【Third week of May 2026】Asahina Risa's Gold EA Operation Report
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AUTHOR
Risa Asahina
Developer of Gold (XAUUSD) dedicated EA “Shoukinryu” and “CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5.” After experiencing major losses in discretionary trading, shifted to emotion-free, rule-based automated trading. Believes in EA development that withstands 11 years of backtests.
▶ Read self-introduction article
TODAY'S SUMMARY
This Week for Gold: About 4% weekly decline due to re-accelerating inflation
Opening price (5/12)
$4,720
near
Closing price (5/16)
$4,530
near
Weekly change
Approximately −4%
Inflation pressure
In the third week of May, gold faced selling pressure throughout the week. U.S. inflation indicators exceeded expectations one after another, and Fed rate-cut expectations were fully wiped out. Some began pricing in a rate hike later this year, with rising yields and a stronger dollar capping gold's upside. For the week, about a 4% decline, closing near $4,500–$4,530.
DAILY REVIEW
Daily moves and underlying factors
5/12
Mon
Mon
Week opened around $4,720. Profit-taking expectations regarding progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations last week faded, leading to a modestly heavier path. Continued range-bound movement.
5/13
Tue
Tue
U.S. April CPI rose 3.8% year over year, topping expectations. Selling pressure due to renewed inflation concerns pushed gold down toward about $4,650.
5/14
Wed
Wed
U.S. April PPI also posted the largest monthly gain since 2022. With CPI and PPI hitting from both sides, Fed rate-cut expectations vanished. Gold continued to fall to around $4,620.
5/15
Thu
Thu
Dollar strength and rising yields pushed gold down to $4,564 (−1.83% from previous day). Some markets began pricing in a year-end rate hike, accelerating selling pressure.
5/16
Fri
Fri
Selling continued into the weekend, closing near $4,530. Weekly fall reached about 4%. The $4,500 level acted as a support area to watch for weekend movements.
KEY FACTORS
Three factors that triggered this week's drop
① U.S. CPI overshoot
April CPI rose 3.8% YoY, beating market expectations. The largest monthly jump since 2023 suggested inflation may be re-accelerating.
② U.S. PPI surge
April PPI posted the largest monthly rise since early 2022. The PPI overshoot reinforced concerns about persistent inflation, broadening cost pressures upstream to consumer prices.
③ Wipeout of Fed rate-cut expectations and hike outlook
Following the inflation indicators, markets removed fully the pricing of Fed rate cuts in 2026. Some traders began pricing in a year-end rate hike, pushing up yields and the dollar, which weighed on gold. For gold, which does not earn interest, rate-hike expectations are a major headwind.
EA PERFORMANCE
This Week's EA Operation
A sharp decline like this is one of the most nerve-wracking moments in EA operation. However, manual intervention driven by emotions should be avoided; trusting the configured risk parameters and letting it run leads to long-term stability.
TECHNICAL VIEW
Technical snapshot at week's end
Nearest support
$4,500
Psychological milestone and prior support band
Weekly range top
$4,900
May's upper target
Week-end close
$4,530
Close near support
As of the weekend, gold is approaching the support zone of $4,500–$4,530. This area has historically been a launch point for rebounds and will be a critical junction to anticipate next week’s moves. We will continue watching inflation data and Fed commentary closely.
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■ Auto-Trading EAs (Details & Real-time Delivery)
【 Shoukinryu 】M5 Scalping ／ 11-year backtest ／ RF10
【 CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5 】H1 Day Trading ／ Both sides ／ PF2.96
■ Signal Indicators
【 Shoukinryu Sign For MT5 】Discretionary signal indicator ／ MT5 only
Translates Shoukinryu EA’s RSI logic into signals for discretionary trading. Notifies when gold is in oversold conditions via arrows, pop-ups, and push notifications.
【 GoldAI Oracle v2.0 】AI Signal Indicator ／ MT5 only
AI internally integrates 52 indicators to display buy/sell timing on the chart with arrows. Continuously learns during operation to adapt to recent market patterns.
※This article is for information provision and not investment solicitation. The performance results shown are past results and do not guarantee future profits. FX/CFD trading involves risk. Please make investment decisions at your own risk.
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