Financial Instruments Business Operator Kanto Finance Bureau Director (Kinsho) No. 1960 / Membership Association Japan Investment Advisers Association Membership No. 012-02323Go to GogoJungle Home
Developer of the Gold-only EA “Shoukinryu” and “CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5.” After experiencing significant losses in discretionary trading, moved to emotion-free, rule-based automated trading. Believes in developing EA that can withstand 11 years of backtesting.
Tomorrow (4/21) is the U.S.-Iran ceasefire deadline. The largest caution day of the week
■ Market environment today (4/20)
Today's gold movement (4/20 Asia early morning to NY morning)
Today’s gold started around $4,775 in the Asia early hours. With no major headlines over the weekend, Monday gaps were limited. It rose gradually from Asia to Europe Open, briefly tested the $4,840 level after the NY Open, then declined to around $4,797 as profit-taking set in.
With the ceasefire deadline in the U.S.-Iran on 4/21, market participants were cautious. In this unstable environment, a single headline could move the market by $30–$50, so NY afternoon today may see limited price movement.
DXY (Dollar Index) hovered around 98.30. The impact of last week’s higher PPI seems largely priced in, and ahead of tomorrow’s ceasefire deadline, a clear directional move is unlikely.
■ Shoukinryu Operation Results
Today's realized profit
＋6,619 JPY
Unrealized P/L
±0 JPY
Number of positions
0
Margin maintenance ratio
－
Account balance
1,337,792 JPY
Screenshot (Shoukinryu)
Today’s Shoukinryu captured the active fluctuations in gold and+6,619 JPYand realized profit. Starting the weekend with zero carryover, it entered on pullbacks around the European Open and then took profits during the NY Open rally, forming an ideal flow.
In particular, during the range of $4,750–$4,790 from Asia early morning to Europe Open, RSI entries occurred consecutively. ATR-based dynamic averaging worked at small intervals, efficiently stacking profits.
Currently zero positions with no carryover to tomorrow. This positioning allows calm response to any headline-driven volatilities related to the 4/21 ceasefire deadline.
■ CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5 Operation Results
Today's realized profit
－227 JPY
Unrealized P/L
－5,307 JPY
Number of positions
4
Margin maintenance ratio
44,493%
Account balance
1,364,130 JPY
Screenshot (CHAOS_GOLD)
Today’s CHAOS_GOLD shows a realized profit－227 JPYas a small figure. In addition to the three positions carried from the weekend, one position was added today, currentlyholding 4 positions with unrealized loss of -5,307 JPYand under observation.
Notably,Margin maintenance ratio 44,493%is an extremely comfortable figure. Although there are unrealized losses, the account is healthy, with ample averaging power. This is within backtest expectations.
With the ceasefire deadline approaching on 4/21, CHAOS_GOLD’s both-side hedging logic can handle movement in either direction. Depending on tomorrow’s moves, there is a possibility of turning unrealized losses into realized profits.
■ Key Points for Tomorrow (4/21)
Most important: U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deadline
Tomorrow 4/21 is the deadline day. Depending on three scenarios—extension agreement (45%), hold/delay (35%), collapse (20%)—the market will diverge. Likely some headlines will emerge from Asia early morning to Europe Open.
Expected range: $4,720–$4,860
Assuming a wider normal range. If Scenario C (collapse) materializes, the range could expand to $4,650–$4,920. Resistance at $4,830 and support at $4,750 are near-term decision points.
EA operating policy
Shoukinryu starts from zero positions, an ideal state. CHAOS_GOLD holds 4 positions with unrealized loss -5,307 JPY, but at 44,493% margin, there is ample headroom. Both EAs have room to maneuver, so operate calmly in response to tomorrow’s headlines.
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※This article is provided for information purposes and is not investment solicitation. The operating results shown are past performance and do not guarantee future profits. FX/CFD trading involves risk. Please make investment decisions at your own responsibility.
