Episode 5: "The Market Moves When Settlements Happen. Therefore, Aim for 'Only That'"
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The market moves with orders.
Up to now, I have conveyed that premise.
So, what is the true identity of those orders?
Many people think it is an “entry.”
But that is not true.
What actually moves the market significantly is the “settlement” (closing of positions).
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For example, in a rising market.
What is happening there?
People who had bought are taking profits.
In other words, sell settlements occur.
At the same time, stop-losses are triggered as well.
That, too, is a settlement.
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When this “settlement” piles up all at once,
the market moves strongly.
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What is important is here.
There is no need to chase the trend.
There is no need to predict the future.
What is needed is
to look only at the moment when settlements occur.
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So, where is that moment?
That is the condition we have been looking at so far.
・Key round numbers
・Recent high and low
・Points after a big move
There, positions have surely accumulated.
In other words,
“a place where settlements are ready to occur.”
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Therefore, the movements that occur at that place are fast.
And they end in an instant.
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Many people make a mistake here.
“It might still go up.”
“Because it’s a trend, let’s chase it.”
But that thinking is unnecessary.
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What we aim for is not a long trend.
Just the “instant of settlements.”
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The market does not move all the time.
However,
the moment settlements pile up, it certainly moves.
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So, only extract there.
That’s all that’s needed.
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What makes trading difficult is
the idea of trying to take profits forever.
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But in reality, it’s different.
What you should take is only for an instant.
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To find that instant,
there is the story so far.
・Do not trade in a non-moving market
・Judge the environment with ATR
・Know where settlements occur
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If you have these in place,
the actions become simple.
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“Enter only at that instant”
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That is
the next topic: the “迅 (Shin) Logic.”
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