Thank you.
【Market Analysis】May 18, 2026 (Mon) — After last week’s 4% plunge to $4,530, the $4,479 support held through Wednesday FOMC minutes
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MARKET ANALYSIS ■ 2026.05.18 (MON)
【Market Analysis】May 18, 2026 (Mon) Last week -4% drop to $4,530── Defense around $4,479 ahead of Wednesday FOMC Minutes
Developer of Gold (XAUUSD) exclusive EA 'Rising Dragon' and 'CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5'. After experiencing significant losses in discretionary trading, shifted to emotion-free, rule-based automated trading. Believes in EA development that withstands 11 years of backtesting.
Week-on-week ≈ -4% / Main cause is the disappearance of rate-cut expectations due to upside CPI/PPI surprises
This week's biggest event: 5/20 (Wed) at midnight FOMC minutes release
■ Review of last week ─ Why did gold fall 4% over the week
Gold started the week around $4,710 and fell to about $4,530 by week's end, down roughly 4%. It even sold off to $4,483, which is the largest drawdown of the year-to-date. The direct causes were two U.S. inflation indicators.
U.S. CPI (April) ─>surprise to the upside
Year-over-year +2.4%, exceeding market forecasts. Core CPI remained high, fueling rapid expectations that inflation is reigniting. The market broadly believes the Fed cannot cut rates this year.
U.S. PPI (April) ─>surprise to the upside
Year-over-year +2.5%, exceeding expectations. PPI signals rising input costs for businesses, indicating upward pressure on future CPI. With two indicators beating expectations in succession, some pricing of a rate hike within the year has begun.
Mechanism of gold decline
Persistent inflation → Fed cannot cut rates → higher U.S. rates and stronger dollar → selling pressure on non-interest assets like gold, leading to a rapid cascade. Additionally, fading rate-cut expectations reduces the scenario of monetary easing supporting the economy, diminishing gold’s risk-off buying demand.
■ Current technical situation ─ Organizing notable price zones
Notable Price Zone Map (as of May 18, 2026)
The current short-term trend is bearish-biased. Moving averages remain aligned downward, with selling on rallies dominating. It is difficult to actively buy dips unless $4,577 is clearly broken to the upside.
Meanwhile, $4,479 has served as a support level last week. Whether this level holds is the main focus for the early part of this week. News that the People's Bank of China restarted large-scale purchases after 17 months provides some downside support, but sustained inflation pressure makes a substantial rise unlikely for now.
■ This week's events to watch
This week, the FOMC minutes released late Wednesday will be the main focus. If the content of the Apr 29-30 meeting differed from market expectations in terms of discussion and number of dissenters, gold could move further lower. If the minutes are dovish, there may be a rebound to recover last week’s drop.
■ FOMC Minutes (5/20) Scenario-based Outlook
Scenario A: Hawkish content (many dissenters, discussions of additional hikes)
Expected development
Fed internal concerns about inflation reigniting lead to a sharp dollar surge and further gold decline. Breaking $4,479 downside toward $4,400–$4,430.
Impact on EA operations
Rising Dragon may deepen its averaging-down; CHAOS_GOLD could see more short positions. Check risk management.
Scenario B: In line with expectations (maintain current policy and reiterate no rate cuts)
Expected development
Market has already priced in the outcome; limited reaction. Range of $4,479–$4,577 continues. Likely slow decline or sideways movement toward the weekend.
Impact on EA operations
Both EAs operate normally. Range environment suits the scalping cycle of Rising Dragon.
Scenario C: Dovish content (some committee members advocate rate cuts; concerns about economy)
Expected development
Resurgence of rate-cut expectations → dollar weakness and gold rebound. Possible breakout above $4,577–$4,610. Potential to recover last week’s drop within the week.
Impact on EA operations
Holding losses on Rising Dragon may ease; CHAOS_GOLD may see new buy entries.
■ Mid- to long-term backdrop ─ Supportive factors remain
PBOC resumes purchases
Large-scale gold purchases after 17 months. Existence of central-bank buyers serves as a long-term floor. This is one reason why $4,479 found a bottom during last week’s drop.
Bullish forecasts from major financial institutions remain intact
Goldman Sachs sees $5,400 by year-end; JPMorgan Chase sees $6,300. Even with short-term corrections, the medium-to-long-term uptrend remains intact.
Gold’s "dual-benefit" structure
Gold benefits from both demand as a safe-haven in recession fears and as a real asset when inflation accelerates. This structure supports long-term buyers even during short-term corrections.
■ Impact on each EA and this week’s operating plan
Rising Dragon (M5, buy-focused)
Starts normal operation at week start. Entry around $4,530 is feasible
If averaging-down positions from last week remain, check unrealized losses
If $4,479 breaks, averaging-down could deepen; ensure capital management
Check status of outstanding unrealized loss positions from weekend
Verify news filter activation around 5/20 (Wed) FOMC minutes
5/21 (Thu) is a market holiday (no trading)
■ This week's summary
Gold starts the week around $4,530, continuing last week’s large drop. Short-term remains bear-biased; focus is on whether $4,479 can hold as support.
The week’s main volatility driver will be the FOMC minutes released late Wednesday. If the content deviates from market expectations, gold could move sharply. Until minutes are released, expect range-bound activity.
Trust the news filters of both EAs and avoid excessive manual intervention this week. Medium- to long-term bullish factors like PBOC purchases remain, and it’s important to calmly observe the correction.
■ Community trading reports
No reports today yet. Please be the first to post.
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※This article is provided for information purposes and is not investment solicitation. The displayed performance results are past results and do not guarantee future profits. FX/CFD trading involves risk. Please make investment decisions at your own responsibility.
Nice to meet you. My name is Risa Asahina. I am an EA developer specializing in gold (XAUUSD).
With the policy of "releasing only EAs that have endured 11 years of backtesting," I develop and publish gold-specific EAs for MT5. Not only the backtest numbers, but also real trading results are fully disclosed, and on YouTube I show the actual operation in a 24-hour live stream.
■ Products
【Shoukinryu (EA_ShoKinRyu)】
XAU/USD only / M5 scalping / long-biased / MT5 only
Net profit 2,507,755 yen / PF 1.93 / RF 9.95 / win rate 84.28% / max DD 12%
Backtest period: 2015–2026 (about 11 years)
【CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5】
XAU/USD only / H1 day trading / long and short positions / MT5 only (hedging account)
Net profit 6,606,?07 yen / PF 2.96 / RF 11.49 / win rate 72.07% / max DD 22%
Anomaly strategy (entries at 21:00, 18:00, 04:00 Japan time) / active only on Mon, Tue, Wed, Fri
■ Developer services
Creation of EAs and indicators, MT4⇄MT5 source code conversion, sale of base code for EA development (MQL4/MQL5). Please feel free to contact via the GoGoJungle message feature with your requests.
For real-trade performance and live delivery links, please check the product pages. Thank you.
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