[April 30, 2026] Risa Asahina's Gold EA Performance Report
Today’s gold price touched around $4,541 in the early morning before and after the 03:00 FOMC rate decision, thensharply rebounded. After Asia hours, the buying recovered and by the Europe OPEN to NY pre-session, it climbed back to around $4,646. By 21:00 it hovered around $4,629.
The rebound was driven bya more dovish-than-expected FOMC tone, plus the reaction from four days of declines and technical short covering. US long-term yields settled, dollar buying cooled. Maintaining the $4,500 psychological level contributed to the rebound's confidence.
Today's price range was about $105, with notable volatility. PCE deflator at 21:30 still pending, but the market so far is dominated by “post-FOMC relief.” Tomorrow’s US jobs data and carryover into next week call for final position adjustments.
Today, Shoukinryurealized profit ±0 JPY. From 34 positions yesterday to38 positions, four more positions were added, but the subsequent post-FOMC rebound caused unrealized losses to shrink rapidly to-104,993 JPY. From yesterday’s -520,653 JPY to today’s improvement of about ¥420,000 in one day.
$4,541 vicinity saw a grid of averaging down, leading to a rebound toward $4,646—the core strength of the grid-nanpin strategy for buy-only. If price clearly climbs above $4,650, total net profit could flip to positive and allow a lump-sum profit-taking trigger.
Maintenance margin rate is4,560%. It recovered from 3,440% yesterday as unrealized losses shrank. Depending on the 21:30 US PCE data, there could be further rebound. By tomorrow’s US jobs data, the week’s EA performance will be finally settled.
CHAOS_GOLD is closed on Thursdays, so today is essentially a day of waiting with no new entries. Position count increased from 20 to 21, due to an early-morning one-position add (per spec). Today’s realized profit is ±0 JPY, but unrealized loss shrank to-268,524 JPY.
From yesterday’s -500,885 JPY, aroughly 230,000 JPY improvement. The rebound after FOMC was captured while keeping the positions.“Not trading during the maximum volatility shows the profits from existing positions fully”— a clear demonstration of the Thursday-rest design in practice.
Maintenance margin rate is6,948%, a strong improvement from yesterday’s 5,739%. Tomorrow, 5/1 (Friday) is a regular trading day. If the settlement at 18:00 yields a positive total profit, a lump-sum exit is possible. There’s also a chance new positions could be added at 21:00 reflecting post-21:30 US PCE movements.
Today 4/30 was the week’s most volatile day, with FOMC rate decision at 03:00, Powell press conference at 03:30, and US PCE deflator at 21:30 concentrated in one day.
- Avoided taking on new positions during abnormal spread widening around FOMC
- Avoided impulsive averaging down in the near $4,541 low zone
- Did not worsen average entry price during the abrupt $4,541→$4,646 move
- During rebound, the existing 20 positions fully benefited from unrealized loss reduction
This day clearly showed the Thursday rest effect, previously described as a designed coincidence of favorable conditions in numbers.“Not moving is the strongest defense”This design philosophy proved effective in the peak volatility period.
- 21:30 US jobs report (non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate, average hourly earnings)
- 22:45 US Manufacturing PMI (May)
- 23:00 US ISM Manufacturing Index (Apr)
Tomorrow 5/1 (Fri) is the employment data day and the final verdict for the week. Results for both EAs will vary greatly depending on the price action tomorrow.
- Weak jobs data + continued dovish stance：Rebound to $4,650–$4,700 → unrealized losses mostly eliminated; potential lump-sum profit-taking for both EAs
- In line with expectations + wait-and-see：Range $4,580–$4,650 → unrealized losses flat; week-end rollover
- Strong jobs data + shift to hawkish：Further decline to $4,500–$4,580 → unrealized losses may expand modestly
CHAOS_GOLD operates on Fridays. If total profit is positive at the 18:00 settlement, lump-sum profit-taking will be executed as this week’s comeback. Shoukinryu stands ready to lump-sum exit on breaching $4,650. The key tomorrow is whether unrealized losses peak at 1,020,000 JPY can be resolved.
※This article is for information provision and not investment solicitation. The displayed performance is historical and does not guarantee future profits. FX/CFD trading involves risk. Please make investment decisions at your own responsibility.