Dollar/Yen Monday’s Strategy
The dollar-yen has been under strong buying pressure throughout this week, and it finished the week strong again on Friday.
Considering this flow, the start of the week may likely see an upward gap.
There is a good possibility it could reach the 160 yen level.
However, I believe that going long at this level should be considered very cautiously.
Even if an upside gap occurs,
that area could very well become a short-term top.
Therefore,
a short position aiming to fill the gap may have relatively high edge.
On the other hand, if a downside gap opens, from a chart perspective
it is also a position where a rebound is likely,
so a long strategy aiming to fill the gap could also be effective.
In other words, for the start of the week,
・Upside gap → aim for gap-fill short
・Downside gap → aim for gap-fill long
I want to anticipate these two scenarios and respond flexibly.
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