Episode 4: Why Trades That Do Not Look at ATR Lose
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In the previous article, I wrote that “the way I waited was wrong.”
So, what should you look at to wait?
The answer is simple.
Whether the market is moving or not.
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Until now, I had been trading even in markets that weren’t moving.
Candlesticks were small.
Only wicks.
Yet somewhere I thought this:
“Maybe it will move soon.”
“There’s time, after all…”
And what happened as a result?
It would extend a bit, then stop,
not reach, and retreat,
repeating pointless trades.
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Then I realized something.
The problem wasn’t entry accuracy.
It was “entering when the market wasn’t moving.”
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The market isn’t always moving.
In fact, most of the time, it isn’t moving.
So, if you trade during the times it isn’t moving,
you will not win no matter what you do.
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What I started looking at then was ATR.
ATR is not just a number.
It shows “how much the market is moving.”
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• Low ATR → not moving
• High ATR → moving
That’s all there is to it.
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I used this as a benchmark.
• If ATR is low, I don’t trade
• I trade only when ATR is high
That’s all I did.
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So what happened?
Unnecessary trades decreased.
I stopped entering in places where it wouldn’t reach.
As a result, the way I lost changed.
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Trading isn’t difficult.
What makes it hard is entering markets that aren’t moving.
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Ninety percent of trades fail during “times when the market isn’t moving.”
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If you’re not seeing results yet,
take a look at ATR once.
And think like this:
“Is this market really moving?”
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If it isn’t moving, don’t trade.
Just that can change your trading.
“First, today, just look at ATR.”
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