[April 29, 2026] Asahina Risa's Gold EA Operation Report
When unrealized loss exceeded 300,000 JPYEmergency Columnand
today morning publishedFOMC Eve Judgment Records ColumnPlease view together.
Today's gold started around the previous close of $4,580. There was a brief recovery toward around $4,604 in the Asian early session, but selling resumed toward European time to before NY. Today’s low around $4,547and briefly penetrated the $4,550 level. As of 21:00, it hovered around $4,563.
The backdrop includes expectations toward a hawkish stance before the early morning 4/30 FOMC policy rate announcement tomorrow. Continued rise in US long-term rates and ongoing dollar buying flow create headwinds for gold. The day closed down about $17 versus the previous day, marking the fourth consecutive decline.
The 21:30 US GDP release is today’s main event; depending on the result, final positioning for tomorrow’s FOMC will be decided. In the short term, whether $4,500 psychological level can be supported will be the key factor determining direction from tomorrow onward.
Today's ShoukinryuRealized profit ±0 JPY. From 32 positions yesterday,34 positions were added by two more positions, unrealized loss expanded to-520,653 JPY. The additional decline from $4,580 widened the average-down positions. Today's low around $4,547 triggered multiple entries.
Unrealized loss rate is about 37%, which far exceeds the test maximum drawdown of 12% listed on the product page. The reality of live operation differing from backtests must be honestly acknowledged as I’ve been stating all week.
However, the margin maintenance rate is3,440%. It dropped from 3,830% yesterday, but still remains about 34 times away from the forced liquidation zone (around 100%). Tomorrow’s FOMC could mark a turning point: a rebound to $4,650–$4,700 would halve or nearly eliminate the losses; dropping below $4,500 would widen losses again.
CHAOS_GOLD operated on Wednesday with entry slots at 4:00 and 18:00 Japan time. From yesterday’s 17 positions, increased to20 positions. Today is the last entry opportunity for the week (tomorrow 4/30 is Thursday, closed). Since the 18:00 settlement still did not reach overall profit, all positions are held.
Unrealized loss is-500,885 JPY. It has expanded by about 30,000 JPY from yesterday’s -469,831 JPY. Given gold’s drop to $4,547, a buy-heavy structure cannot avoid this movement. Nonetheless, the margin maintenance rate remains5,739% with ample room.
Tomorrow 4/30 (Thu) is a holiday. The structural favorable condition of overlapping with the FOMC policy rate announcement (early morning 3:00 JST) finally begins to show actual effect.The moment of maximum volatility will be when no new entries are placed; you can hold existing positions and observe. After FOMC passes, a rebound could fully resolve losses.
- 4/27 (Mon): Combined unrealized loss -141,972 JPY (unrealized loss rate approx. 5%)
- 4/28 (Tue): Combined unrealized loss -947,921 JPY (unrealized loss rate approx. 34%)
- 4/29 (Wed):Combined unrealized loss -1,021,538 JPY (unrealized loss rate approx. 37%)
Losses have grown for three consecutive days since Monday. The numbers are shocking, but both EAs maintain margin rates above 3,000%. I will continue automatic operation at this point until I see tomorrow’s FOMC result.
Today morning published“What the EA developer is thinking before FOMC Eve”organizes four decision axes and options for those currently carrying unrealized losses. If you’re in the same situation, please use it as a basis for your decisions.
- 03:00 FOMC policy rate announcement
- 03:30 Powell press conference
- 21:30 US PCE deflator (Fed's preferred inflation gauge)
- 21:30 US Personal Income & Spending
Tomorrow is the week’s biggest event day. I’ll outline the impact on both EAs across three scenarios.
- Dovish tilt (additional easing signal): Rebound to $4,650–$4,700 → unrealized losses halved or near-elimination
- As expected + wait-and-see: Range $4,540–$4,620 → unrealized losses flat
- hawkish tilt (inflation concerns persist): Continued decline to $4,400–$4,500 → unrealized losses may widen further
CHAOS_GOLD will not open new entries due to Thursday being a holiday; it will hold the existing 20 positions and wait for results. Shoukinryu will have automatic news filter in action around FOMC, so the maximum volatility moment is covered by safety mechanisms. Friday morning price action will reveal the overall conclusion of this week’s EA operation.
※This article is intended for information provision and not investment solicitation. The results shown are historical performance and do not guarantee future profits. FX/CFD trading involves risk. Please make investment decisions at your own responsibility.