【4/21 Evening】AI×Fundamental Integration Analysis|13 Currency Pair Strategy (Today’s Forecast)
ℹ️ About this article
We integrate our in-house developed investment AI for currency forecasting with fundamental analysis,
and publish information useful for trading 13 currency pairs twice every weekday (a simple version around 6:00 AM, a detailed version around 6:00 PM)
We hope it will be helpful for your investment activities.
ℹ️Performance (last 1 year): low drawdown and stable operation
Average DD: 1.38%, Maximum DD: 8.92%,
Win rate: 59.1% (recent: 63.0%), PF: 1.41
Monthly return: 1.01% (annualized approx. 12%)
Please refer to the performance analysis report below.
ℹ️Usage Manual
We sell a practical manual to translate the content explained in this article into real trading decisions.
If you want more specific criteria, please refer to the accompanying materials as well.
⚠️ Notes
The contents described are based on my operating logic.They do not constitute recommendations to buy or sell specific currency pairs.
1.Today's conclusion (directional advantage)
In response to US retail sales, dollar-driven moves are likely to intensify, and overall it is important to confirm the direction after the data release.
1.1. Today's strategic bias
Today, the US retail sales are the most important factor to watch.
March retail sales beat market expectations, and core retail sales were strong, so dollar-related currencies are prone to moves after the release.
On the other hand, alignment between fundamentals and AI varies by currency pair, so avoid forcing mismatched combinations and prioritize currencies that align.
1.2.Today's notable currency pairs (fundamental × AI predictions align)
【No.1】EUR/CHF (Fundamentals slightly bearish (-2) + AI downside forecast)
Fundamentals are slightly bearish, AI forecast is also down, so today is one of the most aligned combinations.
Even if the market wobbles due to US data spillover, if European weakness is perceived, the advantage tends to remain.
Going forward ↓↓↓
・Entry level
・Settlement timing (take profit / stop loss decisions)
・Priorities and strategies by currency pair
are published up to this point.
“I understand the direction, but I don’t know where to enter or how to judge”
This will be resolved in the next sections.