#37 Part 3 "Trend All-In EA" Complete, for now, complete... maybe? lol
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Since I started developing my third work, the "Trend Capture EA," a month and a half has passed.
And at last, I achieved a Profit Factor (PF) of 3.07.
Even I think the results are at a level where people might accuse me of cherry-picking (curve fitting).
To reach this point, I endured repeated rounds of testing and changing the logic again and again.
In EA development, I do not use any conventional indicators at all.
This is because most participants in the market use indicators, and most of them are losing traders.
Therefore, the logic I devise is solely based on observing candlesticks and my judgments drawn from them.
However, fully implementing that judgment in a program proved to be extremely difficult.
This third installment, the "Trend Capture Method," has a very simple logic itself.
Therefore, I believed it could be produced the fastest among the three works, including the first two.
However, when I actually started working, that expectation was completely wrong.
There were times when I thought, "Maybe I should just give up on this EA because the work seems endless."
Nevertheless, after continuing the verification, success arrived suddenly.
I will explain the meaning of these test results.
First, the modeled quality is 99.9%.
This shows how precise the testing environment is.
The win rate is 50.79%.
This means half of the trades are losers, but conversely, it is an advantage because it makes it harder for traders to be hunted by brokers.
Furthermore, all orders of this EA are executed as market orders without placing stop orders.
We do not reveal any of our cards to the broker's system.
Despite a 50/50 win-rate, PF exceeds 3, which means the drawdowns when losing are extremely small.
In other words, small losses and large wins are achieved.
As a result, the initial capital has increased about 3.2 times over three years.
Also, the image data shown here are from trades on a 4-hour chart.
Tests on a daily or 1-hour chart did not yield good results.
Therefore, this EA is restricted to "works only on the 4-hour chart."
This is the result of simple interest operations.
With this, the basic logic construction is considered complete, and the testing phase will now move to compound interest operations.
Compounding does not necessarily maximize profits, so I will continue validating.
Next time:
If operated with benefits, will profits explode?
If not, this is complete. (￣••￣)
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